The real gross domestic product (GDP) of Ukraine in the second quarter of 2022 fell by 37.2% compared to the second quarter of 2021 after falling by 15.1% in the first quarter of this year, the State Statistics Service has published a preliminary estimate.
The decrease in real gross domestic product (GDP) of Ukraine in August 2022 compared to August 2021 is estimated at 35%, the Ministry of Economy has given such an estimate.
Ukraine’s real GDP will fall by 31% in 2022 and will recover by 8% in 2023 if half of the current major negative factors are resolved by the end of 2022, and by the end of 2023 they will disappear, predicts the investment company Concorde Capital.
The recovery of Ukraine’s real GDP next year after a 32% slump this year will be negligible-4%, due to the loss of physical assets and human capital, predicts ICU investment group.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) still expects Ukraine’s economy to contract by 30% in 2022, but for 2023 it has worsened its growth forecast from 25% to 8%, according to the bank’s Regional Economic Outlook report.
Exports of goods from Ukraine in August increased by 13.9% compared to July – up to $3.363 billion, while imports decreased by 2.3% – to $4.416 billion, said the Ministry of Economy. According to its data, as a result of negative balance of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in the past month decreased to $1.053 billion from $1.569 billion in July and $1.549 billion in June.
Ukraine’s merchandise trade deficit for the first half of September 2022 was only $111 million compared to $1.05 billion in August, Deputy Economy Minister – Trade Representative of Ukraine Taras Kachka said on Facebook on Thursday.
The draft state budget for 2023 provides for UAH 1.28 trillion of revenues and UAH 2.57 trillion of expenses, said Prime Minister of Ukraine Denis Shmygal.
Ukraine’s consolidated balance of payments deficit in July 2022 was $299 million compared to a surplus of UAH 484 million in July last year, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) said on its website.
Ukraine’s international reserves as of September 1, 2022, according to preliminary data, amounted to $25 billion 436 million (in equivalent), which is 13.6% more than at the beginning of June ($22.757bn), according to the National Bank of Ukraine.
Consumer price growth in Ukraine accelerated to 1.1% in August 2022 from 0.7% in July, the State Statistics Service (Gosstat) said.
Taxable imports of land vehicles to Ukraine in January-August 2022 decreased by 53% compared to the same period in 2021, to $2.191bn.
Head of the project “Economic Monitoring” candidate of economic sciences Maksim Urakin
macroeconomic indicators, URAKIN
