Oil prices moved lower on Wednesday after an initial rise, with Brent approaching its lowest since the beginning of this year and WTI near its lowest since late last year.
The price of February Brent crude futures on London’s ICE Futures exchange stands at $78.78 a barrel by 1:19 p.m. Wednesday, down $0.57 (0.72%) from the previous session’s closing price. At one point in the session, Brent had fallen to its lowest level since January 3.
The price of WTI crude futures for January on the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) fell by that time by $0.47 (0.63%), to $73.78 a barrel. At a certain point in trading, the price of WTI fell to its lowest level since December 2021.
The day before, oil had fallen substantially on growing fears of a downturn in the global economy and, consequently, a decline in demand for oil in 2023.
“There’s still a lot of uncertainty in the markets today,” said Rystad Energy senior vice president Claudio Galimberti.
Both Brent and WTI have lost more than 9% in the past three sessions, despite the easing of quarantine restrictions in China and the entry into force of a European embargo on Russian oil, as well as initiatives to impose a price ceiling on oil from Russia.
Oil prices are rising on Wednesday morning after having risen the previous day on expectations that China will ease anti-coke restrictions.
The price of January Brent futures, which end trading on Wednesday, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London is $83.97 a barrel by 7:17 a.m. Ksk, up $0.94 (1.13%) from the previous session’s closing price. The more actively traded February futures rose $0.93 (1.1%) to $85.18 a barrel. On Tuesday, February contracts rose $0.36 (0.4%) to $84.25 a barrel.
The price of WTI futures for January at electronic trades on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is $79.09 per barrel by that time, which is $0.89 (1.14%) above the final value of the previous session. The day before contract rose by $0.96 (1.2%) to $78.2 per barrel.
Chinese authorities the day before announced plans to more actively vaccinate the elderly population against coronavirus, reducing the time between vaccinations for those over 80 years to three months.
“The announcement followed unprecedented street protests and was the first signal that Beijing might consider easing draconian measures to control the spread of the coronavirus. The prospect of normalization in the world’s biggest oil importer has driven oil prices higher, the first significant recovery in two weeks,” said ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista.
The market’s attention is also directed towards OPEC+ meeting to be held on December 4. Eurasia Group analysts believe that the alliance may decide to reduce production quotas amid prospects of weakening demand in China.
Meanwhile, the American Petroleum Institute (API) data showed a decline of 7.85 million barrels of oil reserves in the USA last week instead of the 2.5 million barrels reduction which analysts expected.
Official data from the US Department of Energy on inventories will be released on Wednesday at 5:30 p.m. ksec.
Oil prices are rising sharply on Tuesday morning, recovering from a decline in the previous session, during which quotations reached lows of almost a year.
The cost of January Brent futures on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stands at $85.16 a barrel by 7:12 a.m. CST, up $1.97 (2.37%) from the previous session’s closing price. At the close of trading on Monday those contracts have fallen by $0.44 (0.5%) to $83.19 per barrel.
The price of WTI futures for January at electronic trades of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is $78.87 per barrel by that time, which is $1.53 (1.98%) above the final value of the previous session. The day before contract went down in price by $0.96 (1.3%) to $77.24 per barrel.
In trading on Monday, Brent fell to its lowest level since January and WTI dropped to its lowest point since last December, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The reason for the fall were mass protests against lockdowns, which took place over the weekend throughout China, including Beijing, Shanghai, Xinjiang and Wuhan.
Experts are concerned that unexpectedly mass protests in China, which is the world’s largest oil importer, could provoke a tough reaction from the authorities of China, notes Bloomberg.
However, then American traders returned to the market after a long weekend and oil prices have moved away from the session lows.
“The last few days have been difficult for oil due to a combination of low volumes, sluggish trading and concerns about reduced demand due to lockdowns in China,” Colin Cieszynski, senior analyst at SIA Wealth Management, wrote.
The market’s attention is now focused on the next OPEC+ meeting on December 4 and on negotiations regarding the introduction of a price ceiling on Russian oil in response to Russia’s continuation of a full-scale war against Ukraine. European Union countries again failed to reach a consensus on Monday, as some countries found the proposed price cap of $62 a barrel too high, Bloomberg reported, citing informed sources.
Oil prices are falling on Monday amid a general decline in investor appetite for risk in connection with information about the ongoing protests in China against covid restrictions.
