Stock markets in Western Europe are actively rising during trading on Tuesday, following the US stock market and stock exchanges in the Asia-Pacific region (APR).
The composite index of the largest companies in the Stoxx Europe 600 region rose by 2.01% by 11:18 a.m. to 398.70 points.
The German DAX index rose by 2.25%, the French CAC 40 – by 2.7%, the British FTSE 100 – by 1.46%. The Italian FTSE MIB and the Spanish IBEX 35 gained 2.46% and 2.02% respectively.
American stock indices finished the first trading session of the fourth quarter with a steady growth, the rise of the Dow Jones Industrial Average was the highest since February, amounting to 2.7%.
Global markets are supported by hopes that incoming pessimistic statistics may force central banks to slow down the pace of tightening monetary policy, writes Trading Economics.
Statistical data, published on Monday, showed a decline in the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector in September to the lowest level since May 2020. This was taken by the market as a signal that the tightening of the policy of the Federal Reserve System (Fed) is beginning to suppress economic activity, experts say.
The ISM Manufacturing Index fell to 50.9 last month from 52.8 a month earlier, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Analysts on average expected it to fall to 52.2 points, according to Trading Economics.
Shares of Credit Suisse Group AG rise in price by 4.5%, recovering from the fall the day before on concerns about the ability of the Swiss bank to restructure its business. At the same time, the head of Credit Suisse, Ulrich Körner, announced the stability of the bank’s finances.
Papers of the British Legal & General Group added 4.9%. The insurance company said it would continue to support pension fund clients hit by the sharp rise in interest rates.
The leading gainer among the components of the Stoxx Europe 600 index is British bakery chain Greggs PLC, which gained 9.3%. The shares of the Swiss manufacturer of vacuum equipment VAT Group AG (+6.9%) and the French IT company Atos SE (+6.8%) are also actively growing.
Quotes of futures for US stock indices are declining due to the general decline in interest in risk in world markets.
Statistical data, published on Thursday, confirmed the contraction of US GDP in the second quarter. The country’s economy in April-June 2022 decreased by 0.6% on an annualized basis, according to the final data of the US Department of Commerce, which coincided with the previous estimate and forecasts of analysts surveyed by Trading Economics.
The number of new jobless claims in the US, meanwhile, reached its lowest level since May. The indicator decreased last week by 16,000 to 193,000 from 209,000 a week earlier, the country’s Ministry of Labor reported. Analysts, on average, expected an increase in the number of applications to 215K compared to the previously announced level of the previous week (213K), according to Trading Economics.
The price of shares of CarMax Inc., engaged in the sale of used cars, collapsed during preliminary trading by 15% due to weak reporting of the company. Last quarter, CarMax’s net income more than halved to $0.79 per share from $1.72 per share a year earlier, worse than the average forecast of experts surveyed by FactSet at $1.39 per share. Quarterly revenue increased 2% to $8.14 billion, also falling short of market expectations ($8.54 billion).
Alibaba Group Holding shares lost 3.1% after JPMorgan Chase analyst Alex Yao lowered the company’s target price to $135 from $145. The expert retained an overweight recommendation for Alibaba shares, but noted that he is cautious about the company’s outlook given the weakening consumer spending in China.
The price of Kraft Heinz Co. stable in pre-trading despite UBS’s upgraded recommendation for US food maker shares to Neutral/Sell.
The share price of Occidental Petroleum rose 0.1%. On the eve it became known that the investment company of the American billionaire Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway bought another 6 million shares of Occidental, increasing its share to 20.9%.
Berkshire fell 0.95%.
The share price of the American pharmacy chain Rite Aid Corp. fell by 12%. The company’s net loss in the second financial quarter ended August 27 more than tripled year-on-year to $331.3 million, or $6.07 per share, from $100.3 million, or $1.86 per share. Rite Aid wrote off $252.2 million last quarter due to a business reorganization.
The value of the December E-mini futures contract for the S&P 500 fell by 1.2% by 15:55 CST on Thursday and amounted to 3686.5 points. The quote of the December E-mini futures on the Dow Jones index decreased by this time by 0.99%, to 29456 points. Futures on the Nasdaq 100 for December fell 1.5% to 11381.25 points.
Quotes of futures for US stock indices change without any dynamics on Wednesday.
Investors fear that the US Federal Reserve’s determination to fight persistently high inflation will continue to push up borrowing costs, hurting the economy and corporate profits, MarketWatch writes.
“Our main view is that further tightening of US financial conditions is unlikely to stop until the economy either enters a clear recession or shows steady progress on inflation,” wrote Goldman Sachs analyst Dominic Wilson.
The yield on ten-year US government bonds rose above 4% per annum during trading on Wednesday, updating the maximum since April 2010, according to The Wall Street Journal. Moreover, the yield of US government bonds shows a record growth rate in four decades amid fears that the Fed is not going to abandon its policy of raising rates to combat the highest inflation in four decades.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Ian is approaching the US state of Florida, which has almost reached the fifth category on the scale of hurricane winds, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday.
According to the US Air Force, “Ian” rapidly gained strength in the Gulf of Mexico and at 7 am local time (14:00 KST) was 105 km from the coastal city of Naples, which is located in Florida.
