According to Fixygen, it was a volatile and nervous week for the crypto market. Midweek, Bitcoin managed to reclaim the $70,000 mark amid a short-term improvement in global risk sentiment following news of a pause in the potential escalation surrounding Iran; however, by the end of the week, the momentum faded, and the market fell again. As of March 27, Bitcoin was trading around $66,200, and Ethereum around $1,987.
Geopolitics remained the main external driver. At the start of the week, the market rallied following reports of U.S. strikes on Iranian infrastructure: Bitcoin rose above $70,000 and at one point tested the $71,700 range. But then this relief rally began to run out of steam, as the market returned to the fundamental question: how sustainable is the easing of tensions, and will oil prices resume their upward trend?
The second major factor of the week was the U.S. regulatory agenda. Last week, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price targets for Bitcoin and Ethereum, directly linking this to the stalled progress of crypto legislation in the U.S. At the same time, the market reacted negatively to news of a compromise on the Clarity Act, which discusses banning yields on stablecoin balances: against this backdrop, Circle and Coinbase shares fell sharply, and the issue itself reminded the market once again that the “regulatory bull scenario” has not yet materialized.
Technically, the week showed that the $70,000 level for Bitcoin remains more of a battleground than a solid support. A number of market reviews indicated that the return above this mark was not confirmed by strong volume, and by the end of the week, traders’ attention shifted to the major $18.6 billion options expiration. That said, one positive development was the decline in BTC supply on exchanges to a seven-year low, which is typically interpreted as a signal of long-term coin holding rather than immediate selling.
For Ethereum, the week turned out to be weaker than for Bitcoin. ETH participated in the rebound along with the rest of the market, but pressure on it remains stronger: Citi separately noted weak user activity on the network and a more modest set of potential catalysts compared to BTC. Against the backdrop of the current price below $2,000, this makes ether more sensitive to any new deterioration in risk appetite.
If we summarize the week using FIXYGEN’s logic, the picture looks like this: the market remains alive, liquid, and ready for quick rebounds, but so far lacks a single strong driver of its own. It continues to trade as a mix of risk assets and macro hedges, reacting not so much to internal crypto news as to oil, the dollar, the Fed, and headlines from the Middle East.
Here is Fixygen’s short-term forecast for the coming days: – For Bitcoin, the key zone remains the $65,000–$72,000 range. As long as the market stays above the midpoint of this range, the consolidation scenario—with attempts to retest $70,000–$71,000—remains in place. However, if geopolitical tensions escalate again or the dollar continues to strengthen, the market could easily revert to a steeper correction. This conclusion is analytical, based on current prices, market behavior over the past week, and the broader news backdrop.
For Ethereum, the near-term outlook appears more cautious. Without a clear shift in U.S. regulatory policy and without a return to a broader risk-on sentiment, ETH is likely to continue underperforming Bitcoin. In a positive scenario, Ether could quickly return to the zone above $2,000, but in the short term, it remains a more vulnerable asset than BTC. This is also an analytical conclusion based on the current ETH price, weekly dynamics, and Citi’s assessment of weaker fundamental momentum for the network.
