Oil prices stabilized on Thursday after falling the day before on signals that the supply of crude oil on the market exceeds demand.
Data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), released on Wednesday night, showed an increase in US stocks last week by 1.837 million barrels. In particular, stocks increased at the Cushing terminal, where oil traded on the Nymex is stored.
The official data on energy reserves will be released by the US Department of Energy on Thursday at 18:00 p.m. If confirmed, the increase in Cushing oil reserves will be recorded for the tenth consecutive week, which will be the longest period of continuous growth since 2016.
The cost of February futures for Brent oil on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:20 a.m. amounted to $79.61 per barrel, which is $0.04 (0.05%) lower than at the close of the previous trading. As a result of trading on Wednesday, these contracts fell by $1.42 (1.8%) to $79.65 per barrel.
Futures for WTI for February in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) fell by $0.09 (0.12%) to $74.02 per barrel. The day before, the value of contracts fell by $1.46 (1.9%) to $74.11 per barrel.
Concerns about the outlook for demand, especially in China, are growing, says CIBC Private Wealth analyst Rebecca Babin, quoted by Market Watch. Oil consumption in China, which was quite high in the first three quarters of this year, is weakening, she notes.
“Lack of confidence in the prospects for the Chinese economy in 2024 is the main factor that worries market participants,” Babin said. – “The second most important factor is the possibility that US production will exceed forecasts, as it did in 2023.
Oil prices are correcting downward after updating December highs the day before, investors continue to assess the situation in the Red Sea.
The cost of February futures for Brent crude oil on London’s ICE Futures exchange as of 7:03 a.m. Q2 is $81.04 per barrel, which is $0.03 (0.04%) lower than at the close of the previous session. At the end of previous trading, these contracts rose by $2 (2.5%), to the maximum since November 30, $81.07 per barrel.
WTI crude oil futures for February at the electronic trading of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) fell by $0.15 (0.2%) to $75.42 per barrel. On Tuesday, those contracts were up $2.01 (2.7%) to $75.57 a barrel, also the highest since Nov. 30.
Yemen’s Houthi rebels have attacked another cargo ship in the Red Sea, Al-Arabiya TV reported Tuesday, citing rebel military spokesman Yahya Sarea. He said the crew of the commercial ship MSC United ignored warning signals three times, after which the rebels fired rockets at it.
Also on Tuesday, the United Kingdom’s Office of Maritime Trade Operations said there were explosions and rocket launches in the Red Sea near the port of Hodeida.
Earlier, Danish transportation and logistics company A.P. Moeller-Maersk AS said it plans to resume shipping in the Red Sea after an international ship security mission. Managing partner of SPI Asset Management Stephen Innes, whose words are quoted by MarketWatch, called the mission a positive step toward restoring safe maritime transportation in the region.
Oil prices are moderately falling on Tuesday afternoon amid low trading activity after Christmas.
The cost of February futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 13:15 pm is $78.96 per barrel, which is $0.11 (0.14%) lower than at the close of the previous trading.
Futures for WTI for February in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have fallen by $0.29 (0.39%) to $73.27 per barrel by this time.
Downward pressure on the quotes is exerted by the strengthening of the US dollar. The DXY index, which reflects its value against six major world currencies, is up less than 0.1%, which reduces the attractiveness of commodities quoted in US currency.
Oil prices are rising on Friday and ending the week with steady growth due to problems with the transportation of energy resources through the Red Sea.
The movement of tankers in the Red Sea has sharply decreased due to attacks by Yemeni Houthis on ships.
The cost of February futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:20 a.m. is $80.04 per barrel, which is $0.65 (0.82%) higher than at the close of the previous session. As a result of previous trading, these contracts fell by $0.31 (0.4%) to $79.39 per barrel.
Futures for WTI for February in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) rose by $0.6 (0.81%) to $74.49 per barrel by this time. On Thursday, these contracts fell by $0.33 (0.4%) to $73.89 per barrel.
Since the beginning of this week, Brent has risen in price by 4.5%, WTI – by 3%.
On Thursday, oil prices fell on the information about Angola’s withdrawal from OPEC, where the country had been a member for 16 years. This decision of Angola indicates the existence of serious contradictions in OPEC, which is trying to limit production to support oil prices, Market Watch notes.
“At first glance, Angola’s withdrawal from OPEC is not such a big deal, given that the country could barely meet its production quota,” said Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn.
“The concern, however, is that Angola’s withdrawal could signal latent tensions over OPEC ceding market share to non-member producers,” he said, according to Market Watch.
Oil prices are moving weakly and in different directions on Tuesday morning after strong growth in the previous session.
The price of February futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange at 7:11 a.m. was $78.09 per barrel, which is $0.14 (0.18%) higher than at the close of the previous session. On Monday, these contracts rose in price by $1.4 (1.8%) to $77.95 per barrel.
Quotations for January futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) by this time decreased by $0.12 (0.17%) to $72.35 per barrel. At the end of the previous session, they rose by $1.04 (1.5%) to $72.47 per barrel.
The rise in oil prices was triggered by attacks by Yemeni Houthis on ships traveling through the Red Sea. As a result, the largest maritime carriers began to redirect their tankers and container ships to other routes, and BP plc suspended all oil transportation through the region.
“These attacks are nothing new, but their intensity has increased in recent weeks,” wrote Robert Fraser of Schneider Electric. – “The Houthis do not have the strength to blockade the region, but they can disrupt shipping and change risk assessments.
In addition, the oil market was supported by the results of the Federal Reserve meeting held last week. Fed officials signaled that the cycle of interest rate hikes is over and predicted a 75 basis point cut in the key rate over the next year.
“The Fed’s decision bolstered hopes for a soft landing, and the macroeconomic data was not bad enough to increase fears of a hard landing,” Sevens Report Research analysts wrote.
Oil prices are rising on Monday amid fears of disruptions in the supply of raw materials through the Red Sea due to attacks by Yemeni Houthis on ships.
The Suez Canal Authority said it was “closely monitoring” the situation after the US reported 14 Yemeni Houthi attack drones shot down on Saturday, targeting merchant ships. A number of shipping companies, including A.P. Moeller-Maersk AS and Hapag-Lloyd, have announced that they will suspend the passage of their vessels through the Red Sea.
The Red Sea “is one of the most important routes for maritime oil supplies,” accounting for about 10% of global flows, says Manish Raj, managing director of Velandera Energy Partners.
The cost of February futures for Brent on the London ICE Futures exchange as of 7:20 a.m. on Thursday amounted to $76.88 per barrel, which is $0.33 (0.42%) higher than at the close of the previous session. As a result of previous trading, these contracts fell by $0.06 (0.1%) to $76.55 per barrel.
January futures for WTI in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) rose by $0.36 (0.5%) to $71.79 per barrel by this time. On Friday, contracts fell by $0.15 (0.2%) to $71.43 per barrel.
Over the past week, Brent rose by 0.9% and WTI by 0.3%. Both brands ended the week in the black for the first time since late October due to growing expectations of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve next year.
