The cryptocurrency forecasting platform Polymarket has launched a betting platform that will allow you to place bets on whether Donald Trump will be able to end the war in Ukraine in 90 days if he wins the 2024 US presidential election.
A “yes” bet requires two conditions to be met:
Donald Trump wins the US presidential election.
Ukraine and Russia declare a truce, ceasefire, or conclude an agreement to resolve the current conflict at any time from the time the Associated Press announces Trump’s victory until April 19, 2025 (23:59 EST).
At the time of publication, the probability of this scenario is 46%.
Polymarket is an open market prediction platform where users can place bets on the outcomes of various events, including political, economic, and social issues.