The cryptocurrency market remained quite volatile during the week of November 10-16 and ended the period in the red. According to consolidated quotes from exchange trackers, Bitcoin fell from the $106,000 range to $95,000–96,000, with daily lows dropping to $94,000. Ethereum fell from approximately $3,570 to $3,170, and Solana fell from around $167 to $141. The dynamics were accompanied by irregular flows in spot ETFs: days of net inflows and outflows alternated, which intensified price volatility. Additional pressure was created by the growth in US government bond yields and investor caution ahead of inflation releases.
By segment, BTC is holding the support zone of $94,000–96,000, but the momentum is weak and sensitive to daily flows in ETFs. ETH remains under pressure from outflows and capital rotation into individual altcoins. SOL is showing increased beta volatility amid relatively stable inflows into ecosystem products.
Short-term outlook for 1–2 weeks: the base scenario assumes BTC consolidation in the range of $92–105 thousand with a reaction to daily ETF flows and treasury yields. Several days of steady inflows into funds could return the price to the upper end of the range, while new outflows threaten a retest of $94,000–95,000. ETH is likely to move sideways between $3,050 and $3,350 until flows reverse, while SOL is likely to move between $135 and $155, remaining highly sensitive to ecosystem news.
Assessment until the end of 2025: in a bullish scenario, a series of net inflows into BTC-ETFs and an improvement in global risk appetite could bring BTC back to 105–112 thousand and pull ETH up to 3.4–3.7 thousand. Against a neutral backdrop, trading is likely to remain in the $95,000–107,000 range for BTC, with high-quality altcoins dominating. The bearish scenario envisages a strengthening of the dollar and yields, with the risk of BTC testing the $90,000 level and ETH falling below $3,000.
Key indicators for the coming week: daily reports on inflows and outflows in spot ETFs on BTC, ETH, and the largest alt products, leverage and liquidation metrics on derivatives exchanges, as well as the US macro calendar (inflation, Treasury auctions, Fed comments). For tactical strategies, the advantage of range trading and quick reactions to flows is noted. For strategic positions, it is better to gradually build up long positions as inflows stabilize and volatility decreases.
