Prices for benchmark crude oil are falling on Monday morning, continuing the decline of the past week.
The price of May futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:08 a.m. was $81.52 per barrel, which is $0.56 (0.68%) lower than at the close of the previous session. On Friday, these contracts fell in price by $0.88 (1.1%) to $82.08 per barrel.
Quotes for WTI futures for April in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by this time fell by $0.59 (0.76%) to $77.42 per barrel. At the end of the previous session, the contract fell by $0.92 (1.2%) to $78.01 per barrel.
Over the past week, the international benchmark fell by 1.8%, while the North American benchmark fell by 2.5%.
Investors are being cautious ahead of this week’s release of US inflation data and monthly reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA), which could affect the market outlook, Trading Economics writes.
Traders are also following the truce talks between Israel and Hamas, which have not yet yielded significant results, and assessing China’s foreign trade statistics.
According to S&P Global Commodity Insights, oil imports from China in the first two months of the year fell by about 5.7% to 10.9 million barrels per day.
Benchmark oil prices are moderately rising on Friday morning after a slight decline the day before, which did not prevent the quotes from ending in the black for the second month in a row.
The price of May futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange at 7:01 a.m. is $82.19 per barrel, which is $0.28 (0.34%) higher than at the close of the previous session. On Thursday, these contracts fell in price by $0.24 (0.3%) to $81.91 per barrel.
Quotations for April futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by this time increased by $0.21 (0.27%) to $78.47 per barrel. At the end of the previous session, the contract fell by $0.28 (0.4%) to $78.26 per barrel.
In February, the price of Brent rose by 2.3%, WTI – by 3.2%, despite “various forces that put pressure on the global commodity market,” said FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga.
“In any case, prices remain in a fairly wide range, and it will take a fundamental stimulus to shift the balance of power towards bulls or bears,” he said in an interview with MarketWatch. – “This could be an extension of OPEC+ supply cuts, increased geopolitical tensions, or a pleasant surprise from the Chinese economy.
Benchmark oil prices are falling on Monday morning after falling on Friday and last week.
The price of April futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange at 78:11 Q4 is $81.33 per barrel, which is $0.29 (0.36%) lower than at the close of the previous session. Last Friday, these contracts fell by $2.05 to $81.62 per barrel.
Quotes for WTI futures for April in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by this time decreased by $0.33 (0.43%) to $76.16 per barrel. At the end of the previous session, they fell by $2.12 to $76.49 per barrel.
Over the past week, both brands fell by more than 2%.
Traders are keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East and are waiting for the OPEC+ meeting to discuss the extension of oil production restrictions for another quarter.
“We still expect OPEC+ to extend production cuts into the second quarter of 2024 and begin to gradually lift them only in the third quarter,” Goldman Sachs analysts wrote.
The bank believes that oil prices will fluctuate between $70 and $90 per barrel.
Meanwhile, data from the oilfield services company Baker Hughes showed that over the past week, the number of operating oil rigs in the United States increased by six to 503 units. Meanwhile, the number of gas rigs decreased by one to 120.
Oil prices are declining on Monday morning after rising by more than 6% last week.
The cost of April futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:11 a.m. is $81.85 per barrel, which is $0.34 (0.41%) lower than at the close of the previous trading. On Friday, these contracts rose by $0.56 (0.7%) to $82.19 per barrel.
March futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have fallen by $0.34 (0.44%) to $76.5 per barrel by this time. As a result of previous trading, the value of these contracts increased by $0.62 (0.8%) to $76.84 per barrel.
Trading Economics suggests that the market is undergoing a technical correction. Both Brent and WTI rose by 6.3% last week amid tensions in the Middle East, where the conflict between Israel and Hamas continues. In addition, the US military launched a series of strikes against Yemeni Houthi positions.
At the same time, the number of oil and gas drilling rigs in the United States as of February 9 reached its highest level since mid-December, rising to 623 from 619 over the week, according to Baker Hughes.
Oil prices are rising on Thursday after falling the day before due to data on the growth of US stockpiles.
The cost of April futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:20 a.m. is $80.84 per barrel, which is $0.29 (0.36%) higher than at the close of the previous trading. On Wednesday, these contracts fell by $1.95 (2.4%) to $80.55 per barrel.
March futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have risen in price by this time by $0.3 (0.4%) to $76.15 per barrel. As a result of the previous trading, the value of these contracts fell by $1.97 (2.5%) to $75.85 per barrel.
In January, oil prices rose for the first time in 4 months amid Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea and retaliatory measures by the United States and its allies. Brent went up by 6.1% over the month, while WTI rose by 5.9%.
Last weekend it became known about the death of three US military personnel as a result of a drone attack on a US base in Jordan. Traders are waiting for the US to retaliate, fearing further escalation of the conflict in the region.
“In general, the market remains cautious, waiting for Washington’s response to the attack on the base in Jordan, as well as how Iran will react further,” ING analysts said in a review, as quoted by Market Watch.
The report of the US Department of Energy, published the day before, showed an unexpected increase in oil reserves in the country and an increase in production.
Commercial oil reserves in the United States last week increased by 1.23 million barrels to 421.91 million barrels, the Energy Department said. Experts surveyed by Bloomberg had on average predicted a decrease in reserves by 1.1 million barrels.
Oil production in the United States increased last week, exceeding 13 million barrels per day.
Benchmark oil prices are moderately rising on Tuesday morning after a marked decline a day earlier.
The price of March futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange by 7:14 a.m. was $82.64 per barrel, which is $0.24 (0.29%) higher than at the close of the previous session. On Monday, these contracts fell by $1.15 (1.4%) to $82.4 per barrel.
Quotations for March futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by this time increased by $0.28 (0.36%) to $77.06 per barrel. At the end of the previous session, they fell by $1.23 (1.6%) to $76.78 per barrel.
At the beginning of the last session, oil was actively rising in price on the news of the deaths of three American soldiers as a result of a drone attack on a US base in Jordan. U.S. President Joe Biden claimed that paramilitary groups linked to Iran were involved in the attack. Tehran denied such accusations.
Some market participants fear a direct military clash between the United States and Iran, but Washington may try to “contain the escalation and give a limited, local response amid the electoral cycle,” said XS.com analyst Samer Hasn.
At the same time, oil quotations are under pressure from fears of a slowdown in the economy of China, the world’s largest oil importer, and global demand in general, MarketWatch writes.
