Global coffee bean production in the 2025/2026 agricultural season will increase by 2.5% to reach a record 178.68 million bags (60 kg each), according to a report by the US Department of Agriculture.
At the same time, the arabica harvest will decrease by 1.7% to 97.02 million bags, while robusta will increase by 7.9% to 81.66 million bags.
Due to the increase in production, global carryover stocks will increase by 4.9% to 22.82 million bags by the end of the season.
“During the current week, coffee prices fell, in particular for Arabica fell to a 5.5-month low amid reports of improved weather conditions in the Brazilian coffee-growing states of São Paulo and Minas Gerais,” the report said.
As reported, at the end of last year and the beginning of this year, the world market saw a high growth in coffee prices. Thus, in February, coffee prices doubled in annual terms. In particular, this was due to the fact that traders were worried about the prospect of insufficient supplies from Brazil, which is the largest producer of Arabica coffee.
