Business news from Ukraine

In Hungary, starting January 1, 2027, the VAT rate for certain new housing units may increase from the current reduced rate of 5% to the standard rate of 27%, which will put additional pressure on the prices of apartments in new buildings, according to local media reports.

The current preferential rate of 5% applies to new apartments with an area of up to 150 square meters and single-family homes with an area of up to 300 square meters that meet the established requirements. According to an official clarification from the Hungarian National Tax and Customs Administration (NAV), this regime, in its current form, remains in effect until December 31, 2026.

After that, the standard VAT rate of 27% will apply to properties that do not meet the conditions of the transition period.

However, a significant portion of projects already underway will be able to retain the tax benefit until the end of 2030. Specifically, the 5% rate may apply after December 31, 2026, if the required building permit has become final by the end of 2026. Transitional provisions are also in place for projects implemented under the construction notification procedure.

As a result, the Hungarian market may effectively feature new construction projects with varying tax burdens simultaneously, depending on the project’s start date and legal status.

The potential impact on housing prices could be significant. An apartment costing 100 million forints, taking into account the current 5% VAT rate, has a pre-tax price of approximately 95.2 million forints. If a 27% rate were applied to the same base, the final price would be approximately 121 million forints. The theoretical difference is about 21 million forints, or approximately 58,000 euros.

However, the actual price increase may be smaller, as developers may absorb part of the additional tax burden themselves in the face of weakening demand.

A decline in buyer activity is already being observed in the market. According to data from the National Bank of Hungary, the number of real estate transactions in the first quarter of 2026 fell by 18% compared to the same period the previous year. According to Duna House estimates, approximately 8,100 residential real estate transactions were concluded in August—13.1% fewer than in July and 29% fewer than a year earlier.

At the same time, developers are accelerating the preparation of new projects. In the first half of 2026, permits were issued and notifications were registered in Hungary for the construction of 16,588 residential units, which is 29% more than during the same period in 2025.

The change in the tax regime does not directly affect the resale housing market. However, the widening price gap between new projects subject to a 27% VAT rate, properties retaining the 5% rate, and the resale market may affect the structure of demand and housing prices overall.

Certain new apartments in officially designated “rust belt action areas” will remain an exception: provided they meet the requirements established for them, the preferential 5% rate will continue to apply even after January 1, 2027.