Ukraine’s GDP in January 2020 decreased 0.5%, the Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture has said based on information from the State Statistics Service.
The international rating agency Standard&Poors has affirmed Ukraine’s long-term foreign and national currency ratings at “B” level, short-term “B” ratings and ratings on the national scale “uaA,” the outlook on them is “stable.”
The deficit of the national budget of Ukraine in 2020 could increase from 2.09% to 7% of GDP, Yulia Kovaliv, the deputy head of the President’s Office, has said.
Analysts from Bank of America (BofA) at the end of last week worsened the assessment of prospects for the Ukrainian economy in 2020 and expect a decrease in the country’s GDP by 1.1% due to the increased interruptions in its work.
The deficit of Ukraine’s national budget in January-February 2020 was UAH 21.5 billion, including a deficit of UAH 26.13 billion for the general fund, with the target being UAH 30 billion, according to the State Treasury Service.
According to the agency, borrowings for the specified period amounted to UAH 65 billion with the target standing at UAH 85 billion, repayment to UAH 51 billion with a plan of UAH 59 billion.
Ukraine’s GDP could fall by over 0.5% in February 2020, Deputy Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture Minister of Ukraine, Taras Kachka, who is also the Trade Representative of Ukraine, has said.
The Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine intends to worsen its macroeconomic forecast for 2020-2023 over the weakening of the pace of growth of the Ukrainian economy compared with the document approved in October 2019, the ministry has told Interfax-Ukraine.
The international rating agency Standard&Poors has affirmed Ukraine’s long-term foreign and national currency ratings at “B” level, short-term “B” ratings and ratings on the national scale “uaA,” the outlook on them is “stable.”
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) is counting on financing the national budget deficit that has grown due to coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak at the expense of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), central bank governor Yakiv Smolii has said.
Ukraine’s GDP will decline by 4% if quarantine lasts up to three months and by 9% if it lasts longer, Head of Dragon Capital investment company Tomas Fiala has said.
Ukraine’s economy is better prepared for the crisis and its decline will be at the level of other countries, Deputy Governor of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) Dmytro Sologub has said.
Analysts of J.P. Morgan forecast an economic fall in Ukraine at 2.6% of GDP in 2020, calling the condition for such a relatively small reduction the signing of an agreement with the IMF and expecting it in the second quarter of this year.
The macroeconomic forecast, on which the amendments to the national budget were based, implies a drop in the economy in 2020 by 4.8% of GDP, Prime Minister of Ukraine Denys Shmyhal has said.
