According to analysts at Fixygen.ua, in the coming weeks the cryptocurrency market may be influenced most strongly not by internal industry news, but by geopolitics, oil prices, Federal Reserve policy and sanctions decisions. Bitcoin and Ethereum remain sensitive to any signals that change expectations regarding liquidity and risk appetite.
The first key factor is the situation around the United States, Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. In June, markets reacted to interim agreements between Washington and Tehran, which are expected to reduce risks to oil supplies and restore traffic through one of the world’s most important energy routes. Against this backdrop, global equity funds received a strong inflow of capital, while oil prices began to decline.
For the crypto market, this is a mixed signal. If oil prices continue to fall, inflation expectations may weaken, and investors may return to risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. But if the agreements collapse, Hormuz will once again become a source of an oil shock, which will increase inflation risks and may hit Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins.
The second factor is the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Fed kept the rate at 3.50–3.75%, but the market perceived the regulator’s signal as more hawkish. If expectations of a rate hike by the end of the year strengthen, pressure on crypto assets may persist. More expensive money usually reduces investor interest in high-risk assets and increases demand for dollar-denominated instruments.
The third factor is the sanctions policy against Russia and control over the circumvention of restrictions through cryptocurrency channels. The EU has proposed a new package of sanctions that affects Russian banks, entities linked to the circumvention of restrictions, as well as crypto platforms. This is important for the market because stronger control may increase regulatory risks for individual services, strengthen compliance and reduce activity in some jurisdictions.
The fourth factor is Russia’s war against Ukraine. Any increase in military escalation, new sanctions, strikes on energy infrastructure or changes in the position of G7 countries may affect markets through energy prices, the dollar, demand for safe-haven assets and investors’ overall attitude toward risk. For cryptocurrencies, this means increased volatility, especially if events coincide with important macroeconomic releases in the United States.
The fifth factor is U.S. and Chinese trade policy. In June, Washington opened a consultation process on possible tariff changes within the framework of agreements with China. Easing trade tensions may support stock markets and risky assets, while new restrictions or tariff threats will work in the opposite direction.
The sixth factor is competition for capital between cryptocurrencies, the technology sector and AI. After the geopolitical relief in June, investors actively invested in global stock markets and technology companies. For Bitcoin, this is a problem: part of the capital that could have returned to crypto ETFs is moving into AI stocks, semiconductors and major technology companies.
Fixygen.ua considers the following events to be the most important for the crypto market in the near future:
decisions and comments by the Fed on rates and inflation;
the dynamics of oil prices and the sustainability of agreements around the Strait of Hormuz;
new EU and U.S. sanctions against Russia, including restrictions on banks and crypto services;
data on ETF flows in the United States;
inflation statistics in the United States and Europe;
signals on U.S.-China trade relations;
escalation or de-escalation in the Middle East and in Ukraine.
The final main conclusion of the specialized resource Fixygen.ua is that the crypto market now depends not only on demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also on the external environment. If geopolitical risks decline, oil continues to fall and the Fed softens its rhetoric, Bitcoin will have a chance to break out of its sideways range. If, however, oil rises again, the Fed remains hawkish, and sanctions and military risks increase, the market may return to a sell-off.
According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market is ending the week on a cautious note: Bitcoin is holding steady near $62,500–63,000, Ethereum is around $1,700, and the total market capitalization remains in the range of $2.15–2.24 trillion.
Following the sell-off in early June, the market is attempting to stabilize, though a confident recovery has not yet materialized. The main source of pressure remains shifting expectations regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. The Fed kept its benchmark rate in the 3.50–3.75% range but sent a more hawkish signal to the market: some market participants now anticipate a rate hike by the end of the year. This is a negative backdrop for the crypto market, as Bitcoin and other digital assets are traditionally sensitive to expectations regarding liquidity and the cost of money.
Bitcoin remained within a narrow range this week following attempts to rebound. According to current data, it is trading at around $62,600, with the intraday low dropping to $62,300. Ethereum fell to $1,690 and remains weaker than Bitcoin in terms of market structure. Pressure on altcoins persists as investors favor more liquid assets and avoid elevated risk.
The total crypto market capitalization, according to aggregators, stands at around $2.15–2.24 trillion. Bitcoin’s market share remains high—around 56–58%—indicating that a protective bias persists within the crypto market itself. Investors are not completely exiting digital assets but are focusing on the largest cryptocurrency and stablecoins.
