Prices for oil of benchmark grades are rising weakly in trading on Thursday.
A day earlier, the market showed the most significant decline in more than a month, despite a record reduction in fuel inventories in the U.S. last week.
Quotes for October Brent crude futures on the London-based ICE Futures exchange as of 7:58 KV are at $83.26 per barrel, up $0.06 (0.07%) from the previous session’s closing price. On Wednesday, these contracts fell $1.71 (2%) to $83.2 per barrel.
The price of WTI crude oil futures for September at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) in the morning rose by $0.04 (0.05%) to $79.53 per barrel. At the end of the previous session they fell in price by $1.88 (by 2.3%) – to $79.49 per barrel.
Oil reserves in the U.S. last week decreased by 17.049 million barrels – to 439.77 million barrels, reported the country’s Department of Energy. Gasoline reserves increased by 1.48 million barrels, distillates – decreased by 796 thousand barrels.
Analysts surveyed by S&P Global Commodity Insights on average had forecast a 3.7 million barrel decline in oil reserves, a 1 million barrel decline in gasoline and a 400,000 barrel decline in distillates.
“Oil prices have fallen as the macroeconomic backdrop is killing sentiment,” believes Edward Moya, senior analyst at Oanda, implying, among other things, a downgrade of the US credit rating by Fitch. Also weighing on the oil market is the strong dollar, he told MarketWatch.
According to Matt Smith, lead oil analyst for the Americas at Kpler, the combination of robust oil exports and refinery activity has led to the sharpest decline in U.S. oil inventories on record, he said. “The peak of summer refining coincided with very strong exports at the end of the month, and we shouldn’t expect such large” changes in reserves in the future, he believes.
Oil prices are actively rising on Wednesday morning after declining at the end of the previous session, traders are evaluating signals of a sharp decline in oil inventories in the United States.
The price of October Brent futures on London’s ICE Futures exchange by 8:01 a.m. Wednesday is $85.59 a barrel, up 68 cents (0.8%) from the previous session’s close. On Tuesday, these contracts fell in price by $0.52 (0.6%) – to $84.91 per barrel.
Quotes of futures for WTI crude oil for September at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by the specified time rose by 69 cents (0.85%) and amounted to $82.06 per barrel. At the end of the previous session they decreased by $0.43 (0.5%) – to $81.37 per barrel.
A negative factor for the oil market on Tuesday was the strengthening of the dollar, as it increases the cost of commodities for holders of other currencies. The index calculated by ICE, which shows the dollar’s performance against six major world currencies, rose 0.4% the day before.
“The rally in the oil market is ready to take a pause amid declining stock indices in the U.S. and a stronger dollar,” said Edward Moya, senior analyst at Oanda.
However, oil remains attractive to investors and buyers are likely to actively purchase contracts on drawdowns, he added.
Meanwhile, data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) released the previous day showed that US oil inventories collapsed by 15.4 million barrels last week. If the data is confirmed in the official figures from the Energy Department, which will be released at 5:30 p.m. Wednesday, the drop will be a record since 1982.
The liquidation commission has sold the property of Ilyichevsk Oil and Fats Plant LLC (Chernomorsk, Odessa Region) for UAH 696.66 million to Poltava-Zerno LLC, 95% of which belongs to the Kernel agricultural holding.
According to information in Prozorro.Sale, the auction was held on July 26 with a starting price of UAH 689.6 million, and Poltava-Zerno was the only participant.
It is specified that the buyer has already paid UAH 55.04 million of the guarantee fee, part of which in the amount of UAH 13.93 million went to the remuneration of the operator of the electronic platform – LLC “Onylan-Market”.
The new owner received, in particular, a land plot of 8.58 hectares with communications, where the plant is located, a complex of buildings and structures, as well as transport, tanks, reservoirs, production lines, minibus and other property.
Ilyichevsk Oil and Fats Plant LLC is bankrupt. According to open data opendatabot.ua, as of 2020 its assets were estimated at UAH 205.324 million, profit – UAH 481.721 million, income – UAH 22.836 million. At the same time, debt obligations reached UAH 2.587 billion.
Agroholding “Kernel” before the war ranked first in the world in the production of sunflower oil (about 7% of world production) and its export (about 12%). The company is one of the largest producers and sellers of bottled oil in Ukraine. In addition, the agroholding is engaged in the cultivation of agricultural products and their realization.
The largest co-owner of Kernel through Namsen Ltd. – is Ukrainian businessman Andriy Verevsky, who this year, as part of the buyout and delisting of the company from the Warsaw Stock Exchange, increased his stake from 41.3% to 74.05%.
