On April 28, 2025, federal elections were held in Canada, resulting in a victory for the Liberal Party led by Mark Carney, which won 155 seats in the House of Commons out of 343. However, this is not enough to form a majority, which requires 172 seats, meaning that a minority government will have to be formed or coalition agreements sought. Distribution of seats by party
Party Leader Seats Change
Liberal Party Mark Carney 155 +3
Conservative Party Pierre Poilievre 133 +13
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 21 -11
New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 5 -20
Green Party Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedne 1 -1
Independents and others 28 —
Possible scenarios for forming a government
Given the results, the Liberal Party does not have an absolute majority and must seek support from other parties to form a stable government. Possible options:
Minority government: The Liberals may try to govern without a formal coalition agreement, securing the support of other parties on key issues.
Coalition with the New Democratic Party: Despite significant losses, the NDP could become a partner of the Liberals, as has happened in the past.
Cooperation with the Bloc Québécois: Although the Bloc Québécois lost some seats, its support could be critical for the Liberals, especially on issues related to Quebec.
Implications for the opposition
The Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, improved its position, winning 133 seats, but this was not enough to secure victory. Poilievre also lost his seat in the Carleton riding, which could affect his leadership of the party.
The New Democratic Party suffered significant losses, reducing its representation to five seats. Party leader Jagmeet Singh announced his resignation after losing in his riding.
The election took place against a backdrop of heightened tensions with the US, particularly after President Donald Trump’s statements about the possible annexation of Canada as the 51st state. Mark Carney strongly criticized Trump, stressing the need to protect Canadian sovereignty and strengthen national unity.
International leaders, including representatives from the UK, the EU, Ukraine, and China, congratulated Carney on his victory and expressed hope for stronger cooperation in trade, defense, and democratic values.
Earlier, the Experts Club think tank released a video analysis dedicated to the most important elections in the world in 2025. For more details, see here —
https://youtu.be/u1NMbFCCRx0?si=K4EMR3-a5cYQM_Ab
