The gross corn harvest in Ukraine in the 2025 season was collected on an area of 87% of the sown area and amounted to 27.5 million tons with an average yield of 7.13 tons/ha, analysts at brokerage company Spike Brokers reported on Telegram.
According to their estimates, as of December 25, 2025, an average of about 551,000 hectares of unharvested corn remained in Ukraine.
“With the current average yield in the country at around 7.1 t/ha, this forms a basic potential for an additional harvest of about 4.0 million tons,” the brokers emphasized.
They noted that the key unharvested areas are concentrated in regions with significantly higher than average yields. The largest residues are recorded in the Sumy region (93 thousand hectares with a yield of 8.0 tons/ha), Zhytomyr (56 thousand hectares and 7.7 tons/ha), Chernihiv (49 thousand hectares and 8.8 tons/ha), Kyiv (29 thousand hectares and 9.2 t/ha) and Cherkasy (29 thousand hectares and 7.0 t/ha) regions.
“According to estimates of the harvesting potential, taking into account the actual yields of these regions, the total additional harvest in key regions alone may exceed 2.3 million tons. Taking into account the rest of the regions, the final harvest potential may exceed the baseline estimate and approach 4.3-4.5 million tons,” experts say.
They noted that corn exports through seaports have slowed down, leading to a further decline in prices. Increased risks and additional costs of exports through seaports continue to put pressure on prices in this direction. The spot corn index with CPT port delivery (30 days) fell to $204 per ton.
“If prices continue to fall by at least $5 in the direction of seaports, the western border will begin to form a competitive alternative for a number of regions in central Ukraine. At the same time, supply continues to grow in the direction of the western border: FCA Chop deals with delivery in March-May were concluded at EUR180,” Spike Brokers summarized.
