Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

Million at stake: OTP BANK announces launch of “L’Amour for car” campaign

JSC “OTP BANK” announces the continuation of its favorite customer campaign “Lam on a car”, the main prize of which is UAH 1,000,000 for the purchase of a car. This time, it is accompanied by a new brand character of the Bank – Lyamchik, who gives good luck and suggests opportunities to increase the chances of winning.

“We have made sure that you can test your luck once again. We continue the tradition of special offers, promotions and other pleasant surprises for our customers. And to add vivid emotions, good mood, and positive attitude to the “Lam to the Car” campaign, we have introduced a new character. From now on, Lyamchik is our mascot. Follow his advice closely, as it will help you increase your chances of winning and grow financially,” said Natalia Slichuk, Head of Marketing Department of OTP Bank.

How to join the campaign?

You need to take one of the following steps at an OTP BANK branch, on the financial institution’s website or in the OTP Bank UA mobile application

  • open a term deposit with interest payment at the end of the term, with monthly interest payment or with interest capitalization in the national currency of Ukraine for a term of 90 days to 180 days in the amount of UAH 30,000 or more
  • take a cash loan in the national currency of Ukraine in the amount of UAH 30,000 or more;
  • to obtain a reinforcement in installments in the amount of UAH 5,000 or more.

Lyamchyk sincerely supports each client, so he gives his own tips: each subsequent action that meets the conditions of the promotion automatically increases the chances of winning. There can be an unlimited number of such steps.

Our hero also draws attention to the fact that an additional opportunity to increase your chances is available in the OTP Bank UA app – look for the “Multiply Chances” banner and activate your luck.

The promotion lasts from July 7 to August 31, 2025. The lucky one will be able to choose: to receive UAH 1,000,000 to an account at OTP Bank or to use the funds to purchase the car of his dreams.

We would like to remind you that during the previous stage of the “Lamb for a car” campaign, a client of the Bank from Vinnytsia, who took out a loan for a used car, became the winner.

Details and terms of the campaign are available at the link.

 

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Uzbekistan intends to expand export of IT services and create national AI model

On July 1 this year, the President of Uzbekistan watched a presentation of plans in the field of digital technologies, artificial intelligence, and telecommunications.

The number of residents of the IT park of Uzbekistan has exceeded 2800, and the number of foreign companies has reached 752. About 40 thousand young people earn high incomes in this area.

Over the past 5 years, the industry’s exports have grown from $170 million to almost $1 billion.

In 2024, startups attracted $70 million in venture capital investment.

As a result, Uzbekistan has risen 12 positions and entered the top 100 of the global ranking of startup ecosystems. The country also moved up 17 positions in the international AI readiness index, ranking first in Central Asia.

Uzbekistan topped the ranking of CIS countries in terms of the growth rate of the telecommunications industry.

Work in this area is ongoing. In particular, the following goals are set for the next year:

  1. Digitalization of 70% of public services,
  2. Increase the volume of IT services to $7.9 billion
  3. Rise to at least 55th place in the E-Governance Development Index

As part of the implementation of these goals, a number of draft regulatory documents have been developed and discussed during the presentation.

To date, 760 types of public services have been digitized. Last year, 10 million citizens used digital services.

Shavkat Mirziyoyev noted that it is time to move on to the next stage – building a Digital Government. First of all, digitalization should cover the most popular areas: education, healthcare, construction, and utilities.

Special attention was paid to the development of artificial intelligence technologies. According to the Presidential Decree of October 14, 2024, the AI development strategy until 2030 was approved. USD 50 million has been allocated for the development of infrastructure in this area.

The goal is to create a national model of artificial intelligence and train 1 million specialists.

The Minister of Digital Technologies reported on the current stages of this task and measures to improve the infrastructure.

Expanding the scope of digital services and export potential remains a priority. So far, the main indicators are concentrated in Tashkent, but thanks to the conditions and benefits created in the country, interest from foreign specialists and companies is growing.

In this context, the President emphasized the importance of creating an attractive environment in each region in order to more actively attract foreign IT companies and stimulate the development of the digital economy throughout the country.

