December is traditionally one of the most successful months for Ukrainian cheese producers in terms of sales, but in 2025, not all companies in the industry will be able to boast positive dynamics, according to the analytical publication Infagro.
“Although cheese consumption in Ukraine has likely increased, the main growth has been in imported products,” analysts noted, adding that this is due to the significant price advantage of European cheeses.
Importers purchase products in EU countries at a significantly lower price than they are produced in Ukraine, and experts predict that their cost will not increase in the near future.
The agency noted that cheese imports to Ukraine increased in November, although not as much as predicted. Imports were up 10% compared to October. Imports of “white” cheeses increased by 4%. At the same time, imports of processed cheeses decreased by 18%.
Experts hope that imports will grow more actively in December, as was the case last year.
They recalled that cheese consumption in Ukraine has not yet returned to pre-war levels, which complicates competition for domestic producers. According to analysts’ estimates, in 2025, sales of semi-hard cheeses on the domestic market will be 17% lower than in 2021. At the same time, the average Ukrainian, as before the war, consumes about 2 kg of such cheese per year, and about a quarter of this volume is European-made cheese.
“Exports of semi-hard cheeses from Ukraine remain half the size of imports. At the same time, export prices exceed import prices. In November, exports of processed cheese products also fell sharply to their lowest level since the beginning of the year,” Infagro reported.
