The trends of the real estate market in the first half of 2024 were analyzed by Oleksandr Nasikovsky, Managing Partner of DIM Group of Companies.
The number of sales transactions in the first half of 2024 is gradually increasing compared to the same period in 2023. But it all depends on the readiness of the object and its class.
Currently, the majority of buyers of apartments in the primary market are those who buy housing for themselves. These are people who associate their future with Ukraine, with Kyiv. In this case, it makes no sense to postpone this step, because developers are now offering good conditions and trying to keep prices down. Most of these people lived and planned to buy housing in the capital even before the war.
There are also IDPs among the buyers, but their share has not increased significantly. They have more stressful circumstances, a longer period of adaptation, and need more time to take this step. In addition, some of them are considering the western regions of Ukraine for purchasing housing.
While in 2023, there were few investment transactions for the purchase of real estate for resale or lease, in 2024 we are already seeing a gradual recovery in investor interest as the real estate market is gradually recovering.
For new clients, realizing the difficult decision they are facing today, we are developing special programs for the purchase of housing: we offer installment plans for a long period (up to 5 years), reduce the down payment, offer to pay part of the funds before the completion of construction, and the rest within three years after.
We can state that the cost per m2 of primary real estate will continue to grow. This is due not only to the future growth in demand for new housing, but also to the rise in the cost of building materials, energy, and related resources required for the construction of houses.
Yes, there is pent-up demand and it has a cumulative effect. Ukrainians still have a need for new housing, but not everyone is ready to invest in real estate in the capital. People are hindered by understandable fears, lack of stability and confidence in the future due to the war. But as soon as we win, people will return to solving the housing issue, because it is still relevant.
Internal migration within the country will also have an impact. Some people will stay and build their future in Kyiv.
Investors will be interested in the future growth of the cost per square meter. After the Victory, this process will start quite quickly.
The cost of apartments in high-quality facilities will increase. This is due not only to the future growth in demand for new housing, but also to the rise in the cost of building materials, energy, logistics, and related components required for the construction of houses. So far, we have been able to balance, but over time, these factors will take their toll and prices will go up.