 

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Key economic indicators for Ukraine and world in first quarter of 2025

This article presents key macroeconomic indicators for Ukraine and the global economy as of April 1, 2025. The analysis is based on the latest data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the United Nations. Maksym Urakin, Director of Marketing and Development at Interfax-Ukraine, Candidate of Economic Sciences and founder of the Experts Club information and analytical center, presented an overview of current macroeconomic trends.

Macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine

The first quarter of 2025 was a period of slow but positive economic movement for Ukraine. According to updated estimates by the National Bank of Ukraine, the country’s real GDP grew by 0.5% year-on-year, indicating a gradual stabilization after an unstable start to the year. This growth is not high by international standards, but in the context of a full-scale war, constant threats to infrastructure and logistics, and limited access to capital, this result is seen as a positive sign.

“Half a percent GDP growth in the first quarter is more an indicator of the system’s viability than a sign of development. The domestic market has begun to revive, especially in consumption, logistics, and certain technology sectors. But so far, this is mainly growth “in place” — without investment momentum, without exports, without long-term resources,” explains Maxim Urakin.

Inflation remains one of the main challenges. At the end of March 2025, the annual inflation rate was around 12.6%, which is almost unchanged from February but shows a gradual slowdown. The NBU points to the impact of seasonal declines in food prices, currency stabilization, and prudent monetary policy as key factors restraining price growth.

“The main thing is to maintain a balance between fighting inflation and preventing a slowdown in economic activity. The National Bank’s monetary policy in the first quarter was quite balanced: on the one hand, it kept the key rate unchanged, and on the other, it provided soft intervention support for the hryvnia. But we are still far from exiting the inflation risk zone,” the expert emphasizes.

The state of foreign trade, on the contrary, points to deepening structural problems. According to preliminary estimates by the Center for Economic Strategy, the foreign trade deficit reached $3.6 billion in April, as a result of a significant excess of imports ($6.3 billion) over exports ($3.1 billion). According to analysts, the cumulative trade deficit for the first quarter exceeded that of the same period in 2024, despite activity in the agricultural sector and services.

“The worst thing is that this deficit is not situational, but structural. Imports of energy, equipment, chemical products, and transport remain dominant, while exports are mostly limited to raw materials. This threatens currency stability in the event of a cessation of international financial support,” comments the founder of Experts Club.

Against the backdrop of a growing trade gap, the level of international reserves remains a positive sign. According to the NBU, as of April 2025, reserves stood at around $42 billion, a historic high for Ukraine. This growth was made possible by further tranches of financial assistance from the European Union, the US, and the IMF, as well as successful currency operations by the National Bank on the interbank market.

“Reserves of over $40 billion are not just an indicator, they are a safety net for a country living in a state of constant risk. But we should not be tempted by this: it is a resource of trust that must be transformed into economic recovery, otherwise we will lose it again, as we have done in the past,” warns Maksym Urakin.

However, the debt burden remains high. According to the latest estimates, Ukraine’s total public and publicly guaranteed debt at the beginning of April 2025 was about $147.2 billion, or approximately 94% of GDP, of which more than $100 billion is external borrowing. This highlights the country’s dependence on external assistance and international financing, in particular from the IMF, the EU, and the World Bank.

Global economy

Global economic indicators at the beginning of April 2025 point to a slowdown in growth, accompanied by continued inflationary pressures, particularly due to new trade risks and geopolitical instability. According to the IMF, global growth has accelerated its decline to 2.8% in 2025, one of the lowest levels in decades . Inflation is gradually declining in most regions, but remains above target, especially in developing countries .

Macroeconomic uncertainty has intensified amid trade protectionism, rising energy prices, and geopolitical challenges, making forecasting much more difficult. Central banks that have not yet tightened policy are in wait-and-see mode, and investors are becoming more cautious. Morgan Stanley and S&P Global forecasts point to a further slowdown in global GDP to 2.2–2.9% in 2025, which is weighing on investor confidence.

According to the BEA, US GDP contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, the first decline since 2022. This was mainly due to a sharp increase in imports (pre-purchases ahead of possible tariffs) and a reduction in government spending. However, final domestic demand remained relatively stable (+3%). Inflation in March/April was approximately 2.3–2.6% (PCE), in line with the regulator’s expectations; the Fed is keeping rates at 5.25–5.5% pending signs of stabilization.

