Global demand for coal will rise this year and reach a new all-time high amid a surge in natural gas prices and a summer heat wave that has increased electricity consumption from air conditioners, according to forecasts by the International Energy Agency (IEA).
According to the agency’s estimates, global coal demand will rise by 1.2% in 2026 to 8.94 billion metric tons.
“Coal is virtually not shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, as the Middle East is neither a major producer nor a significant consumer of coal, but the closure of the strait still affected the coal market due to rising natural gas prices,” the IEA said in a statement. “This has stimulated an increase in electricity generation at coal-fired power plants in countries where there is a choice between gas and coal.”
If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz resumes and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies return to the levels seen before the start of hostilities in the Middle East, global demand for coal will decline next year. Otherwise, 2027 will once again set a record for coal consumption, IEA analysts noted.