Kernel’s net profit for the first nine months of 2023FY (January-March 2023) rose 36% to $437 mln, while revenue fell 45% to $2.715 bln.
As reported, Kernel recently reported that 40% of its grain storage and transshipment capacity at the Chernomorsk port was damaged as a result of a missile attack by Russia on the night of July 19, and it will take at least 12 months to restore these assets. In addition to the damage to infrastructure during this attack, a fire at the Chernomorsk port partially destroyed and damaged 60,000 tons of grain prepared for loading onto the large-capacity vessel Alexis and which was to be shipped to China.
Prices for oil benchmark grades are falling on Monday after they finished “in the plus” for the fifth week in a row and reached the highest levels since mid-April.
The price of WTI crude oil futures for September at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) as of 8:16 a.m. Q2 is down $0.36 (0.45%) to $80.22 per barrel. At the end of the previous session they rose by $0.49 – to $80.58 per barrel.
Quotes of September futures for Brent crude oil on the London exchange ICE Futures is $84.4 per barrel, which is $0.59 (0.7%) below the closing price of the last session. On Friday, these contracts rose by $0.75 (by 0.9%) – to $84.99 per barrel.
Over the past week, quotes of Brent increased by 4.8%, WTI – by 4.6%, according to MarketWatch.
Since the beginning of July, the price of Brent has jumped by 12%, WTI – by 14%, which is the best monthly increase since January 2022, amid production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, notes Trading Economics.
Analysts at ANZ Bank believe that strong macroeconomic data, including US GDP growth, will support oil prices in the near term.
Oil prices are falling on Wednesday after climbing the previous day to highs since mid-April.
The market’s decline on Wednesday is supported by data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), which showed an increase in U.S. inventories last week. Reserves rose by 1.319 million barrels after declining by 797,000 barrels a week earlier, API said.
The cost of September Brent crude futures on the London-based ICE Futures exchange at 8:05 a.m. Wednesday stands at $83.19 per barrel, down $0.45 (0.54%) from the previous session’s closing price. On Tuesday, these contracts rose $0.9 (1.1%) to $83.64 per barrel, the highest since April 18.
The price of WTI crude oil futures for September at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) fell by $0.46 (0.58%) to $79.17 per barrel. At the end of previous trading, the cost of these contracts rose by $0.89 (1.1%), to $79.63 per barrel, which is also the highest value since April 18.
Official data on energy reserves in the U.S. for the week ending July 21, will be released by the Department of Energy at 17:30 Q. Experts surveyed by S & P Global Commodity Insights, on average, predict a decline in oil reserves by 4.4 million barrels, gasoline – by 2 million barrels, distillates – by 2.3 million barrels.
On the eve it became known that the Chinese authorities intend to stimulate consumption, including the purchase of cars and electronics, as well as demand for services, including sports, tourism and recreation.
“The situation in China is very important for the global growth in oil demand this year, and traders had concerns about the weaker-than-expected recovery of the country’s economy, – said in a review of ING, quoted by Market Watch. – Signals of new stimulus help to reduce these concerns”.
Benchmark crude oil prices are moderately higher on Tuesday morning due to ongoing concerns over fuel shortages in the global market.
The price of September Brent futures on London’s ICE Futures exchange is at $82.95 a barrel by 8:05 a.m. Q2, up 21 cents (0.25%) from the previous session’s close. On Monday, these contracts rose in price by $1.67 (2.2%) – to $82.74 per barrel, ending trading at the maximum mark since April 19.
Quotes of futures for WTI crude oil for September at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by the specified time rose by 24 cents (0.3%) and amounted to $78.98 per barrel. They rose $1.67 (2.2%) to $78.74 a barrel at the end of the previous session, hitting their highest since April 24.
“The unquenchable thirst for summer oil created a snowball effect that led to a multi-week rally,” said Manish Raj, managing director of Velandera Energy Partners. – Supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia have led to increased demand for U.S. WTI crude from Asian buyers.”
According to him, the current situation was influenced by several factors, including growing demand in the U.S. during the summer, strong economic recovery in China and positive outlook for demand in India, where supply remains tight.
Record high demand in the near term will lead to a significant shortage of oil in the market and increase prices for the Brent grade to $86 per barrel by the end of the year, analysts at Goldman Sachs Group believe.
Meanwhile, data from oilfield services company Baker Hughes showed that last week the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased by 7 units to 530.