According to official data, China’s GDP grew by +5.4% y/y in Q1 2025, in line with the government’s target of around 5%. However, fiscal and monetary constraints, particularly in the real estate sector, are slowing down growth. By May, budget revenues had fallen by 0.3% y/y, indicating a slowdown in economic activity. Stimulus measures are being introduced in response, but their effect is still uncertain.

The European Commission forecasts annual GDP growth of +1.1% for the EU and +0.9% for the eurozone, with a marked improvement in the first quarter (+0.6% q/q), the highest figure since 2022. Inflation in March/April was below 2%, gradually approaching the target level.

According to the ONS, in the first quarter of 2025, the UK showed GDP growth of +0.7% q/q, making it the leader among the G7. In annual terms, growth was approximately +1%. Inflation in April was around 3.4%, prompting the Bank of England to remain cautious in lowering rates (from 5.25% to 4.5%). However, exceeding the inflation target is holding back the economy’s recovery.

In the first quarter, Turkey showed positive growth of around +2.3% q/q, or ≈+3.0% y/y. Inflationary pressures remain extremely high at ≈38–39% in March/April, despite measures taken by the central bank.

The Indian economy continues to show one of the highest growth rates among major economies: in the first quarter of 2025, the rate was +7.4% y/y, with inflation under control: CPI — ~3.2% in April. The forecast for the 2024–25 financial year is +6.3–6.5%.

In the first quarter, Brazil managed to achieve GDP growth of +1.3% q/q (≈+3.5% y/y), which is the best result in the last two years. However, inflation rose to 5.48% in April, the highest level since February 2023, and is a source of serious concern.

“The world at the beginning of the second quarter shows promise, but at the same time high instability. The US has fallen into recession, but domestic demand is still holding up. Europe is slowly emerging from the crisis, and the UK is showing resilience. China is stable in terms of growth but weak in consumption. India is a model of dynamism and innovation. Turkey is on the brink of an inflationary crisis. Brazil is moving forward but is at risk due to rising prices. Ukraine must now decide whether to use the flow of imported resources solely to offset the deficit or turn it into an opportunity for a technological and industrial breakthrough,” said Maxim Urakin.

Conclusion

At the beginning of the second quarter of 2025, Ukraine’s economy is in a phase of sustained equilibrium. Modest growth, controlled inflation, and record reserves are the basic factors of stability. However, a deep trade deficit, debt burden, and lack of investment drivers remain key risks for the medium term.

The global economic picture remains mixed, with clear geographical imbalances. Ukraine is showing resilience, maintaining growth and record reserves, while facing challenges in foreign trade. Global markets, from the US to India, are shaping new conditions for strategic solutions to these challenges.

A more detailed analysis of Ukraine’s economic indicators is available in the monthly information and analytical products of the Interfax-Ukraine agency, Economic Monitoring.

Head of the Economic Monitoring project, Candidate of Economic Sciences Maxim Urakin

 

https://interfax.com.ua/news/projects/1085984.html

 

National Bank has fined IC INGO

The National Bank of Ukraine on July 7, 2025 applied to JSC “IC ”INGO” (Kiev) a measure of influence in the form of imposing a fine in the amount of UAH 1.819 million for violation of legislation on the protection of the rights of consumers of financial services, reported on the website of the NBU.

According to the information, during the inspection of the company were found violations of legislation on the protection of the rights of consumers of financial services defined by the Civil Code of Ukraine, the laws “On electronic commerce”, “On insurance”, “On financial services and financial companies”, as well as the provisions of the NBU on the peculiarities of the conclusion of insurance contracts with consumers and on the authorization of financial service providers and the conditions of their activities in the provision of financial services.

IC INGO is obliged to pay the fine within one month from the date of entry into force of this decision.

JSC Insurance Company INGO has been providing insurance services for 30 years. Since 2017, the main shareholder is the Ukrainian business group DCH.

