Business news from Ukraine

MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY, MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN NOVEMBER, 2018

Growth of Ukraine’s GDP in July-September 2018 was 2.8% year-over-year, which equals to the preliminary assessment by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine published in the middle of November.
Capital investment in the agricultural and industrial sector in January-September 2018 totaled over UAH 60 billion, including UAH 45 billion in agriculture, which is 38% more than a year ago, Deputy Agricultural Policy and Food Minister of Ukraine Olha Kovaleva said at a press conference.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has once again revised its expectations for Ukraine’s GDP growth for the current year, downgrading the forecast to 3.3% from 3.5%.
President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said that he had signed the law on the state budget of Ukraine for 2019.
The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine has adopted as a basis and in general law No. 9369 with technical and legal amendments to the national budget for 2018.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-October 2018 increased by 66.6% compared with January-October 2017 and amounted to $7.95 billion, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The rise in consumer prices in Ukraine in November 2018 slowed down to 1.4% from 1.7% in October and 1.9% in November and since the beginning of the year has reached 8.9%, the State Statistics Service has reported.
Industrial prices in Ukraine in November 2018 increased by 1.7% after a 0.3% growth in October, 1.2% in September, and 1.3% in August, the State Statistics Service has said.
The national budget of Ukraine for January-November 2018 saw a deficit of UAH 183.6 million, while the ceiling level approved by the law on the national budget is UAH 80.6 billion, the Ministry of Finance has reported.
Ukraine has received the first tranche under the new Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the amount of SDR 1 billion (around $1.4 billion), which boosted the country’s forex reserves to $20.1 billion as of December 21, 2018.
The deficit of the national budget of Ukraine in January-October 2018 was UAH 6.17 billion with the ceiling approved in the law on the national budget being UAH 80.6 billion, while in October its surplus was UAH 1.14 billion, the State Treasury Service has said.
Money supply in Ukraine in November 2018 fell by 1.3%, to UAH 1.229 trillion, according to the respective preliminary data of monetary statistics published on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Ukraine’s gross external debt in the third quarter of 2018 grew by $985 million, or 0.87%, to $114.742 billion, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has said on its website.
Industrial production in Ukraine in November 2018 compared with November 2017 decreased by 0.9% after rising in October by 1.4%, the State Statistics Service has reported.
Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada has passed a bill amending the national budget for 2018, which cuts the financing of three programs to support agriculture by UAH 2.079 billion, to UAH 4.232 billion.
Customs offices as of December 20, 2018 cleared 6,500 cars with foreign license plates imported into Ukraine since 2015 until the day when the new customs clearance rules took effect in the country, the State Fiscal Service reported on its website.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine in January-November 2018 in comparable prices increased by 6.2% compared with January-November 2017, the State Statistics Service has reported.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN SEPT, 2018

The World Bank has lowered its forecast for growth of Ukraine’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018 to 3.3% from 3.5%, Lead Economist and Program Leader covering Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine at the World Bank Faruk Khan said.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the October 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO) lowered its estimate for the growth in Ukraine’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019 to 2.7% from 3.3% projected in April.
The Board of Directors of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is ready to approve a new program to support the economic policy of Ukraine, a Stand-By Arrangement, only after the final review of heating tariffs in accordance with the increase in gas prices.
Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada has approved a resolution on the conclusions and proposals to a bill on the national budget for 2019 drawn up by the parliamentary budget committee, which means the adoption of the draft national budget at first reading.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-August 2018 increased by 45.7% compared to January-July 2017, to $5.004 billion (it was $3.434 billion in January-August 2017.
Inflationary pressure remains high, despite the weakening of the food inflation, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has said, commenting on the September inflation figure on its website.
Consumer prices in Ukraine after a decline by 0.7% in July and stability in August grew by 1.9% in September, and since early 2018 their growth was 5.6%, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The surplus of the national budget of Ukraine in January-September 2018 amounted to UAH 7.329 billion.
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has reviewed upwards growth of consumer prices in 2018 to 10.1% from 8.9%, taking into account the fact that large inflation pressure remains and the regulated prices are increased, the central bank has reported on its website.
The World Bank has improved its forecast for Ukraine’s state and guaranteed debt in 2018 to 67.2% from 75.1% of GDP, in 2019 – from 73.5% to 64.8% of GDP, and in 2020 – from 68.4% to 62.4% of GDP, the World Bank said in its latest Ukraine Economic Update.
The aggregate state (direct) and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine in September 2018 decreased by 0.25%, or by $0.19 billion, to $74.66 billion, according to the website of the Ministry of Finance.
The international reserves of Ukraine in September 2018 decreased by 3.5% and as of October 1 amounted to $16.638 billion, the corresponding preliminary data have been posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The balance of payment in August has a surplus of $27 million, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has reported.
Industrial production in Ukraine in September 2018 decreased by 1.3% compared to September 2017, while in August it fell by 0.5% compared to August 2017, in July the growth was 2.9%, in June this figure was 2.2%, and in May some 2.5%, the State Statistics Service has said.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine in January-September 2018 increased by 5.5% in comparable prices in comparison with January-September 2017, the State Statistics Service has said.
Ukrainians in September were optimistic about the country’s economic development over the next year – the respective index grew by 10 points compared with the August figure, to 62.6, and consumer confidence improved by 2.3 points.

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