The state’s losses from the effects of the hurricane could exceed $45 billion, Enki Research expert Chuck Watson predicted. Ian could be one of the eight worst hurricanes in US history, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Shares of Tyson Foods Inc. rise in price by 0.5%. The American food manufacturer made changes in the company’s management, including replacing the financial director.
Papers Lyft Inc. decrease by 1.1%. The American taxi ordering service will stop hiring new employees before the end of this year.
Share price of Apple Inc. decreases by 2.3%. The company is abandoning plans to increase production of new iPhone 14 models due to weak demand, Bloomberg writes, citing people familiar with the matter.
The value of the December futures E-mini on the Dow Jones index by 15:43 CSK increased by 0.37% and amounted to 29310 points. Quotation of the December E-mini futures on the S&P 500 rose by this time by 0.23%, to 3669.50 points. Futures on the Nasdaq 100 index for December lost 0.13% and reached 11,319 points.
US-based Development Finance Corporation (DFC, formerly OPIC), an agency of the US federal government, has announced its readiness to lend to Ukrainian businesses within individual projects in amounts ranging from $1 million to $1 billion each, Deputy Economy Minister of Ukraine Oleksandr Hryban said.
“The DFC agency is ready to lend to projects in Ukraine for amounts from $1 million to $1 billion. For the sake of Ukraine, they made an exception and are ready to issue loans even if an American investor is not represented in Ukrainian business,” he said.
At the same time, this information is not yet available on the DFC website. The press release of the corporation says that its head Scott Nathan within the framework of the 77th UN General Assembly last week joined a meeting chaired by President of Poland Andrzej Duda and with the participation of Prime Minister of Ukraine Denys Shmyhal. At the meeting, representatives of Polish and Ukrainian business circles discussed efforts to restore the Ukrainian economy in light of the devastation caused by Russia’s unprovoked war.
According to Hryban, DFC is ready to support Ukraine with several different financial instruments, in particular, to provide coverage for credit risks, including political and war ones.
In addition, the official added that DFC is ready to issue free financial grants to those companies that are recognized as promising, but which have not yet passed an international financial audit.
The Kyiv International Institute of Sociology notes a multiple drop in the share of those wishing to leave for permanent residence in the United States or EU countries in the event of obtaining citizenship of these countries from the fall of 2020.
“In October 2020, KIIS conducted an all-Ukrainian telephone survey, which, among other things, posed the question “And if you were now granted US or EU citizenship without conditions, would you go to these countries for permanent residence?” At that time, 28% of all adults of Ukrainians were ready to go abroad.In September 2022, we asked this question again… 91% became more of those who would not want to leave,” the press release on the results of the study says.
At the same time, KIIS notes that currently about 10% of adult Ukrainians are now abroad as refugees. “However, even if half of them would answer yes to this question (recent surveys of Ukrainian refugees show that in fact the majority still want to return home, that is, the answers “yes” would most likely be less than half), then the decline in emigration sentiment would also be significant, from 28% to around 13%.
According to the results of the study, in all regions of Ukraine, the absolute majority of the population (90-92%) would not want to travel abroad.
In terms of age, younger respondents are more willing to emigrate, but in fact, among all ages, the vast majority (at least 84%) would not want to go to live in the US/EU. “In 2020, almost half (46%) of young people under 30 would like to leave, now it is 13%,” the KIIS stressed.
The survey was conducted on September 7-13 by the method of telephone interviews using a computer (CATI) among 2,000 respondents from all regions of Ukraine, controlled before February 24, and did not cover citizens who left abroad. The statistical sampling error under normal circumstances (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) did not exceed 2.4% for indicators close to 50% and 1.1% for indicators close to 5%. In war conditions, a certain systematic deviation is added to the error, but the results obtained still retain high representativeness, the KIIS notes.
Stock indices of Japan and Australia rose at the auctions on Monday, following the US stock market, which confidently strengthened at the end of last week.
At the same time, the exchanges of China, Hong Kong and South Korea were closed. China celebrates the autumnal equinox, while Korea celebrates Chuseok.
American stock indexes closed trading on Friday with active growth, ending the first week of the last four in positive territory. Investors followed the statements of the world’s central banks and signals about global inflation.
This week, market participants are waiting for data from the US Department of Labor on the dynamics of consumer prices in August, which will be published on Tuesday, as well as data on industrial production, retail sales and capital investment in China in August, which will be released on Friday.
Meanwhile, outbreaks of coronavirus in China and the restrictive measures introduced in connection with them remain a cause for concern, writes MarketWatch.
The Japanese Nikkei 225 closed up 1.16%. The indicator reached its maximum value in two weeks.
The growth leaders among the components of the index are the shares of retailer Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (+4.7%), providing online medical services M3 Inc. (+3.9%) and rail and bus operator Keisei Electric Railway Co. (+3.6%).
Asia’s largest clothing retailer Fast Retailing rose 2.3%, while automaker Nissan Motor Co. – by 2.45%.
The Australian S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.02%.
The market value of the world’s largest mining companies BHP and Rio Tinto increased by 3.5% and 1.8%, respectively.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia rose 0.8%, Westpac Banking Corp. – by 1.04%, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. – by 1.35%.
