Passenger traffic across the Ukrainian border in the sixth week of spring, from April 5 to 11, with the end of school holidays, remained at the level of the previous week – 488 thousand, while the net inflow decreased from 40 thousand to 22 thousand, according to the State Border Guard Service on Facebook.
According to the data, the flow of entry decreased by 3.4% – from 264 thousand to 255 thousand, while the flow of exit increased by 4% – from 224 thousand to 233 thousand.
The number of vehicles crossing the checkpoints this week increased from 122,000 to 127,000, while the flow of vehicles carrying humanitarian aid decreased from 546 to 625.
According to the State Border Guard Service, as of 12:00 on Saturday, the queue to leave the border with Poland was only at the Ustyluh checkpoint – 20 cars, on the border with Slovakia at the Uzhhorod and Maly Berezny checkpoints – 25 and 10 cars, respectively, while on the border with Hungary at the Tisa and Vylok checkpoints – 15 and 10 cars, respectively.
The total number of people crossing the border this week in 2025 is slightly higher than last year’s: 238 thousand people left Ukraine and 234 thousand entered during the same seven days, with a traffic flow of 116 thousand. But last year, Easter was celebrated on March 31 (Western rite) and May 5 (Eastern rite), while this year the celebration falls on one day – April 20, and an increase in passenger traffic is expected.
As reported, on May 10, 2022, the outflow of refugees from Ukraine, which began with the outbreak of war, was replaced by an influx that lasted until September 23, 2022 and amounted to 409 thousand people. However, since the end of September, possibly under the influence of news about mobilization in Russia and “pseudo-referendums” in the occupied territories, and then massive shelling of energy infrastructure, the number of people leaving has been exceeding the number of people entering. In total, from the end of September 2022 to the first anniversary of the full-scale war, it reached 223 thousand people.
In the second year of the full-scale war, the number of border crossings to leave Ukraine, according to the State Border Guard Service, exceeded the number of crossings to enter by 25 thousand, while in the third year – by 187 thousand, and since the beginning of the fourth year, a small net inflow of 3 thousand has been recorded.
As Deputy Economy Minister Serhiy Sobolev noted in early March 2023, the return of every 100,000 Ukrainians home results in a 0.5% increase in GDP.
In its January inflation report, the National Bank estimated the outflow from Ukraine in 2024 at 0.5 million (0.315 million according to the State Border Guard Service). In absolute terms, the number of migrants staying abroad will increase to 6.8 million in 2024. The NBU also maintained its outflow forecast for 2025 at 0.2 million.
According to updated data from the UNHCR, the number of Ukrainian refugees in Europe as of March 20, 2025, was estimated at 6.373 million, and 6.933 million worldwide, which is 26 thousand more than as of February 19.
In Ukraine itself, according to the latest UN data, 3.665 million internally displaced persons (IDPs), including approximately 160 thousand people, were displaced from the frontline areas in the east and south between May and October 2024 due to the intensification of hostilities.
