Business news from Ukraine

MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY, MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN JULY-AUGUST, 2019

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ukraine as equity capital as of July 1, 2019, was $33.724 billion, which was 2.6%, or $0.84 billion more than in the beginning of the year, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine said.
The growth of gross domestic product (GDP) of Ukraine in April-June 2019 was 4.6% compared to the same period in 2018, whereas the growth rate in the first quarter was lower, being fixed at 2.5%.
JP Morgan analysts have reviewed its GDP forecast for 2019 for Ukraine improving it from 3.6% to 4.3% along with the sharp growth of GDP to 4.6% in the second quarter compared with the expected growth of 3.8%, according to JP Morgan survey of emerging markets of Eastern Europe.
Capital investment in Ukraine in January-June 2019 grew by 12.3%, while in the first quarter of 2019 – by 17.8%, the State Statistics Service reported.
The Verkhovna Rada of the ninth convocation has appointed Oleksiy Honcharuk prime minister of Ukraine.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-June 2019 increased by 36.3% compared with January-June 2018, to $3.736 billion, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The surplus of Ukraine’s foreign trade in services in January-June 2019 increased by 13.3% compared with January-June 2018, to $2.937 billion ($2.593 billion in H1 2018), the State Statistics Service has reported.
The actual inflation rate in July 2019 exceeded the forecast published in the July 2019 Inflation Report, according to the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The deficit of Ukraine’s national budget in January-July 2019 totaled UAH 2.86 billion, including UAH 10.6 billion of the deficit of the general fund, according to the State Treasury Service of Ukraine.
The largest taxpayers of Ukraine in July 2019 increased tax payments by almost UAH 7 billion compared with July 2018, to over UAH 27 billion, the Office of Large Taxpayers has said in a press release.
Ukraine’s forex reserves in July 2019 grew by $1.2 billion or 5.8%, to $21.84 billion thanks to net purchase of currency on the interbank currency market by the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), according to preliminary data posted on the central bank’s website.
Money stock in Ukraine in July 2019 expanded by 1.8%, to UAH 1.313 trillion, the relevant data of monetary statistics have been posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The total state (direct) and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine in July 2019 increased by 2.55%, or by $2.05 billion, to $82.4 billion, according to data on Finance Ministry’s website.
Ukraine saw a $1.2 billion surplus of a consolidated balance of payments in June 2019 compared with a $750 million deficit in May, a $45 million deficit in April, a $652 million surplus in March 2019 and a $23 million surplus in June 2018.
Industrial production in Ukraine in July 2019 fell by 0.2% compared with July 2018 after a decline of 2.3% in June and growth by 1.6% in May, by 5.2% in April and 2.1% in March, the State Statistics Service reported.
Prices in industry of Ukraine in July 2019 grew by 3.6% after a decline of 2.7% in June, the State Statistics Service reported.
The transport companies of Ukraine in January-July 2019 carried 2.474 billion people, which is 6.1% less than in the same period of 2018, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The transport enterprises of Ukraine in January-July 2019 increased freight transportation by 8.5% compared to the same period of 2018, to 386.5 million tonnes, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The volume of construction work in Ukraine in July 2019 increased by 1.8% compared to July 2018, while in June 2019 from June 2018 this figure rose by 1.7%.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine (legal entities and individual entrepreneurs) in January-July 2019 in comparable prices increased by 10.1% compared with January-July 2018, the State Statistics Service has said.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY, MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN JUNE-JULY, 2019

The Institute of International Finance (IIF) predicts a slowdown in real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Ukraine from 3.3% in 2018 to 2.8% in 2019 and its subsequent slight acceleration to 2.9% in 2020.
The National Bank of Ukraine has improved its macro forecast for 2019–2021: the estimate of the real growth of the economy this year has been raised from 2.5% to 3%, and in the next year from 2.9% to 3.2%.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-May 2019 increased by 27.4% compared with January-May 2018, to $2.634 billion, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine on July 10 approved the strategy for the development of exports of agricultural, food and processing industry products until 2026, as well as a plan for its implementation, the press service of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food has said.
Ukraine’s Investment Attractiveness Index in January-June 2019 fell to the level of 2016, being 2.85 points on a 5-grade scale compared with 3.07 in H2 2018, according to findings of the European Business Association (EBA).
The actual inflation rate in Ukraine in June 2019 was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report (April 2019), according to the NBU’s commentary on the inflation rate posted on the central bank’s website.
Consumer prices in Ukraine in June 2019 fell by 0.5% compared with May 2019, while in annual terms inflation of 9% was seen, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine reported.
The surplus of Ukraine’s national budget in H1 2019 totaled UAH 2.1 billion, including the deficit of the general fund of the national budget being UAH 6.8 billion, while in January-May 2019 the surplus of the national budget was UAH 7.7 billion with the deficit of the general fund of UAH 2.14 billion, Ukraine’s Finance Ministry has reported on its website, referring to preliminary data from the State Treasury Service of Ukraine.
The deficit of the national budget of Ukraine in January-June 2019 amounted to UAH 871 million, in particular the general fund deficit was UAH 8.67 billion with the target being UAH 22.99 billion, the State Treasury Service has said.
The assets of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) in January-June 2019 decreased by 5.3% and amounted to UAH 993.707 billion, the corresponding financial indicators were published by the central bank in the Uriadovy Kurier edition.
The consolidated balance of payments of Ukraine in May 2019 saw a deficit of $750 million against a deficit of $45 million in April, a surplus of $652 million in March 2019 and $266 million in May 2018, which is associated with large payments on public debt and an increase in cash outside banks.
Industrial production in Ukraine in June 2019 decreased by 2.3% compared with June 2018, after growing in May by 1.6%, April by 5.2%, in March by 2.1% , Ukraine’s State Statistics Service reported.
The transport enterprises of Ukraine (excluding the territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol, as well as part of the JFO area) in January-June 2019 increased freight transportation by 8.2% compared to the same period of 2018, to 328.5 million tonnes, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The transport companies of Ukraine in January-June 2019 carried 2.137 billion people, which is 6.3% less than in the same period of 2018, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The volume of construction work performed in Ukraine in June 2019 increased by 1.7% compared with June 2018, while the indicator in May 2019 vs May 2018 rose by 15.7%.
In January-June 2019, retail trade in Ukraine increased by 10.3% in comparable prices year-over-year, the State Statistics Service reported.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY, MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN DECEMBER, 2018