As Bloomberg reports, protests were held in cities across the country, including the capital Beijing, as well as Shanghai, Xinjiang and Wuhan, which was originally the epicenter of the spread of COVID-19.
That contributes to a stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces the attractiveness of investing in commodities and also raises the possibility of even more significant tightening of restrictions by Chinese authorities, the agency said.
The value of January futures on Brent crude oil on London’s ICE Futures Exchange by 7:10 a.m. KSC on Monday was $81.31 per barrel, down $2.32 (2.77%) from the previous session’s close. Those contracts fell by $1.71 (2%) to $83.63 per barrel at the close of trading on Friday.
The price of WTI futures for January crude oil fell by $2.31 (3.03%) to $73.97 per barrel at electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). By closing of previous trades the cost of these contracts fell by $1.66 (2.1%) to $76.28 per barrel.
Brent fell 4.6% and WTI fell 4.8% at the end of last week.
“The outlook for the oil market remains unfavorable and the events of this weekend in China do not add to the positive,” said Warren Patterson, who is in charge of commodity strategy at ING Groep NV in Singapore.
According to the forecast of analytical company Kpler, oil demand in China in the fourth quarter will decrease to 15.11 million barrels per day (bpd) from 15.82 million bpd a year earlier.
Oil prices are weak Thursday morning after a sharp decline in trading on Wednesday amid talks on the introduction of a ceiling on Russian oil prices.
The price of January Brent futures on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stood at $85.12 a barrel by 7:12 a.m. CST, down $0.29 (0.34%) from the previous session’s closing price. At the close of trading on Wednesday these contracts have fallen by $2.95 (3.3%) to $85.41 per barrel.
The price of WTI futures for January at electronic trades of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) makes $77.73 per barrel by that time, which is $0.21 (0.27%) lower than the final value of the previous session. The contract fell by $3.01 (3.7%) to $77.94 a barrel at the end of last session.
The U.S. and allied countries are planning to agree on a price ceiling on Russian oil of no more than $70 per barrel, The Wall Street Journal earlier reported, citing sources.
It was expected that a decision could be made as early as Wednesday, but EU countries have so far failed to come to a unified position, Bloomberg reported. According to the agency, the European Commission offered a $65 a barrel level, but Poland and the Baltic states found it too high. In turn, countries with a powerful shipping industry – Greece and Malta – do not want prices below $70.
“The higher the price ceiling, the easier it will be for buyers from India and China to get access to transport, insurance and other services from G7 countries,” Mizuho analysts wrote.
Also, market participants assessed the official data on energy stocks in the United States, which pointed to a sharp decline in oil reserves and an increase in petroleum products stocks last week.
Commercial oil inventories in the U.S. last week decreased by 3.69 million barrels, data from the weekly report of the U.S. Department of Energy showed. Experts had expected a decline of 2.61 million barrels.
Meanwhile, marketable gasoline inventories rose by 3.06 million barrels and distillates by 1.72 million barrels. Analysts were expecting the growth of the first indicator by 1.15 million barrels, the second – by 650 thousand barrels.
Oil prices are falling moderately on Wednesday morning after a rise in the previous session, during which quotations renewed a three-week low.
The value of January futures for Brent on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stood at $93.28 a barrel by 7:08 a.m., down $0.58 (0.62%) from the close of the previous session. Those contracts rose $0.72 (0.8%) to $91.53 per barrel at the close of trading on Tuesday.
The price of WTI futures for December at electronic trades of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is $86.2 per barrel by that time which is $0.72 (0.83%) lower than the final value of the previous session. The day before contract rose by $1.05 (1.2%) to $86.92 per barrel.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tuesday raised its forecast for oil demand growth by 180,000 bpd in 2022, but the forecast for 2023 was lowered by 40,000 bpd.
The agency also noted that by December 5, when the European embargo on Russian oil imports takes effect, Russia will need to divert another 1.1 million b/d to exports to other countries.
Oil also reacted to news about a rocket explosion in Poland, which killed two people. A number of media wrote that the missile could have come from Russian territory, but the Russian Defense Ministry denied that it was Russian missiles, noting that the military did not strike targets near the Ukrainian-Polish border.
Also, the market is waiting for the weekly U.S. fuel inventories data, which will be published at 5:30 p.m. Wednesday.
The American Petroleum Institute’s (API) report, released the previous evening, showed a 5.8 mln barrel drop in crude stocks last week. Gasoline stocks, according to API data, grew by 1.7 mln barrels, distillates – by 850,000 barrels.
