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Cryptocurrency review for June 22, 2025 from Fixygen

Current trends and drivers of cryptocurrency growth

Institutional involvement and legislation

    • The United States has passed the GENIUS Act, which regulates the issuance of stablecoins, requires them to be 100% reserved, and provides a legal status outside the jurisdiction of the SEC.
    • Banks such as JPMorgan are preparing to provide cryptocurrency loans, and microcapital investments in BTC/ETH are growing rapidly.

ETFs and ICO activity

    • Positive sentiment and growth of ETF products: BitGo, Grayscale, Gemini, and Circle funds are preparing for IPOs amid the success of Bitcoin ETFs.
    • Capital inflows – up to $50 billion in BTC in 2025, Deutsche Bank notes the institutionalization of bitcoin.

Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization

    • Major players (Robinhood, Kraken, BlackRock) are actively promoting the digitalization of real estate, stocks, and commodities, and the market is expected to grow to $2 trillion.

Technologies and AI tokens

    • Integration of AI into the crypto industry: growth of AI tokens to $36 billion in two years, projects such as BitTensor/TAO stand out.

Security and hacker attacks

    • The higher the growth, the more popular the attacks: in the 1st half of 2025, more than $2.17 billion was stolen due to major hacks of ByBit and CoinDCX.

Forecast for the end of July and August

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The current price is ≈ $118,500. Dominance – 60%, sentiment – greedy (Fear & Greed ~70).
  • Technical analysis: an important resistance level is $121,600-$122,000, support is $111,800-$115,000.
  • Forecast: end of July – $119k-$129k; August – $127k-$130k, with a breakout over $120k, growth will continue, otherwise, a correction to support is possible.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Trading around $3,670, recently tested $3,848, some forecasts indicate a possible rise to $4,000 and even $15,000 by the end of the year.
  • Current drivers: institutional buying, ETFs, large holdings.

Growth and pressure factors

Growth.

  • Clarity of stablecoin regulation and institutional interest.
  • Strict financial standards and infrastructure investments.
  • AI integration and promising tokenization.

Risks:

  • Hacker attacks and vulnerability of exchanges.
  • Possible market overheating and correction.
  • Macroeconomics: Rising rates, geopolitics, SEC/Fed regulation.

Source: https://www.fixygen.ua/news/20250722/oglyad-kriptovalyut-na-22-chervnya-2025-roku-vid-fixygen.html

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Cryptocurrency market in January-April 2025 – overview from Fixygen

The first four months of 2025 in the cryptocurrency market were marked by high volatility, shifts in investor sentiment and increased influence of macroeconomic factors. Despite short-term corrections, the market retains the potential for growth in the second quarter.

Total capitalization and market dynamics

Peak capitalization: $3.8 trillion (January 18, 2025).

Quarterly low: $2.7 trillion (end of March 2025).

Current capitalization: $2.97 trillion (as of April 29, 2025).

Bitcoin’s share: 63.56% of total capitalization.

The 18.6% decline in capitalization in the first quarter was due to macroeconomic uncertainties, including trade tariffs and interest rate fluctuations.

Market leaders and outsiders

Leaders:

FARTCOIN: up 100% for the week of April due to increased demand for meme tokens.

Hyperliquid (HYPE): up 30% after breaking the downtrend.

Curve DAO (CRV): up 20%, recovering above the 20-day EMA.

Outsiders:

Pi Network (PI): down 36% due to selling pressure.

Story Protocol (IP): Down 25%, continuing decline since late March.

Jupiter (JUP): Down 23.5%, hitting a new low.

Key trends

Bitcoin dominance: increase to 63.56%, indicating investors’ preference for more stable assets.

Declining market activity: average daily trading volume fell 27.3% in the first quarter, reflecting investor caution.

Macroeconomic impact: trade tariffs and US Federal Reserve policy put pressure on the market, causing short-term corrections.

Near-term outlook

Analysts expect that the market could recover in the second quarter of 2025, especially if the macroeconomic situation stabilizes. Bitcoin is seen as a potential safe haven asset amid economic uncertainty. However, investors should be prepared for continued volatility and keep a close eye on macroeconomic indicators and regulatory developments.

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