The rate of bitcoin against the US dollar fell on Monday to a minimum of six weeks against the backdrop of a general risk aversion from investors due to signals of the “hawkish” mood of the Federal Reserve System (Fed).
The value of the cryptocurrency fell during trading to the lowest level since March 15, $38,223, which is 20% lower than the peak level recorded last month. As of 15:00 CST, the bitcoin rate is $38,812.
Ether (Ether) on Monday fell to $ 2799 – a minimum since March 18.
Experts note that technical analysis indicators point to the possibility of a further rollback of bitcoin.
“Bitcoin breaks a key two-month trend line, which could mean a further pullback to January lows,” said Fundstrat analyst Mark Newton, quoted by Market Watch. He expects bitcoin to drop to $36,300, and if it goes lower, he could test the $32,950 level.
Currently, bitcoin is closer to the lower end of the $35,000-45,000 price range in which it has been trading since the beginning of this year.
The dynamics of the cryptocurrency clearly correlates with the dynamics of the Nasdaq 100 index of technology companies, with a negative correlation with the dollar.
As investors wait for a substantial increase in the base interest rate by the Federal Reserve System (Fed) in the coming months, some of the factors that support the demand for cryptocurrencies are fading away.
“As it becomes more profitable to hold dollars, investors can shift funds from bitcoin or gold,” Nydig experts say. “We see a negative correlation of bitcoin’s performance with both the dollar and interest rates.”
Bitcoin’s momentum is still largely driven by fundamental factors such as user growth and the expansion of the crypto usage network, but it’s important to understand the emerging macroeconomic links as well, says Nydig.
The bitcoin rate on Monday fell to its lowest level in more than a month, ether (Ether) – below $ 3,000.
The pressure on the cryptocurrency market is exerted by the general risk aversion of investors, as well as signals of restrained demand from new investors, Bloomberg notes.
As of 1:45 p.m., the bitcoin rate retreated 3.05% to $39,058. Earlier in the session, it fell below $39,000.
The exchange rate of ether fell by 4.2% to $2916.6.
Technical analysis shows that despite bitcoin’s recent drop, the cryptocurrency is “not yet close to oversold levels” and the nearest support level of $35,000 is likely not to hold, said 22V Research analyst John Rock.
“We remain confident that bitcoin will drop to $30,000,” the expert says.
The cost of bitcoin has fallen by 5% over the past month, and by almost 16% since the beginning of the year.
The capitalization of the global cryptocurrency market, according to CoinGecko, has decreased by 4% over the past 24 hours, to $1.9 trillion.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies decline on Friday, with some of the largest digital assets posting their biggest drop in weeks as risk appetite wanes, Barron’s writes.
Bitcoin has lost over 4% in the past 24 hours but is holding above the key technical level of $45,000. The price of the cryptocurrency jumped above this indicator last Sunday and continued to rise at the beginning of the week, rising above $48,000.
Meanwhile, on Thursday, bitcoin began to decline as investors exited risky assets, including cryptocurrencies and equities. By Thursday evening, its price had fallen more than 3%, showing the most significant one-day drop since March 10, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
“Bitcoin’s rally is fading, and the Wall Street session, which was accompanied by risk aversion, could lead to continued pressure on cryptocurrencies,” said Edward Moya, an analyst at Oanda.
The price of the most popular cryptocurrency at the beginning of 2022 was around $46,200 and remains well below the high of $68,990 reached in early November.
Meanwhile, some market participants believe that the fall in prices may be short-term, said Barron’s.
Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by capitalization, fell more than 3% below $3,300, also showing the largest one-day decline since early March on Thursday.
