Raw milk production in Ukraine in January–March 2026 fell by 10% compared to the same period in 2025—to 1.31 million tons, the Association of Milk Producers (AMP) reported, citing data from the State Statistics Service.
The industry association noted that in March 2026, farms of all categories produced 496,200 tons of milk, which is 10.7% less than in March 2025. At the same time, the industrial sector showed growth: enterprises produced 285,800 tons of raw milk (+4.9%), while private farms saw a 25.8% drop in production to 210,400 tons.
“Milk producers are under pressure from lower purchase prices and rising production costs. The spike in oil prices due to the conflict in the Middle East has led to higher logistics costs. Natural gas prices have also risen, triggering higher prices for nitrogen fertilizers. In particular, urea prices rose by nearly 50% year-over-year due to Iran’s blockade of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz,” the UAM reported.
The association’s analysts emphasized that labor shortages, security risks, energy supply issues, and limited access to credit remained among the key obstacles for businesses in March. The situation is particularly critical in the Kharkiv region, where farmers are forced to evacuate their farms or abandon planting due to constant shelling and the mining of fields.
The UAA emphasized that an additional challenge is adapting to the new requirements of the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy for 2028–2034. The European approach involves moving away from payments per hectare or head of livestock in favor of meeting environmental KPIs (soil protection, biodiversity).
“The new architecture of the EU’s agricultural policy requires Ukrainian producers to incur significant modernization costs. Amid martial law and milk prices below cost, farmers urgently need state support. Currently, 10–15% of small and medium-sized dairy farms are at risk of closure,” the association concluded.