The presidential election campaign started in Ukraine on Monday, December 31, and will last for 90 days.
The World Bank has reviewed downwards its forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth in 2019 from 3.5% to 2.9%, according to the Global Economic Prospects (GEP). Ukrainian businesses predict further economic growth and the creation of new jobs in 2019 for the second year in a row, according to a survey of company heads conducted by the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) in the fourth quarter of 2018.
The minimum wage in Ukraine in 2019 is UAH 4,173. Real wages in Ukraine in December 2018 increased by 9.7% compared to December 2017 and by 14.5% compared to November 2018, the State Statistics Service said.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-November 2018 increased by 66.6% compared with January-November 2017 and amounted to $8.866 billion, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The growth of consumer prices in Ukraine in 2018 slowed to 9.8% compared with 13.7% in 2017, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine has reported.
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) intends to revise the forecast for inflation in the current year upwards.
The revenues of the national budget of Ukraine in 2018 amounted to UAH 928.139 billion and exceeded the target by 1.1%, Finance Minister Oksana Markarova has said, commenting on the information on the website of the State Treasury Service that state budget revenues were 1.3.% or UAH 11.77 billion less than the planned figure.
The revenues of the national budget of Ukraine in 2018 amounted to UAH 928.14 billion, which is UAH 11.77 billion, or 1.3% less than the target, the State Treasury Service of Ukraine reported on its website. Tax payments to local budgets in 2018 grew by 21.6% compared with 2017, to UAH 230.5 billion, the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine has reported.
The surplus of the balance of payment in November 2018 was $1.321 billion, according to a posting on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Industrial production in Ukraine in 2018 increased by 1.1% compared with 2017, while in December 2018 from December 2017 the decline was 3.5%, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The volume of sold industrial products (goods, services) in January-November 2018 stood at UAH 2.262 trillion, which is 17.4% more than in January-November 2017, in particular the volume sold abroad was worth UAH 88.841 billion, the State Statistics Service has reported.
Industrial prices in Ukraine in December 2018 decreased by 0.4% after growth in November by 1.7%, in October by 0.3%, in September by 1.2%, in August by 1.3%, the State Statistics Service has said.
Ukrainian agricultural exports to the EU country in January-November 2018 grew by 6.9% year-over-year, to $5.6 billion.
The transport companies of Ukraine in January-December 2018 reduced passenger traffic by 3.5% compared with 2017, to 4.5 billion people, the State Statistics Service has reported. The transport enterprises of Ukraine in January-December 2018 reduced carriage of goods by 2% from January-December 2017, to 624.1 million tonnes.
The volume of construction work performed in Ukraine in 2018 increased by 4.4% compared with 2017, while growth in 2017 compared with 2016 was 26.3%, according to reviewed statistics.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine in 2018 in comparable prices increased by 6.1% compared with 2017, the State Statistics Service has reported.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN AUGUST 2018

Ukraine’s GDP in 2018 is expected to grow by 3.1% amid 9.5% inflation (Dec over Dec) and the growth is expected to slightly slow in 2019 to 3.0% amid 7.4% inflation, according to an updated consensus forecast released by Ukraine’s Ministry of Economic Development and Trade.
The growth of Ukraine’s gross domestic product (GDP) in April-June 2018 was 3.8% compared to the same period in 2017, whereas according to the preliminary assessment of the State Statistics Service, published in mid-August, this indicator was 3.6%.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-July 2018 increased by 42.7% compared to January-July 2017, to $4.064 billion (it was $2.848 billion in January-July 2017), the State Statistics Service of Ukraine said.
Revenue of Ukraine’s national budget in August 2018 amounted to UAH 93.96 billion, which was UAH 2.79 billion, or 2.9% less than the planned figure, the State Treasury Service of Ukraine reported.
Income from profit tax to the general fund of the national budget in January-August 2018 exceeded the planned figure by 20.2% and amounted to UAH 72.5 billion, the State Fiscal Service has reported.
Money supply in Ukraine in August 2018 grew by 0.3%, to UAH 1.233 trillion, such preliminary data of monetary statistics are posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The gross foreign debt of Ukraine as of the beginning of July 2018 was $113.751 billion, which is 1.47% or $1.7 billion less than at the beginning of the year, according to the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Ukraine’s gross external debt in the second quarter of 2018 declined by $1.4 billion, or 1.2%, to $113.8 billion, and stands at about 93.6% of GDP, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) said, based on its preliminary estimates of GDP.
The international reserves of Ukraine in August 2018 decreased by 2.9% and amounted to the equivalent of $17.232 billion by September 1.
Industrial production in Ukraine in August 2018 decreased by 0.5% compared to August 2017, while in July the growth was 2.9% compared to July 2017, in June this figure was 2.2%, in May some 2.5%, in April some 3%, the State Statistics Service has said.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine in January-August 2018 increased by 5.4% in comparable prices in comparison with January-August 2017, the State Statistics Service has said.
Consumer prices in Ukraine, after the decrease by 0.7% in July, in August remained unchanged, while since the beginning of the year their growth was 3.6%, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine has reported.

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