Fixygen has prepared an analytical report with a forecast for the cryptocurrency market for September 2025:
The overall market picture as of September 1 is as follows:
- Bitcoin: The beginning of September is seeing consolidation around $115,000 after reaching a record high of over $124,000 in August.
- Seasonality: September is historically weak — the average decline in BTC is around 3.8–4%, with altcoins losing up to 30–50%.
- Technical analysis: The current price of BTC is around $108,000–109,000, with a starting price for the month of $108,253. Support is in the $100,000–101,000 range, with a possible move to the mid-$90,000 range under unfavorable conditions. However, the RSI indicates a hidden bullish divergence and the likelihood of a recovery to new ATHs within 4–6 weeks.
- Ethereum: Movement in the range of $4,428 to $5,331 is forecast for September.
- XRP: The current price is $2.75. There are two possible scenarios: a drop to $2.50–2.60 (–10% maximum) or a rebound to $3.70 and even $4 with a breakout from the triangle pattern and positive ETF sentiment.
- Altcoins: Opportunities are ripe among meme coins such as PEPE (expected growth of 3–5×) and LayerBrett (in presale, potentially 100×).
- Institutional demand: Treasury companies hold nearly 1 million BTC, creating a supply shortage in the market.
- Macro and regulatory policy:
- Cryptocurrency reserves (US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve) have been created, which theoretically increases long-term demand.
- Tether is discontinuing USDT support on several blockchains — this event may cause short-term volatility.
- Significant token events: IDO, TGE, campaigns on Binance Wallet — this may stimulate short-term interest in new projects.
A number of risks to the market must also be taken into account. Let’s start with the fact that September is traditionally the worst month for crypto; historical data shows significant market declines during this month. Macro risks should also be kept in mind: high Fed rates and uncertain regulatory decisions may put pressure on the market, while the illusion of a bullish rally (FOMO) may lead to overheating and irrational decisions.
Therefore, Fixygen offers three main market development scenarios.
Scenario A: “Red September” (probable, baseline)
- BTC rolls back to $100,000, Ethereum to $4,400, XRP to $2.50–2.60.
- Meme coins remain volatile, with possible growth for certain names.
- Supply shortages and institutional activity mitigate the decline, but the overall tone is weak.
Scenario B: “Moderate Recovery”
- BTC holds $108–115k, with a possible return to new highs by the end of the month.
- ETH breaks through $5,000+, XRP may rebound to $3.5–4 with favorable signals and ETF sentiment. Scenario C: “Euphoric”
Large-scale institutional demand, Fed easing, rising sentiment — BTC rises above $124K by mid-September.
- MEME tokens such as PEPE and LBRETT show short-term surges (x3-5 and up to x100).
Source: https://www.fixygen.ua/news/20250902/prognoz-rinku-kriptovalyut-na-veresen-vid-fixygen.html
CRYPTOCURRENCY, Fixygen
