Spot prices for gas in Europe have topped $1350/1,000 cubic meters, their highest since early October, when prices surged to near an implausible $2,000/1,000 cubic meters. On Monday, the price of the closest (January) TTF futures on the ICE Futures exchange reached 116.395 euros per MWh, that is $1,358 per 1,000 cubic meters. In November, day-ahead contracts on the TTF traded at an average of $945, in December, at an average of $1,134/1,000 cubic meters. The average since the start of the year has reached $512.
Experts said that the latest spike in prices could be traced to a Sunday report by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung regarding the stance of Germany’s new foreign minister, Annalena Baerbock, on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. The newspaper said that Baerbock, a representative of the Green Party, has always opposed the pipeline, but was compelled within coalition negotiations to accept the Social Democrats’ unwillingness to forgo the pipeline, which has already been completed. However, now that she has assumed the role of foreign minister, she is constantly being reminded about her previous stance.
The current level of gas reserves in European UGS facilities has already reached 62.83% of their maximum capacity as of Sunday morning, which is 17 percentage points below average figures over the past five years.
The European weather forecast for the current week envisages a new warming (much like in the same period of the previous year).
Wind generation in the past week (December 6 through December 12) accounted for 15.6% of the European energy balance after 18.5% in the preceding week (November 29 through December 5).