ETF flows created additional pressure. According to VanEck’s estimates, in the first half of June, Bitcoin’s 30-day average price fell to approximately $70,300, and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $5 billion in net outflows during 19 of 22 trading sessions. After that, signs of stabilization emerged: on June 12, spot Bitcoin ETFs showed a net inflow of about $85.8 million, and on June 16, about $10 million. However, these volumes are not yet sufficient to indicate a full-fledged recovery in institutional demand.
Ethereum’s weakness is also linked to less stable demand for spot ETH ETFs. Last week, certain trading days saw outflows from Ethereum ETFs, while demand for Bitcoin funds began to gradually recover after a series of heavy outflows. This widens the gap between Bitcoin and the rest of the market.
The Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market remains in the “extreme fear” zone. This means that following June’s sell-off, market participants are not yet ready to actively build up their positions. The market is reacting more to macroeconomic signals than to internal industry news.
The geopolitical backdrop this week was mixed. On the one hand, the agreements between the U.S. and Iran and expectations of a resumption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz eased pressure on the oil market and supported overall risk appetite. On the other hand, uncertainty regarding the sustainability of these agreements, sanctions policy, and the Fed’s next moves is holding investors back from aggressively buying cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin, the nearest technical levels remain the $60–62 thousand range as support and $65–67 thousand as resistance. A sustained move above this range could improve the short-term outlook, but without a resumption of capital inflows into ETFs and a more dovish signal from the Fed, the market may remain range-bound.
According to Fixygen, PJSC “FED” will hold a general meeting of shareholders remotely on July 3, 2026, as reported in the SMIDA disclosure system on June 10.
Details of the agenda are provided in the issuer’s announcement.
PJSC “FED” is registered in Kharkiv. According to public registration data, the company’s primary activity is the manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft, as well as related equipment.
The company’s authorized capital is 506.162 million UAH. The company operates in the machine-building sector.
According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market is entering June with heightened caution: Bitcoin is trading near the $73,000 mark, Ethereum is trading around $2,000, and investors are assessing several risk factors at once—the U.S.-Iran conflict, high oil prices, outflows from crypto ETFs, the upcoming Fed meeting, and the MiCA deadline for crypto companies in the EU.
Following the May decline, the main issue for the market will be not only Bitcoin’s performance but also broader risk appetite. If geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf persist, investors may continue to reduce their positions in risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. For BTC, this means the risk of continued trading within a wide range without a sustained recovery, and for altcoins, even greater sensitivity to liquidity.
The first key macroeconomic indicator will be the U.S. labor market report for May, which will be released on June 5. Strong employment data could dampen expectations of Fed policy easing and support the dollar and bond yields. For the cryptocurrency market, this is traditionally a negative combination, as more expensive money reduces interest in assets without a stable cash flow.
The second set of risks is related to oil. A meeting of select OPEC+ countries, which coordinate voluntary production cuts, is expected on June 7. Under normal circumstances, this would be primarily an oil-related event, but currently, the energy factor directly influences inflation expectations, central bank policy, and investor behavior. If the market perceives a risk of an oil shortage or a new surge in prices, crypto assets could come under pressure again due to fears of tighter monetary policy.
On June 10, U.S. inflation data for May will be released. This is one of the month’s key events for Bitcoin and Ethereum. If the CPI shows an acceleration due to fuel and transportation costs, the market may price in fewer chances of rate cuts in 2026 or even begin discussing the risk of further policy tightening. If inflation turns out to be lower than expected, the cryptocurrency market could receive short-term support.
On June 11, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision. This is important for the cryptocurrency market due to the euro, liquidity in Europe, and the overall revaluation of risk assets. Due to high energy prices, inflationary pressures in the eurozone have intensified again, so investors will be closely watching the ECB’s signals regarding its next steps.
The key event of the month will be the Fed meeting on June 16–17. It will be accompanied by updated economic forecasts and FOMC members’ rate expectations. For the cryptocurrency market, not only the decision itself but also the tone of the comments will be important: if the Fed acknowledges inflation risks stemming from oil and geopolitics, Bitcoin may remain under pressure. If, however, the regulator emphasizes the economic slowdown and the need to preserve room for future easing, the market may attempt a recovery.
A separate factor in June will be EU regulation. By June 30, crypto companies must obtain licenses under MiCA rules or risk facing restrictions, blacklists, and regulatory claims. For large players, this may be a step toward legalization and trust, but for small exchanges and providers, it poses the risk of losing access to EU clients.
