The U.S. dollar is strengthening against the euro, yen and pound sterling in trading on Tuesday on expectations that an unexpected decision by several OPEC+ states to cut production will prolong a period of high inflation in the world and delay the end of the cycle of monetary tightening by global central banks.
Such a decision could make it “a little more difficult” for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to deal with high inflation, said James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) of St. Louis.
“This decision by oil-producing countries was unexpected, but whether it will have long-term consequences is an open question,” Bullard said in an interview with Bloomberg on Monday. – Oil prices fluctuate all the time, and it’s hard to track them accurately. Their rise will affect the rate of inflation and make our job a little more difficult.”
According to Bullard, the Fed’s benchmark interest rate, currently at 4.75-5%, should be raised to 5.5-5.75%.
The ICE-calculated index, which shows the dollar’s performance against six currencies (euro, Swiss franc, yen, Canadian dollar, pound sterling and Swedish krona), added 0.11% during Tuesday’s trading, while the broader WSJ Dollar Index added 0.15%.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $1.0893 as of 9:20 a.m., up from $1.0905 at Monday’s market close.
The pound/dollar exchange rate is at $1.2407, compared to $1.2417 the day before.
The value of the U.S. currency in a pair with the yen increased to 132.76 yen against 132.42 yen at the end of the previous session.
The Australian dollar weakened to $0.6755 from $0.6786 a day earlier following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to halt the key interest rate hike.
The RBA kept Tuesday’s rate at 3.6 percent a year, its lowest since May 2012. The rate has been cumulatively raised by 350 bps since last May.
RBA governor Philip Lowe, however, warned that the central bank is ready to resume raising the rate if necessary.
“The RBA Board of Governors believes that further monetary policy tightening may be necessary to return inflation to the central bank’s target,” Lowe said in a statement posted on the RBA website. – Today’s decision to maintain the same rate level gives us time to assess the health of the economy and its prospects amid serious uncertainty.”
