In the Czech Republic, Andrej Babiš and his ANO party won the parliamentary elections on October 3–4, 2025, receiving about 34.7% of the vote. Petr Fiala’s party, which previously led the Spolu coalition, came in second with ~23.4% of the vote. The election results were analyzed by the Experts Club information and analytical center.
Babiš faces a difficult task in forming a coalition: his party did not win a single-party majority, and cooperation with right-wing and populist parties — the SPD (Freedom and Direct Democracy) and the Motorists movement — is being considered.
Babiš has promised to increase social benefits, reduce taxes, and focus more attention on intra-European issues. He has repeatedly criticized substantial military and material assistance to Ukraine and promised to review the Czech Republic’s participation in the initiative to supply ammunition to Kyiv. At the same time, Babiš is trying to position himself as a pro-European politician, although his rhetoric often aligns with nationalist and Eurosceptic forces.
Several possible consequences for Ukraine can be identified from the results of the Czech elections:
1. Reduction of preferential support and military aid. The new government may seek to reduce the Czech Republic’s contribution to collective assistance to Ukraine or review its financial commitments, especially regarding the ammunition supply program. Babiš has already stated that he intends to “reduce support.”
2. A change in diplomatic tone. The Czech Republic may shift the focus of its foreign policy away from confrontation with Russia, especially if the government seeks more pragmatic relations within the EU and Central Europe.
3. Increased influence of right-wing and populist movements in the region. Babiš’s victory could stimulate the growth of nationalist and Eurosceptic parties in neighbouring countries and increase tensions over Kyiv’s policies in Central Europe. The Czech Republic may join the camp of countries that criticise sanctions or delay common European decisions.
4. Risks for Ukraine’s integration. The Czech Republic’s change of course could affect support for Ukraine within the EU, influence “stabilization funds,” and lobbying for European support at the pan-European level.
The current changes in the Czech Republic are a key indicator of how quickly the political landscape of Central Europe is changing. It is important for Ukraine to monitor the format of the coalition that will be formed and the foreign policy program of the new Czech cabinet.
Earlier, the Experts Club information and analytical center called the elections in the Czech Republic one of the most important in the world in 2025. A video about elections around the world is available on YouTube:
