Global demand for steel in 2025 will remain at the previous year’s level — about 1.748 billion tons, after a 1.6% decline in 2024. These figures are given in the short-term forecast of the World Steel Association (Worldsteel) — Short Range Outlook (SRO).
In 2026, according to experts, demand will grow by 1.3% to 1.772 billion tons, driven by recovery in Europe, India, and the rapidly developing countries of Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.
According to Worldsteel’s forecast, in the CIS countries, including Ukraine, demand for steel will decline by 5.2% in 2025, to 56.1 million tons, and by another 1.7% in 2026, to 55.2 million tons.
At the same time, India will retain its status as the world’s fastest-growing steel market, with growth of around 9% annually in 2025-2026. Already next year, steel consumption in India will be almost 75 million tons higher than in 2020.
In developing countries (excluding China), demand for steel will increase by 3.4% in 2025 and by 4.7% in 2026, driven by active economic development in ASEAN countries, as well as in Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
In Africa, steel consumption is growing by an average of 5.5% annually, reaching 41 million tons in 2025 — the highest level in the last decade. Growth is driven by investments in construction and improved macroeconomic indicators.
Andriy Ozeychuk, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Ukrainian Steel Construction Center and Director of Rauta, commented on the market situation and prospects for the Ukrainian steel sector.
“The Ukrainian steel market in 2025–2026 will be shaped by the recovery of domestic demand in construction and machine building, as well as the growth of exports of metal structures to the EU. We predict that demand for steel in Ukraine may grow by 6-8% in 2026 due to infrastructure and industrial recovery projects,” Ozeychuk said.
According to him, the steel construction sector will be the driver of this growth:
“The use of metal structures will accelerate the restoration of logistics, industrial, and infrastructure facilities.”
Ozeychuk also stressed that the launch of joint programs with European partners in the field of “green” metallurgy, where Ukraine already has its first pilot initiatives for the production of steel with a low carbon footprint, could give the industry an additional boost.
According to the forecast, demand for steel in the EU+UK region will increase by 1.3% in 2025 and by 3.2% in 2026. This reflects the impact of increased investment in infrastructure and defense amid lower inflation and improved household incomes.
In the US, Worldsteel expects steel consumption to increase by 1.8% in both 2025 and 2026. The main drivers of growth will be government spending on infrastructure, a revival in housing construction, and private investment.
In China, steel demand will continue to decline, by approximately 2% in 2025, due to the prolonged downturn in the real estate market. In 2026, the rate of decline will slow to 1% as the construction sector is expected to bottom out.
Worldsteel warns that a more challenging global trade environment and financial pressure on local authorities could further limit infrastructure investment and reduce demand.
According to Alfonso Hidalgo de Calcerrada, chief economist of the Spanish Steel Manufacturers Association (UNESID) and chairman of the Worldsteel Economic Committee, the organization is “cautiously optimistic” about the market outlook:
“Despite trade disputes and uncertainty, we believe that global steel demand will bottom out in 2025 and show moderate growth in 2026,” the expert said.
He added that this will be facilitated by the resilience of the global economy, growth in infrastructure investment, and easing financial conditions. At the same time, the sector continues to be pressured by high costs, trade barriers, and geopolitical risks.
Worldsteel’s forecast emphasizes that the decline in demand in China is offset by strong growth in India and developing countries, where a new center of global steel production is emerging.
In addition, the protective measures introduced by the European Union — reducing duty-free import quotas and increasing customs duties to 50% — may change the balance between EU producers and exporters from Asia and Eastern Europe.
For more information on the largest steel producers and global industry trends, see the Experts Club video analysis review available on YouTube: Experts Club — Leaders of the global steel industry 1990–2024
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The Ukrainian Business Award is an independent award that recognizes the best companies in Ukraine for their contribution to the economy and society. The winners are selected based on objective data and expert opinions.
The award is a confirmation of Rauta’s leadership in the construction market and its contribution to the development of the Ukrainian economy, as the company continues to operate steadily, introduce new technologies and actively participate in the restoration of destroyed buildings during the full-scale invasion. Since 2022, the company has participated in the reconstruction of the Retroville shopping center, two supermarkets and the Novus logistics terminal, Forum Park Plaza in Kyiv, Pinocchio kindergarten in Bucha, and a truck service station in Odesa.
Ruukki ventilated facades now have a Global Warming Potential (GWP) rating, allowing architects and customers to monitor the environmental performance of materials and improve the sustainability of construction projects, according to Rauta.
GWP, expressed in kilograms of CO₂ equivalent per square meter, makes it possible to compare the environmental performance of different building materials and assess their impact on climate change within the life cycle assessment of a building.
“The availability of GWP allows customers to make informed choices in favor of the most environmentally friendly materials and earn additional points in certification according to international environmental standards LEED and BREEAM,” said Rauta Director Andriy Ozeychuk.
GWP data is available on the pages of the corresponding Ruukki ventilated facade products.
Rauta is a Ukrainian company specializing in the supply and implementation of modern building solutions using sandwich panels, steel structures, and energy-efficient technologies.
As the official representative of Ruukki in Ukraine, the company implements projects in industrial, commercial, and civil construction.
Rauta has said that Ruukki sandwich panels can last over 100 years. This conclusion is backed up by test reports on the filler and polymer-coated steel, the company said.
According to Rauta, the key factors affecting the durability of sandwich panels are the correct selection of the polymer coating for steel cladding in accordance with the corrosion aggressiveness category of the environment, as well as the accurate calculation of the panels to ensure the proper load-bearing capacity of the enclosing structures.
Rauta is a Ukrainian company specializing in the supply and implementation of modern construction solutions using sandwich panels, steel structures, and energy-efficient technologies.
As the official representative of Ruukki in Ukraine, the company implements projects in industrial, commercial, and civil construction.
Since 2023, Ukraine has had a law adapting EU Regulation 305 and raising the requirements for the quality of building materials. The transition to the new standards will last until 2026, Andriy Ozeychuk, director of Rauta, said in an article for Interfax-Ukraine.
The document also requires the introduction of energy efficiency, certification, and increased responsibility for the declared characteristics of products.
Rauta is a leader in the Ukrainian steel construction market and a member of the European Construction Industry Association. The company provides design, manufacturing, and installation solutions in accordance with current EU regulations. The company is licensed to perform construction works with medium and significant consequences (CC2, CC3). According to the Unified State Register, the owner of 100% of the company’s authorized capital is Andriy Ozeychuk.
Ukrainian construction companies are experiencing a steady staff shortage, with some vacancies remaining open for up to six months, Rauta CEO Andriy Ozeychuk said in an op-ed for Interfax-Ukraine.
According to him, in 2022-2024, wages in the industry grew by about 20% annually.
Companies are increasingly attracting women and older people, and are also considering hiring workers from Asia.
Rauta is a leader in the Ukrainian steel construction market and a member of the European Construction Industry Association. The company provides design, production, and installation solutions in accordance with current EU regulations. The company is licensed to perform construction works with medium and significant consequences (CC2, CC3). According to the Unified State Register, the owner of 100% of the company’s authorized capital is Andriy Ozeychuk.
