In January-September of this year, Ukrainian enterprises increased their consumption of rolled metal products by 39.49% compared to the same period last year, to 3 million 164.5 thousand tons.
According to a press release from the Ukrmetallurgprom association, 1 million 239.5 thousand tons, or 37.17% of the domestic market for rolled metal consumption, were imported during this period.
According to Ukrmetallurgprom, in the first nine months of 2025, metal companies produced 4.843 million tons of rolled metal (100.4% compared to the same period in 2024), of which, according to the State Customs Service of Ukraine, 2.918 million tons, or 60.3%, were exported. In January-September 2024, the share of exports was 68.9% (3.323 million tons with a total production of rolled metal products of 4.821 million tons).
The share of semi-finished products in export deliveries in January-September 2025 is 32.59%, which is significantly lower than in January-September 2024 (46.98%). The share of flat products in export deliveries in January-September 2025 significantly exceeds the figure for January-September 2024 (44.24% and 39.00%, respectively). The share of long products is also significantly higher than in January-September 2024 (23.17% in 2025 versus 14.02% in 2024).
The structure of imports in January-September 2025 continues to be characterized by the significant dominance of flat rolled products over long products (67.14% and 21.28%, respectively); in January-September 2024, the dominance of flat rolled products over long products was also significant (79.37% and 19.19%, respectively).
“In the first nine months of 2025, the domestic market capacity was 3,164,500 tons of rolled metal, of which 1,239,500 tons, or 39.17%, were imports. In January-September 2024, the domestic market capacity was 2,425,100 tons, of which 927,100 tons, or 38.23%, were imported. Thus, in January-September 2025, there was a 39.49% increase in the capacity of the domestic market compared to January-September 2024, with a simultaneous increase in the share of imports by 0.94%,” the press release states.
According to the State Customs Service, the main export markets for Ukrainian rolled metal products in the first nine months of this year were the European Union (79.9%), other European countries (8.9%), and the CIS (6.2%).
Among metallurgical importers in January-September 2025, other European countries ranked first (50.3%), followed by the EU-27 (22.5%) and Asian countries (20.7%).
As reported, Ukraine’s rolled metal market in 2024 shrank by 6.26% compared to the previous year, to 3 million 288.4 thousand tons, while in 2023 it increased 2.19 times compared to 2022, to 3 million 505.6 thousand tons.
For its development, the Mining and Metallurgical Complex (MMC) of Ukraine requires an increase in annual investments to $2.3-2.4 billion by 2030 from $1.8 billion in 2019, CEO of GMK Center Stanislav Zinchenko said, presenting the study entitled “Metallurgy of Ukraine: Vision 2030” in Kyiv on Friday.
According to him, the country’s mining and metallurgical complex is currently a low-cost exporter of raw materials and semi-finished products, and by 2030 it should become a stable supplier of quality products, maintaining the position of the basic industry in the “new” economy.
He said that among the global trends is weak demand for steel in the coming decades – growth of less than 1% per year; excess steelmaking capacity and the development of protectionism, which leads to high competition in the markets; volatility in steel prices, it is also decarbonization, digitalization, possible changes in supply chains, an increase in the need for capital investments. In general, the situation is characterized by weak market conditions and low financial performance.
In the domestic mining and metallurgical complex, the strong side is vertical integration, the weak side is underinvestment, a high need for investments, large emissions of harmful substances into the environment, insufficient quality of finished products, dependence on exports, low consumption in the domestic market.
In turn, Chief Analyst at GMK Center Andriy Tarasenko identified five strategic areas for the mining and metallurgical complex: cost leadership, increased unit efficiency, environmental friendliness, strengthening the benefits of vertical integration, and diversification by product and market.
To implement these areas, it is necessary to reduce the cost of steel production, increase the share of output with high added value, boost steel consumption from 108 kg per person to 160 kg per person, which will ensure the growth of products with high added value by 38%. It is also required to improve environmental friendliness, reducing CO2 emissions by 20%, dust – by 50%. To increase the production of premium pellets with a high iron content and direct-reduced grade (DR) pellets by 10 million tonnes.
As part of the diversification of product markets it is necessary to expand the geography of sales and reduce dependence on countries with a high level of risk (trade, environmental, military).
Ukraine should pursue a policy of stimulating investment, developing the internal market, countering protectionism and implementing environmental programs, including by joining the European Green Deal.
According to the experts, in the case of such activities, the MMC of Ukraine by 2030 will increase steel production by 14.4% compared with 2019, to 23.8 million tonnes, and will increase foreign exchange earnings from exports by $600 million per year. At the same time, GDP will be additionally generated in the amount of $1.75 billion, tax revenues to the budget will increase by $400 million annually, and capital investments will increase by $1.3 billion.
DOMESTIC MARKET, INVESTMENTS, METALLURGICAL COMPLEX, METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY
