The decrease in the number of cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) disease in Ukraine over the last three days has led to the stabilization of important indicators of the epidemic in Ukraine after a month of continuous growth.
According to the Health Ministry, in particular, the maximum average daily morbidity for two weeks in the first wave of the epidemic was 474 patients and was recorded on the day of the start easing lockdown, on May 10, and the second maximum of 547 patients was on June 29. There was a local minimum between them of 382 patients on May 29.
According to the Health Ministry, on May 29, Ukraine also reached the local minimum of a weekly average daily incidence of 375 patients after the first peak of 476 patients on early May. After almost a month of continuous growth, a new peak of 917 patients was reached on June 27.
These figures fell to 840 patients (an average figure over two weeks) and some 855 patients (an average figure over a week) by early July.
The World Health Organization (WHO) indicates that the length of time between the moment of COVID-19 infecting and the symptoms onset is usually about five to six days, but can vary from one to 14 days. In almost all countries, the number of registered cases on weekend falls significantly for administrative reasons. Therefore, the world uses daily average morbidity diagrams for the last one and two weeks.
Among other indicators that have stabilized in recent days, the number of hospitalized people per day is the following: some 201 patients on average over a week and some 187 patients on average over two weeks, whereas before that they had almost continuously increased from 100 to 110 patients in late May and early June.
The growth of such indicator as the ratio of the number of cases to the number of PCR tests averaged over the week also stopped.
The graphs reflecting the number of deaths from COVID-19 disease are fluctuating strongly as before. On June 28, they reached their maximum indicator since the start of the epidemic, namely, almost 18 people on average over two weeks or more than 19 people on average over a week, but in the last three days they have been declining, having returned to the level of early May.
However, it is still not possible to stop another important plot – the number of people infected with COVID-19 at present.
As a result, Ukraine entered the government-defined “red” disease zone with over 40 patients per 100,000 populations with a current value of this indicator of about 58 patients.
