Benchmark oil prices are falling Monday morning after a three-month record rise at the end of last week.
The price of September futures for Brent on the London-based ICE Futures exchange at 8:18 a.m. Q4 is at $78.02 a barrel, down 45 cents (0.57%) from the previous session’s close. On Friday, these contracts rose by $1.95 (2.6%) – to $78.47 per barrel, having updated the maximum since May 1.
Quotes of futures for WTI crude oil for August at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by the specified time decreased by 47 cents (0.64%) and amounted to $73.39 per barrel. At the end of the previous session they rose by $2.06 (2.9%) – to $73.86 per barrel.
Last week Brent rose in price by 4.1%, WTI – by 4.6%.
Positive factors for the oil market were the data on the third consecutive weekly reduction of inventories in the United States and the news about the extension of voluntary production cuts by Saudi Arabia.
As reported, commercial oil reserves in the U.S. last week decreased by 1.5 million barrels. Experts surveyed by S&P Global Commodity Insights, on average, predicted a decline of 3.6 million barrels.
Saudi Arabia announced the extension of a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million bpd for August. Thus, the country’s production in August will remain at around 9 mln bpd.
Saudi Arabia will increase prices in August for all oil grades for US, Northwest Europe and Mediterranean customers as well as for some grades for Asian customers.Saudi Arabia raises oil prices slightly for US and Europe
The most significant price increases will be for customers from the Mediterranean (1-1.1%) and Northwest Europe (0.8%). For the US, Saudi oil will rise by 0.1%.
The cost of the main grade supplied to Asia, Arab Light, will increase by $0.2 per barrel next month. As a result, it will be $3.2 a barrel more expensive than the Oman and Dubai oil basket.
EUROPE, OIL, SAUDI ARABIA, US
The market is supported by the data on decrease of reserves in the USA, published the day before, as well as the information on increase of prices for most grades of oil by Saudi Arabia for the buyers from all regions.
The September futures for Brent crude oil on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stood at $76.85 per barrel by 8:15 a.m. on Friday, $0.33 (0.43%) above the previous session’s closing price. Those contracts fell $0.13 (0.2%) to $76.52 a barrel on Thursday.
The price of WTI futures for August at electronic trades of NYMEX grew by $0.32 (0.45%) up to $72.12 per barrel by that time. The price of these contracts remained practically unchanged the day before and amounted to $71.8 per barrel by market close.
According to U.S. Department of Energy, last week commercial oil inventories in the country decreased by 1.5 mln barrels to 452.2 mln barrels. Gasoline inventories decreased by 2.5 million barrels and distillates by 1 million barrels.
Experts polled by S&P Global Commodity Insights, on average, predicted a 3.6 million barrels reduction of oil reserves, 1.7 million barrels of gasoline and 700,000 barrels of distillates.
Stocks at Cushing terminal, which stores crude oil traded on Nymex, decreased by 400,000 barrels to 42.8 million barrels over the week.
Saudi Arabia will raise prices for all grades of crude in August for customers in the United States, Northwest Europe and the Mediterranean, as well as some grades for customers in Asia, state-run Saudi Aramco said Thursday.
“Macroeconomic uncertainty and concerns about the pace of China’s economic recovery are impediments to a further rebound in oil prices,” said ING analyst Warren Patterson.
“Expectations of a stronger Federal Reserve hawkish mood are also not supporting risk appetite,” Market Watch quotes the expert as saying.
Oil prices of benchmark grades are weakly falling Thursday morning after an increase in the previous session.
The price of September futures for Brent on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stood at $76.41 a barrel by 8:10 a.m., down $0.24 (0.31%) from the close of the previous session. Those contracts rose $0.4 (0.5%) to $76.65 a barrel on Wednesday.
The price of WTI crude futures for August at electronic trades of NYMEX fell by 6 cents (0.08%) to $71.73 per barrel by that time. The day before these contracts rose $2 (2.9%) to $71.79 a barrel.
A positive factor in previous session was the statements of the Minister of Energy of Saudi Arabia Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman that OPEC+ will do everything necessary to support the oil market.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its voluntary oil production cut of 1 million bpd for August. Thus, the country’s oil production will remain at around 9 mln bpd in August.
Meanwhile, according to the American Petroleum Institute (API), U.S. oil inventories fell by 4.38 million barrels last week.
Official data from the nation’s Energy Department will be released Thursday at 6 p.m. Q, a day later than usual since Tuesday was a non-working day in the States. Experts polled by Trading Economics, on average, forecast a decrease in oil reserves by about 1 million barrels.
Oil is moderately expensive on Tuesday morning.
The price of September Brent futures on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stands at $75.02 a barrel by 8:11 a.m., $0.37 (0.5%) above the previous session’s closing price. Those contracts fell $0.76 (1%) to $74.65 a barrel on Monday.
WTI futures for August crude oil grew by $0.36 (0.52%) to $70.15 per barrel at electronic trades on NYMEX. The day before these contracts went down by $0.85 (1.2%) to $69.79 per barrel.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia announced that it was extending its voluntary cut of oil production by 1 mln bpd for August. Thus, Saudi Arabia’s oil production will remain at around 9 million bpd in August.
Meanwhile, Russia, in an effort to balance the market, will voluntarily reduce supplies to oil markets by 500,000 bpd in August by reducing exports by a specified amount, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters.
Oil initially reacted to the news with moderate positivity, but it was not enough for a significant rally, Sevens Report Research analysts said.
A negative factor for the market was the news that the index of business activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector (ISM Manufacturing) fell to 46 points in June from 46.9 points a month earlier. Experts, the consensus forecast of which was quoted by Trading Economic, had expected the growth up to 47 points.
Meanwhile, the euro area manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 43.4 points this month, down from 44.8 points in May, according to final data from Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) and S&P Global. Previously, it had reported a decline to 43.6 points. The final result indicates the sharpest deterioration in the sector since May 2020, Trading Economics wrote.
Oil quotations are weakly rising on Friday morning after a moderate rise in prices at the end of the previous session.
The value of August futures for Brent on London’s ICE Futures Exchange stood at $74.49 a barrel by 8:02 a.m., $0.15 (0.2%) above the previous session’s closing price. Those contracts rose $0.31 (0.4%) to $74.34 a barrel on Thursday.
The price of WTI crude futures for August at electronic trades of New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) increased by that time by $0.01, to $69.87 per barrel. The day before these contracts rose $0.3 (0.4%) to $69.86 a barrel.
Oil gets support from strong statistical data from the U.S. and signals about reduction of fuel reserves in the country.
On the eve of the U.S. Department of Commerce raised its estimate of the country’s GDP growth in January-March to 2% in annual terms from the previously announced 1.3%.
A day earlier it became known that oil reserves in the States last week fell by 9.6 million barrels instead of the expected decline by 4.8 million barrels, according to experts polled by S & P Global Commodity Insights.
Expectations of further monetary policy tightening by the leading central banks of the world are restraining factor for oil quotations.
Fed chairman Jerome Powell said earlier this week that most U.S. central bankers see the possibility of at least two more hikes in the benchmark interest rate. For her part, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said there was a high probability of a rate hike in the eurozone in July.
