The introduction of quarantine measures to combat the spread of COVID-19 dealt a significant blow to the retail real estate market in Kyiv, as in the first month of quarantine it suffered significant financial and reputation losses, loss of human capital and competitive advantages. “The Kyiv retail real estate market in the first month of quarantine suffered losses of about $50 million,” NAI Ukraine consulting company told the Interfax-Ukraine agency.
The head of the Cushman & Wakefield Ukraine retail property department, Yekateryna Vesna, noted several categories of losses for owners of shopping centers: monetary, reputational, human capital and competitive advantages.
The financial ones include loss of rental income from stores that cannot work, income from the commercialization of common areas and sale of advertising space, a decrease in turnover in stores that are allowed to operate, which leads to a decrease or absence of rental payments from sales.
In addition, according to Vesna, costs for protection and disinfection grew.
“Shopping centers now predict an increase in vacancy. The less popular the facility is, the higher the share of free space will be at the end of quarantine,” the expert predicts.
The owners of the trade malls also suffer loss of human capital, as they had to cut employees or send them on vacation at their own expense. Not all workers will be able to return after trade centers resume their work.
Vagif Aliyev, the founder of PrJSC Mandarin Plaza, the investor and developer of Kyiv-based Lavina shopping center, on November 20 launched the first stage of the Blokbuster Mall shopping and entertainment center in Bandery Avenue in Kyiv, investing $400 million in construction. According to an Interfax-Ukraine correspondent, only a Silpo supermarket has started working in the facility. The rest of the stores will be launched on a fan-based basis as they are ready, the founder of Nai Ukraine, the project broker, Vitaliy Boiko, said.
According to him, the cost of investments in the construction of the Blokbuster Mall shopping center was $400 million. The total area of the first stage is 200,000 square meters, the leased area is 110,000 square meters. After the launch of the second phase, which is at an early stage of construction, the total area will be 300,000 square meters, the rental area some 200,000 square meters. The facility is located on a plot of 30 hectares.
“Vagif Aliyev’s pipeline now contains projects for EUR2.9 billion (12 projects of shopping and entertainment centers). This is the second largest indicator in the world in terms of development of retail real estate. Westfield is the first developer in the world with EUR8 billion, and the third one is one of the largest European investors with EUR2.5 billion. The uniqueness is also that all Mandarin Plaza projects are located in one city – Kyiv,” Boiko said at a briefing.