Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

Analysis of residential real estate market in Latvia by Relocation

6 June , 2025  

Results for January-May 2025

Decline in Euribor rates

A sharp drop in the Euribor interbank rate by 0.25 percentage points in June 2024 and subsequent easing reduced the cost of mortgage lending. This brought buyers back to the market, especially large families and investors.

Market activity

After the winter slump, an unexpected surge in transactions was observed in January: the number of available properties fell by more than a third, and some market segments experienced shortages. This signaled a recovery in demand.

Mortgage lending trends

New changes in legislation have eased refinancing conditions, with a number of fees abolished and commission thresholds reduced. This has encouraged homeowners who are willing to change their loan terms.

Rental market

Renting a home to avoid extreme risks is becoming a lifestyle choice—renting is no longer just a temporary measure, but a full-fledged alternative to buying. Cafes, coworking spaces, and city services have moved renting into a new category.

Growth in foreign investment

Latvians continue to invest in housing abroad, especially in Southern Europe, and foreign investors are attracted by the growing rental market – but government regulation has already restricted short-term rentals in some countries.

Dynamics in the regions

There is active construction of rental housing (ALTUM projects) in the regions. However, housing shortages in cities such as Ventspils, Cesis, and Jurmala remain a problem.

Prices and forecast for the end of 2025

According to estimates, average housing price growth rates in Latvia are expected to be in the range of 3-7% by the end of the year. For example, a 60 m² apartment in Riga for €150,000 could rise in price to €154,500-160,500.

Breakdown by property type:

Property type Growth forecast

Studio (30 m², €75,000) to €77,250-80,250

Apartment (75 m², €200,000) to €206,000-214,000

Penthouse (100 m², €500,000) up to €515,000-535,000

Where the highest price growth is expected

  • Old Riga – high attractiveness, demand from foreigners and creative sector employees.
  • Agnese, Miera, and Skulte – active renovation, growth of infrastructure projects, and development of workspaces.
  • Mezaparks and Pardaugava – green areas with investment potential, especially for families.
  • Regional cities (Jurmala, Bauska, Cesis, etc.) – demand is picking up, but there are still problems with quality and mortgage financing.
Risks and challenges
  • Mortgage availability: despite lower rates, banks remain cautious, especially in the regions. This limits the options for some buyers.
  • Rental oversupply: an excess of new properties could lead to lower returns.
  • Economic instability: global shocks, including trade wars, could slow infrastructure development and demand.
Conclusions
  • Price: Moderate growth (+3-7%) is expected across Latvia, especially in the capital and attractive areas.
  • Mortgages: Refinancing will drive demand, especially for large apartments.
  • Rental market: Renting is more than just an alternative to buying; it is a lifestyle choice.
  • Investor strategy: attractive investments in mixed-use and regional projects, taking into account renovation and infrastructure development.

Source: http://relocation.com.ua/rynok-zhytlovoi-nerukhomosti-v-latvii-ohliad-sichnia-travnia-2025-roku-ta-prohnoz-na-kinets-roku/

 

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