 

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NBU last week significantly reduced sale of currency on interbank market

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) last week, almost in the absence of currency purchases, reduced its sale on the interbank market by $213.5 million, or 24.4% – to $661.1 million. According to the National Bank’s data on its website, the cash market recorded its first surplus of $2.8 million over the weekend and Monday, but in the following days dollar purchases again exceeded sales by $20-33 million daily.

The official hryvnia exchange rate fell slightly over the week – from 41.6409 UAH/$1 to 41.7341 UAH/$1, while due to the weakening of the dollar on the international market, the euro rose in price more strongly – from 48.7823 UAH/EUR1 to 49.1210 UAH/EUR1, and on July 2 reached a new record – 49.4093 UAH/EUR1.

In the cash market, the dollar appreciated by only 2 copecks on the results of the week. – to 41.6/41.7 UAH/$1, while the euro appreciated by up to 10 copecks. – 49.35/49.53 UAH/EUR1.

“Short-term (1-3 weeks) is likely to fluctuate within the range of 41.30-42.00 UAH/$1 without going beyond 42.10 UAH/$ in the absence of external shocks or short-term situational surges”, – predict experts of a major participant of the cash currency exchange market “KYT Group”.

In their opinion, medium-term (2-4 months) return to the levels of UAH 42.00-42.50/$1 is possible in case of strengthening of import demand, increase of budget payments or realization of risks with financing or change of expectations and moods of the population and market operators.

As for the euro, KYT Group believes that in the short term, taking into account external factors and stable demand, the euro exchange rate may head towards the corridor of UAH 49.00-49.50/EUR1 with a possible breakthrough to UAH 50.00/EUR1, if it receives additional external drivers.

Medium-term, the European currency is likely to go above UAH 50.00/EUR1, especially if the euro remains at a global high and the current international drivers of its growth are maintained.

“Keep your focus on the euro. If your business model provides for expenses or revenues in euro, it is worthwhile to revise the structure of currency risk already now, to put a margin of safety in contracts or to test possible scenarios of the exchange rate breakout above UAH 50/EUR1”, – the company believes.

Source: https://interfax.com.ua/news/projects/1083979.html

 

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Volume of investments in primary housing in Ukraine in next 2-3 years will grow up to 15% annually

Volumes of investments in primary housing in the next 2-3 years will grow up to 15% annually, such a forecast was voiced by CMO Alliance Novobud Irina Mikhaleva in comments to the agency “Interfax-Ukraine”.

“The market has adapted to the realities of wartime, and key investors – in particular Ukrainians, and for business class – often foreigners, are increasingly choosing new buildings as a tool for preservation and multiplication of capital. In the next 2-3 years we expect that the volume of investment in primary housing will grow by 10-15% annually, the demand for income property and business class real estate will increase, and the main role will be played by trust in the brand of the developer and security of location”, – said Mikhaleva.

She noted the competition from the secondary market, but does not consider it determinant. After all, the primary market competes not only with more comfortable layouts and well thought-out infrastructure, but also with systematically better quality solutions, first of all, safe and inclusive.

“Modern layouts with wider doorways, spacious bathrooms, principles of inclusiveness, new and reliable engineering communication systems, safe and reliable monolithic-frame construction technology, energy efficiency, alternative ways of energy supply,” Mikhailova lists the advantages of primary housing.

According to experts of Alliance Novobud, soon there will be a shortage of ready housing in the segment of the capital’s business and comfort classes. The reasons are different: in the business class part of the projects have not yet been restored or are realized with significant delays, in comfort – the potential demand is higher than the volume of launch of new projects.

“To ensure maximum investor protection, we are implementing several key approaches in Alliance Novobud, in particular, transparency of the legal model, financial stability of the company, construction phasing and internal control. At the same time, we continue to adapt to the needs of the market, offering investors installments more affordable than bank mortgages,” she says.

According to the data of the portal of new buildings LUN, Alliance Novobud was founded in 2006, since 2010 the company has commissioned 37 houses and parking lots. During the full-scale invasion commissioned 12 houses for more than 1.3 thousand apartments in Brovary and in Kiev. In the process of realization 9 houses of Krona Park II residential complex in Brovary and a premium class project in the capital Montreal House.

 

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