Oil prices are stable in trading on Thursday after a strong growth in the previous session, despite an unexpected increase in inventories in the USA.
The market is supported by the growing optimism of traders about the prospects for fuel demand in China. As noted by Bloomberg, Chinese companies are actively buying oil before the long holiday on the occasion of the Lunar New Year, which this time comes at the end of January.
“Investors are more focused on the global demand picture than energy stock data,” notes Tortoise portfolio manager Brian Kessens. – The focus is on China, which is likely to be the main driver of oil consumption growth in the first quarter.”
The cost of March futures on Brent on London stock exchange ICE Futures is $82,7 per barrel by 7:10 a.m. KSC on Thursday which is by $0,03 (0,04%) higher than the price on previous session closing. At the close of trading on Wednesday those contracts rose by $2.57 (3.2%) to $82.67 a barrel.
The price of WTI futures for February increased by $0.02 (0.03%) up to $77.43 per barrel at electronic trades of NYMEX. By the close of previous trading the cost of those contracts rose by $2.29 (3.1%) to $77.41 a barrel.
U.S. commercial oil inventories rose 18.96 million barrels to 439.61 million barrels last week, the Energy Department said Wednesday. Experts polled by Bloomberg agency expected on average a decrease of 2 million barrels, respondents of S&P Global Commodity Insights – by 500,000 barrels.
The increase in oil inventories is probably due to a temporary reduction in production by U.S. refineries at the end of last month due to frost, notes Market Watch. The current inventory level is about 1% higher than the five-year average.
Oil prices rise on Monday after a significant decline in the past week.
The price of March futures for Brent oil on the London ICE Futures exchange by 7:10 qoq on Monday is $79.45 per barrel, which is $0.88 (1.12%) higher than the closing price of the previous session. As a result of trading on Friday, these contracts fell by $0.12 (0.2%) to $78.57 per barrel.
The price of futures for WTI oil for February in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) increased by this time by $0.89 (1.21%), to $74.66 per barrel. By the close of previous trading, the cost of these contracts increased by $0.1 (0.1%) to $73.77 per barrel.
As a result of the past week, Brent fell by 8.5%, WTI – by 8.1%.
Traders are evaluating the prospects for oil demand in China, where the incidence of COVID-19 has increased since the lifting of quarantine restrictions. In addition, fears of a downturn in the global economy remain in the context of the ongoing tightening of monetary policy by the world’s largest central banks.
Pressure on the oil market last week was exerted by the strengthening of the US dollar, lower natural gas prices, as well as the risks of a recession in the world, said Troy Vincent, chief analyst at DTN.
“Warm weather and falling gas prices dampen expectations that consumers will switch from gas to oil this winter,” Market Watch quoted Vincent as saying. “The increase in economic activity in China following the lifting of anti-COVID restrictions is the main factor that could push oil demand to growth. However, there remains serious uncertainty about the timing of the return of the PRC economy to normal activity.”
Ukrainian UPG Group has entered into an agreement to acquire assets of Polish company Baltchem SA Zakłady Chemiczn, as a result the network has got at its disposal a powerful marine terminal in Poland for transshipment and storage of oil products.
According to the group’s statement on its website, this will enable uninterrupted fuel supplies to Ukraine at affordable prices.
It is emphasized that all fuels sold by UPG come from Europe and comply with the fifth environmental standard.
“Adapting our business to today’s challenges, we have established reliable and stable partnership relations with such European producers of high-quality oil products as Royal Dutch Shell, Total Energies SE, Neste Oyj, Glencore Energy in the shortest time,” the statement says.
As UPG notes, from the first days of the large-scale war in Ukraine, the group terminated its partnership with the Belarusian fuel producer, completely abandoning their products, and does not supply Russian fuel since the beginning of the aggression of the Russian Federation in 2014: the annexation of Crimea and the occupation of certain territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
The UPG brand belongs to the fuel company Ukrpaletsystem (Korosten, Zhytomyr Region), which has been operating on the market since 2003.
