More and more investors are pessimistic about the prospects for the global economy and corporate profits, according to the results of a monthly survey of fund managers conducted by Bank of America Corp. (BofA).
According to the results of the July survey, the proportion of respondents who expect the economy to weaken in the next 12 months reached a record 79%, an increase of 6 percentage points (p.p.). The share of investors expecting corporate earnings to worsen over the next 12 months rose by 7 percentage points, also reaching 79%.
Stagflation in the global economy is expected by a record 90% of respondents compared to 83% a month earlier.
The survey, which included 259 investors managing $722 billion in assets, was conducted by BofA last week.
Investors have reduced exposure to risky assets to lows not seen even during the global financial crisis, “completely capitulating” in the face of a bleak economic outlook, BofA said.
The share of stocks in investment portfolios this month fell to the lowest since the collapse of investment bank Lehman Brothers in 2008, the share of cash balances reached 6.1%, the highest since October 2001.
Among the biggest risks, fund managers point to high inflation, a global recession, and a hawkish central bank.
At the same time, the proportion of respondents who expect inflation to slow down next year has reached its highest level since the global financial crisis.
BofA has been conducting surveys of fund managers since 1994.