ETF flows will remain one of the most important short-term indicators. Following an outflow of over $2 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in early June, the market will be watching closely to see if institutional investors return to buying. If outflows continue, it will be harder for BTC to hold above key technical levels. If funds show inflows again, this could signal a stabilization of demand.
The geopolitical front remains the most unpredictable. A U.S.-Iran war, risks to the Strait of Hormuz, the situation in the Middle East, the war in Ukraine, and tensions surrounding global trade could drastically shift investor sentiment. Cryptocurrencies behave erratically under such conditions: sometimes Bitcoin is perceived as an alternative asset, but in the short term, it more often reacts as a risky instrument and falls alongside stocks and the tech sector.
For Ethereum, June will be even more challenging than for Bitcoin. ETH depends not only on the broader market but also on activity in DeFi, NFTs, L2 networks, and demand for spot Ethereum ETFs. If liquidity remains weak, Ethereum may lag behind Bitcoin, while altcoins could exhibit even higher volatility.
The base case for June assumes continued high volatility and Bitcoin trading within a wide range without a clear trend until the release of inflation data and the Fed’s decision. A positive scenario for the market would be a combination of weaker inflation, oil price stabilization, a resumption of inflows into ETFs, and dovish signals from the Fed. A negative scenario would involve a new surge in oil prices, hawkish rhetoric from central banks, increased outflows from ETFs, and escalation in the Middle East.
Thus, June could be a test of resilience for the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin remains the main indicator of institutional demand, Ethereum serves as an indicator of risk in altcoins, and key external factors will include interest rates, inflation, oil, geopolitics, and regulation in Europe.
The aviation company FED JSC (Kharkiv) ended January-March 2026 with a net profit of UAH 17.08 million, which is 6.7 times less than the corresponding figure for January-March 2025.
According to the company’s interim report published in the disclosure system of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission (NSSMC), its net revenue increased by 9.7% to UAH 336.6 million.
“FED” generated nearly UAH 57 million in gross profit compared to UAH 101.9 million a year earlier, while profit from operating activities decreased by 6.2 times to UAH 22.9 million.
Retained earnings as of April 1, 2026, exceeded UAH 1.5 billion. FED’s current liabilities amounted to UAH 663.1 million, while long-term liabilities stood at UAH 204.5 million.
JSC “FED” is one of Ukraine’s leading enterprises. It specializes in the development, production, maintenance, and repair of equipment for aviation, space, and general engineering applications.
The average number of full-time employees as of April 1, 2026, was 964.
In 2025, FED increased its net profit by 3.4% compared to 2024—to UAH 187.6 million—while net revenue grew by 26.5%—to UAH 1.05 billion.
As reported, by the end of this year, FED will pay shareholders UAH 40 million in dividends, amounting to nearly UAH 5,150 per share. Over 98% of the shares in JSC “FED” are owned by the company’s director, Viktor Popov.
According to preliminary data, the FED aircraft manufacturing company (Kharkiv) ended 2025 with a net profit of UAH 187.58 million, which is 3.4% more than in 2024.
According to the agenda of the company’s general meeting of shareholders on March 12, UAH 45 million, or 24% of the profit, is planned to be allocated for the payment of dividends, and UAH 142.58 million will remain undistributed.
The dividend payment period is scheduled for April 1 to December 31, 2026.
According to the National Securities and Stock Market Commission (NSSMC) of Ukraine for the fourth quarter of 2025, more than 98% of the shares of FED JSC are owned by the company’s director, Viktor Popov.
As reported, at the end of 2024, FED JSC allocated UAH 40 million of its net profit of UAH 181.41 million to dividends, at a rate of UAH 4,575 per share with a par value of UAH 57,900.
The company’s authorized capital of UAH 506.162 million is divided into 8,742 thousand ordinary registered shares. As of October 1, 2025, retained earnings amounted to UAH 1.52 billion.
At the meeting, shareholders also plan to consider the re-election of the supervisory board, which currently consists of three members (including its chairman, Valery Fadeev).
In addition, the agenda includes the approval of SOVA Audit Firm LLC, selected on a competitive basis, to audit the annual financial statements of FED JSC for 2025.
JSC FED is one of Ukraine’s leading enterprises. It specializes in the development, production, maintenance, and repair of aviation, space, and general engineering equipment.
The average number of full-time employees as of October 1, 2025, was 953.
As reported, in January-September 2025, the company’s net profit increased by a quarter to UAH 176 million, and net income by 32% to UAH 774.9 million.
In 2024, the plant reduced its net profit by 43% compared to the previous year, to UAH 181.4 million, while its net income fell by 26%, to UAH 831.7 million.
