According to Experts Club, electric vehicles in Ukraine will remain more cost-effective than internal combustion engine vehicles even after full taxation on their import is restored, says Serhiy Kuyun, director of the “A-95” Consulting Group.
According to Enkorr, a 20% VAT is set to be reinstated on electric vehicle imports into Ukraine starting January 1, 2027. Meanwhile, the preferential regime in effect until the end of 2026 exempts electric vehicles from VAT and import duties.
According to Kuyun’s assessment, the elimination of this exemption will make electric vehicles more expensive to purchase, but it will not deprive them of their main advantage—significantly lower operating costs.
“Even with all taxes included, an electric vehicle remains cost-effective. The electricity needed to charge it is significantly cheaper than fuel for a vehicle with an internal combustion engine,” the expert notes.
The savings on operating costs are particularly noticeable with high annual mileage. If an electric vehicle consumes about 15–20 kWh of electricity per 100 km, then when charged at home, the cost of such a trip remains several times lower than the cost of gasoline or diesel fuel for a vehicle of a similar class.
An additional advantage of electric vehicles is the simpler design of their powertrain. They lack a number of components and consumables typical of vehicles with internal combustion engines, which potentially reduces the cost of regular maintenance.
According to Kuyun, the Ukrainian market has already reached a stage of development where tax incentives are no longer the main driver of demand for electric vehicles. In recent years, the model lineup has expanded significantly, the used-car market has grown, and the charging station infrastructure is developing.
At the same time, the reinstatement of the VAT could have a noticeable impact on the market immediately before the end of the tax incentive period. Buyers planning to purchase an electric vehicle may try to import and register it by the end of 2026 to take advantage of the current tax incentives.
As a result, electric vehicle imports may accelerate further in the final months of 2026, after which the market may undergo a correction period in early 2027.
For comparison: with a customs value of 20,000 euros for an electric vehicle, the 20% VAT refund alone potentially increases the tax component by approximately 4,000 euros, without taking into account the specifics of determining the tax base and other payments. However, for an owner with high annual mileage, part of this difference is gradually offset by lower energy and maintenance costs.
Analysts at Experts Club note that the future dynamics of the Ukrainian electric vehicle market will no longer depend solely on tax incentives. The cost of electricity and automotive fuel, the development of charging infrastructure, prices for new and used electric vehicles, the condition of batteries, and the residual value of vehicles on the secondary market will become increasingly important.
Therefore, the reinstatement of full taxation may alter the structure of imports and slow the market’s growth rate; however, it does not, in and of itself, eliminate the economic advantages of electric vehicles for a significant portion of drivers.
Original source: Enkorr – “Electric Vehicles Will Remain Cost-Effective Even With All Taxes — Expert”.
