If the presidential elections were held in Ukraine next Sunday, then incumbent head of state Volodymyr Zelensky would receive 26% of votes among those who intend to take part in the vote, according to the results of a sociological survey conducted by the sociological service of the Razumkov Center from October 14 to 20.
At the same time, according to the study, Zelensky would have received the largest number of votes in the first round (17% of all respondents or 26% of those who will take part in the elections and have decided who they will vote for).
Fifth president, leader of the European Solidarity party Petro Poroshenko is in the second place, 9% and 14% of respondents intend to vote for him, respectively; leader of the Opposition Platform – For Life party Yuriy Boiko gets 7% and 12%, respectively.
Leader of the All-Ukrainian association Batkivschyna Yulia Tymoshenko gets 7% and 10%, respectively, ex-speaker of parliament Dmytro Razumkov – 6% and 9%, ex-MP Yevhen Muraev – 4% and 6%, Strenth and Honor party leader Ihor Smeshko would get 3% and 5%.
The next in the ranking is leader of the “Ukrainian Strategy” Volodymyr Groisman – 2% of all respondents are ready to vote for him and 3.5% among those who intend to take part in the elections; some 2% and 3% of respondents respectively would vote for leader of the Civil Position party Anatoliy Hrytsenko, for leader of the Radical Party Oleh Liashko – 2% and 2%, for the showman Serhiy Prytula – 1.5% and 2%, for representative of the All-Ukrainian Association “Svoboda” Ruslan Koshulynsky – 1% and 2%, for mayor of Kyiv Vitali Klitschko – 1% and 1% each.
According to the survey, in comparison with the end of July-beginning of August 2021, the electoral support of President Zelensky decreased (from 19.5% to 17% among all respondents). Also, compared to January, the level of Boiko’s electoral support decreased (from 13% to 7% among all respondents), which may partly be due to the appearance of Muraev on the list of candidates proposed to the respondents.
In addition, compared to January, the level of electoral support of Poroshenko decreased (from 12% to 9% among all respondents). From late July to early August, the level of electoral support for Razumkov increased (from 2% to 6% among all respondents).
The research was carried out by the method of “face-to-face” interviews at the place of residence of the respondents. A total of 2,018 respondents aged 18 and over were interviewed in all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of Crimea and the occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, according to a sample representing the adult population in terms of basic socio-demographic indicators.
The theoretical sampling error (excluding the design effect) does not exceed 2.3% with a probability of 0.95.
The sociological survey was carried out within the framework of research projects carried out by the Razumkov Center with the support of the representative office of the Hanns Seidel Foundation in Ukraine.