Oil prices are declining amid fears of a downturn in the global economy and lower energy demand, Trading Economics reported.
This year will be tougher for the global economy than last year, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said. “We expect a third of the world economy to be in recession,” she said in an interview with CBS.
March Brent crude futures on London’s ICE Futures exchange were priced at $85.51 a barrel at 7:00 ksk, down $0.4 (0.47%) from the previous session’s closing price.
The price of futures on WTI crude oil for February on electronic trade of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) decreased by that time by $0.35 (0.44%) – to $79.91 per barrel.
By the end of 2022 Brent quotations went up by about 10%, WTI – by 7%.
The company’s oil price is expected to remain stable on the last working day of the year amid low trading activity, ending the fourth quarter in negative territory, Interfax-Ukraine news agency Interfax reported on Thursday (Dec 2).
Fears that a sharp lifting of quarantine restrictions in China, which has already led to an increase in the incidence of COVID-19, will weaken the country’s economy and, consequently, the demand for oil, put pressure on the market. In addition, investors do not rule out a new wave of coronavirus infection in the world.
Earlier, the Chinese authorities announced that they would resume issuing documents for tourists wishing to travel abroad. The United States and Italy have already announced additional requirements for passengers arriving from China.
Data from the U.S. Department of Energy, released on Thursday, showed an unexpected increase in the country’s oil reserves last week. Reserves rose by 718,000 barrels, while analysts polled by Bloomberg agency forecast an average decline of 1.2 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories decreased by 3.1 million barrels and distillates increased by 283,000 barrels.
The value of March futures on Brent crude oil on London’s ICE Futures Exchange by 7:15 am on Friday stands at $83.8 per barrel, which is $0.34 (0.41%) higher than the price at the close of the previous session. Those contracts fell $0.53 (0.6%) to $83.46 a barrel at the close of trading on Thursday.
The price of WTI futures for February increased by $0.33 (0.42%) up to $78.73 per barrel at electronic trades of NYMEX. By the close of previous trading, those contracts had fallen $0.56 (0.7%) to $78.4 a barrel.
“We have another year ahead of us with serious uncertainty, and the oil market will remain highly volatile,” said Oanda chief analyst Craig Erlam, cited by Bloomberg. – The new year promises many surprises and twists and turns.
Oil prices continue to decline on Thursday with weak trading activity in the last days of the year.
Investors’ optimism connected with expectations of increase of demand for oil after lifting of quarantine restrictions in China was replaced with concerns of new wave of COVID-19 disease in the world.
Earlier Beijing announced its intention to soften the epidemiological requirements for those arriving in the country from January 8. In addition, the Chinese authorities will resume issuing documents for tourists wishing to travel abroad. The U.S. and Italy have already announced additional requirements for passengers arriving from China.
The cost of February futures on Brent oil at London’s ICE Futures Exchange was $83.14 per barrel by 7:15 a.m. KSC on Thursday, down $0.12 (0.14%) from the close of the previous session. Those contracts fell $1.07 (1.3%) to $83.26 a barrel at the close of trading on Wednesday.
The price of WTI futures for February at electronic trades of NYMEX fell by $0.28 (0.35%) by that time to $78.68 per barrel. By the close of previous trading, those contracts had fallen $0.57 (0.7%) to $78.96 a barrel.
“China’s rejection of travel restrictions could trigger a new global wave of COVID-19,” said John Driscoll, director of JTD Energy Services Pte. in Singapore, cited by Bloomberg. – This, in turn, may weaken the demand for oil and lead to lower prices.
On Thursday, traders will focus on the U.S. energy inventory data for the previous week to be published by the country’s Department of Energy at 19:00 MSK.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) report showed that U.S. oil inventories fell by 1.3 million barrels in the week ended December 23, after falling by 3.07 million barrels a week earlier.
