Fixygen identifies three basic scenarios for the cryptocurrency market in 2026. The baseline scenario for the cryptocurrency market at the beginning of the year looks like broad consolidation with periodic “spikes” on news about rates, ETF flows, and regulation.
A more positive scenario is the acceleration of institutional integration (access via ETP/ETF and platforms), the growth of stablecoin adoption and asset tokenization, as reported by Grayscale and Coinbase Institutional.
A negative scenario would be tightening financial conditions, risk-off sentiment in global markets, and increased regulatory risks, which could put pressure on high-risk assets even with strong fundamentals.
Global crypto market capitalization at the beginning of 2026 fluctuates around $3.1-3.2 trillion, with Bitcoin trading at around $90-91 thousand and Ethereum at around $3.1 thousand, according to industry aggregators and current quotes.
