Unlike most other EU countries, Spain’s economy is showing steady growth in 2025, despite external challenges and internal structural constraints.
Key macroeconomic indicators for 2025
GDP growth: According to the European Commission’s forecast, GDP is expected to increase by 2.3%.
Inflation: Inflation is expected to decline to 2.2%.
Unemployment rate: Unemployment is forecast to decline to 11.0%.
Budget deficit: The deficit is expected to fall to 2.6% of GDP.
Public debt: Debt is expected to fall to 101.3% of GDP.
Spain’s economic growth in 2025 is supported by the following factors:
Domestic demand: Increased consumer spending and investment are contributing to economic growth.
Tourism: The tourism sector continues to recover, contributing positively to GDP.
Investment: Improved financing conditions and the implementation of projects under the Recovery and Sustainability Plan are stimulating investment activity.
Risks and challenges
Despite the positive trends, certain risks remain:
Geopolitical instability: Trade tensions, particularly with the US, could have a negative impact on exports.
Political fragmentation: Domestic political instability could slow down the adoption of necessary economic reforms.
Structural problems: High unemployment, especially among young people, and low labor productivity remain pressing issues.
Forecast for the end of 2025
The Spanish economy is expected to continue growing, albeit at a more moderate pace. Key forecasts for the end of the year:
GDP growth: Around 2.3%.
Inflation: Decline to 2.0%.
Unemployment: Decline to 10.7%.
Thus, despite the existing challenges, the Spanish economy is demonstrating its ability to grow sustainably and adapt to changing conditions.
