According to Serbian Economist, the International Institute for Middle East and Balkan Studies reports that global instability is intensifying amid the war in Ukraine and strategic uncertainty
The International Institute for Middle East and Balkan Studies (IFIMES, Ljubljana, Slovenia) has published an analysis addressing the growing global disorder and the collapse of former strategic benchmarks against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine and general geopolitical turbulence.
The author of the study, IFIMES Advisory Board member and President-Commissioner of Glendale Partners, Dr. J. Scott Yanger, notes that as the war in Ukraine enters its fifth year, the international system is increasingly characterized by instability, rising conflict, and a decline in the predictability of decisions by key global players.
The article emphasizes that the protracted war in Ukraine, the crisis in the Middle East, tensions surrounding Iran, as well as increasing impulsiveness and lack of coordination in global politics are creating a new environment of strategic uncertainty. According to the author, traditional mechanisms of international deterrence and coordination are increasingly failing, and leading states are acting in an increasingly unsystematic manner.
The analysis pays particular attention to the impact of these processes on the global economy and energy security. In particular, potential disruptions in strategic transport corridors—including in the Strait of Hormuz—are cited as key risks, which could put pressure on global markets and heighten nervousness in the global economy.
IFIMES believes that the further course of events will depend on the ability of international actors to prevent the escalation of existing conflicts and to move from reactive measures to a more sustainable system of political and economic crisis management.
As noted in the publication, the current phase of global politics increasingly demands not only rapid diplomatic solutions but also a rethinking of the entire architecture of international security, which in recent years has shown signs of systemic weakening.
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