The resumption of the interest of foreign investors to the hryvnia-pegged government domestic loan bonds is not yet brining risks for the country’s economy, according to members of the monetary policy committee of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
“Usually, the risks associated with the inflow of short-term debt capital arise from its entry into the private sector with subsequent overheating of consumer demand. As for the capital inflows mainly in government loan tools, the risks of economic vulnerability are minimized. In addition, the inflow occurs in hryvnia-pegged loan tools that shifts currency risks to foreign investors,” the committee members said at a meeting, which minutes are dated January 30, 2019.
The committee members also draw attention to the fact that nonresident investment in government bonds remains insignificant relative to the total amount of government bonds on the market, and does not exceed the figures of the previous year. Moreover, thanks to the inflow of capital from nonresidents, the NBU has the opportunity of increasing international reserves, that is, creating a “safety cushion” in case of a possible outflow of capital.
As reported, nonresidents in January 2019, after six months of absence, resumed investments in government bonds. According to the NBU, since the beginning of the year as of February 11, the portfolio of government bonds owned by nonresidents more than doubled, to UAH 13.418 billion. At the same time, the total amount of government bonds issued by this date was UAH 758.182 billion, including the NBU owning securities for the amount of UAH 340.724 billion, banks – UAH 372.805 billion, legal entities – UAH 24.433 billion, and individuals – UAH 6.802 billion.
Several companies and banks are designing a mobile application for buying government domestic loan bonds, Head of the Depositary Operations Department of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) Andriy Suprun has said.
“I think that next year, perhaps at the beginning of the year, the purchase of government domestic loan bonds by individuals can occur in several clicks in a mobile application. Several market players are currently working on the creation of this solution,” he said at the annual Ukrainian Financial Forum in Odesa, organized by the ICU investment group.
Suprun said that the NBU, for its part, provides them with the necessary support.
“We are writing an open API [application programming interface] and allow everyone to get involved in this competition, to provide the corresponding service to the market,” he said.
In addition, the representative of the NBU said there will be an opportunity to submit brokerage applications in the primary government domestic loan bonds market in the near term.
“In fact, the next auction can take place with a possibility for any investor to submit applications to the Finance Ministry through primary dealers. This should improve the indicators of attracting funds, primarily from the population,” Suprun said.
In general, he considers these initiatives to be mutually beneficial for the state and the population.
“The state receives a resource, natural persons – a good percentage, almost tax free, in contrast to deposits, as well as a 100% state guarantee for any amount,” he said.