In March 2025, dairy farms of all categories of producers produced 556 thousand tons of raw milk, which is 117 thousand tons or 27% more than in February 2025, but 20 thousand tons or 4% less than in March 2024, according to the Association of Milk Producers (AMP).
The industry association noted that the volume of milk yield in Ukraine in January-March 2025 amounted to 1.44 million tons, which is 53 thousand tons (-4%) less than last year. In March 2025, the share of enterprises in the production of raw milk amounted to 49%, and households – 51%.
According to the report, in March 2025, enterprises produced 272 thousand tons of raw milk, which is 33 thousand tons more (+14%) compared to February 2025 and 16 thousand tons more (+6%) compared to March 2024. In January-March 2025, MTFs produced 771 thousand tons of raw milk, which is 37 thousand tons (+5%) more than in the previous year.
In March 2025, milk yields in private households amounted to 284 thousand tons, which is 84 thousand tons more (+42%) than in February 2025, but 37 thousand tons less (-11%) than in March 2024. In January-March 2025, the private sector produced 676 thousand tons of raw milk, which is 90 thousand tons (-12%) less than in the previous year.
AVM analyst Giorgi Kukhaleishvili emphasized that in the first quarter of 2025, the number of regions where MTFs increased their production of raw milk increased. Khmelnytsky, Ternopil and Zhytomyr regions are among the new leaders in terms of production. However, the increase in milk yields in the industrial sector is not entirely beneficial for the dairy industry amid the unstable situation on the finished dairy products market, the global dairy market, and the unstable dynamics of purchase prices.
“The volume of dairy production in Ukraine is currently outstripping the volume of its sales. The domestic market is experiencing a decline in demand for dairy products amid intensified rocket and bomb attacks by the Russian occupiers on cities with a population of over a million people and the outflow of their residents abroad. At the same time, dairy processing enterprises are striving to help restore demand for dairy products from the population through discounts and promotional offers in retail chains,” the business association explained.
Further increase in cheese imports is also a threat to the development of the industry, at the current rate of imports, by the end of 2025 the share of imported cheese in the Ukrainian market may reach 80%, which will force domestic cheese factories to stop their work and the situation with a surplus of milk may worsen.
The EBA emphasized that the potential threat of foot-and-mouth disease, which has been reported in Hungary and Slovakia, is a challenge for the Ukrainian dairy industry.
“The spread of the disease creates risks of increased culling of infected livestock and the introduction of quarantine restrictions on farms, a ban on the export of dairy products from Ukraine,” the industry association summarized.
