Business news from Ukraine

MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN JULY 2018

The growth of Ukraine’s gross domestic product (GDP) in April-June 2018 was 3.6% compared to the same period in 2017, while the growth rate in the first quarter was lower, namely 3.1%, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine said.
The indicator of economic sentiment in Ukraine, calculated by the State Statistics Service, in the third quarter of 2018 was 109.6% compared with 104% and 108.8% respectively in the second and first quarters of this year.
The negative balance of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January-June 2018 increased by 33% compared to January-June 2017, to $2.658 billion (it was $2 billion in January-June 2017), the State Statistics Service of Ukraine said.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods and services in the first half of 2018 was $653 million, which was 13.4 times higher than in the first half of 2017, the State Statistics Service said.
The surplus of Ukraine’s foreign trade in services in the first half of 2018 increased by 6% compared to the same period in 2017, to $2.826 billion (in the first half of 2017 some $2.658 billion), the State Statistics Service has said.
Consumer prices in Ukraine fell by 0.7% in July, while since the beginning of the year their growth was 3.6%, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine has reported.
Revenue of Ukraine’s national budget in July 2018 totaled UAH 64.46 billion, which is 0.1% more than the target, according to a Wednesday posting on the website of the State Treasury Service of Ukraine.
Money supply in Ukraine in July 2018 increased by 1.3%, to UAH 1.229 trillion, such preliminary data of monetary statistics are posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The government of Ukraine has revised the medium-term strategy of public debt management by setting more ambitious goals to reduce direct state debt in relation to GDP, in particular, to 60% of GDP by the end of the current year, instead of the previously planned 62% of GDP.
Industrial production in Ukraine in July 2018 increased by 2.9% compared to July 2017, while in June this figure stood at 2.2%, in May at 2.5%, in April at 3%, the State Statistics Service has said.
The transport enterprises of Ukraine in January-July 2018 reduced transportation of goods by 1% compared to January-July 2017, to 356.3 million tonnes.
Transport companies in Ukraine in January-July 2018 decreased passenger transportation by 1.9% compared to January-July 2017, to 2.636 billion people.
The volume of completed construction works in Ukraine in July 2018 increased by 9.7% compared to July 2017, whereas growth in June 2018 from June 2017 was 2.2%.
Ukraine’s retail trade in January-July 2018 grew by 6% in comparable prices from January-July 2017, to UAH 505.763 billion, the State Statistics Service reported.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN MAY 2018

Growth of Ukraine’s GDP in January-March 2018 was 3.1% year-over-year.
The European Parliament (EP) on June 13 voted in favor of the third Macro-Financial Assistance (MFA) programme for Ukraine foreseeing the provision of EUR 1 billion to Ukraine.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade with goods in January-April 2018 grew 1.5-fold year-over-year, reaching $1.423 billion ($968.6 million in January-April 2017), the State Statistics Service reported.
Industrial prices in Ukraine in May 2018 increased by 0.8% after a zero growth in April, 0.3% in March, 1.2% in February and 4.4% in January.
Consumer prices in Ukraine in May 2018 remained unchanged from the previous month, while inflation was 0.8% in April, 1.1% in March, 0.9% in February and 1.5% in January.
Revenue of Ukraine’s national budget in May 2018 totaled UAH 96.85 billion, which is UAH 2.99 billion or 3.2% more than the target, the State Treasury Service of Ukraine reported on its website.
Largest taxpayers increased payment of taxes to the national budget by 20% or by UAH 21.7 billion in January-May 2018 year-over-year, to UAH 132.2 billion, the Office of Large Taxpayers has said on its website.
Money supply in Ukraine in May 2018 increased by 0.5%, to UAH 1.198 trillion, the relevant preliminary data of monetary statistics have been posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Ukraine’s gross foreign debt amounted to $116.29 billion as of early April 2018, which was 0.25% or $288 million less than at the beginning of the year, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) reported on its website.
Cargo turnover of carriers in Ukraine fell by 3%, to 135.1 billion tonne/kilometers in January-May 2018.
Transport companies in Ukraine in January-May 2018 decreased passenger transportation by 1.5% compared to January-May 2017, to 1.909 billion people.
Freight handling at Ukrainian seaports in January-May 2018 totaled 54.3 million tonnes, which is 2.13% less than a year ago, according to data from the Ukrainian Sea Port Authority.
The consumer confidence index of Ukrainians after a two-month positive trend in May this year improved by another 1.5 points, to 62.9 compared with the April indicator, while in annual terms it grew by 4.9 points.
Ukraine’s retail trade turnover in January-May 2018 increased by 6.1% in comparable prices in comparison with January-May 2017.

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GROWTH OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE IN APRIL 2018 ACCELERATES TO 3% – STATISTICS

Industrial production in Ukraine in April 2018 increased by 3% compared with April 2017, while the figure in March 2018 year-over-year was 1%, it was 1.9% in February 2018 and 3.6% in January 2018, the State Statistics Service said on Wednesday.
The authority said that with the adjustment to the effect of calendar days, industrial production in April 2018 rose by the same 3% compared with April 2017, whereas growth in March 2018 from March 2017 was by 1.6%.
Industrial production in April 2018 from March 2018 decreased by 5%, and the drop was 0.6% if the seasonal factor is taken into account.
In January-April 2018, industrial production growth accelerated to 2.6% from the same period of last year, against 2.4% in the first three months. In particular, the mining industry showed an increase from 2.3% to 3.1%, the supply of electricity, gas and steam grew from 2.1% to 3.6%. However, the processing industry demonstrated a slowdown from 2.5% to 2.2%.
The processing industry in April 2018 from April 2017 increased production by 0.8%, the mining industry by 5.6%, while in the supply of electricity, gas and steam grew by 8.6%.
In Luhansk region industrial production grew by 3% in April 2018 year-over-year, and in Donetsk region – by 11.5%.
Growth in industrial production in April 2018 was seen in Ivano-Frankivsk (14.8%), Volyn (8.3%), Poltava (8%), Sumy (6.4%), Kyiv (4%), Cherkasy and Chernivtsi (6.1% each) regions.
As reported, industrial production in Ukraine in 2017 fell by 0.1% after growth by 2.4% in 2016. The decline of 13% was seen in 2015, 10.1% in 2014, 4.3% in 2013 and 0.7% in 2012.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN MARCH 2018

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained its forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth in 2018 at 3.2%, while it reviewed downwards the forecast for 2019 to 3.3% from 4%, according to the World Economic Outlook. The Parliament has ratified a guarantee agreement between Ukraine and the World Bank for a loan of $150 million. The World Bank has kept the forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth in 2018 at 3.5%, Lead Economist and Program Leader covering Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine Faruk Khan said.
Ukraine’s GDP growth in 2018 is expected at 3.2% with inflation (December on December) of 9.7%, and next year it would slightly slow to 3.1% and accelerate in 2020 to 3.3%, according to the updated consensus forecast published by the Economic Development and Trade Ministry.
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in February 2018 amounted to $457 million, while in January 2018 it was $284.1 million, the State Statistics Service has said.
Inflation in Ukraine in 2018 could again be larger than the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) expected along with the expected increase in expenses on salaries, World Bank Economist for Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova Anastasia Golovach said in Kyiv.
Prices in the industry of Ukraine in March 2018 increased by 0.3%, while in February their growth was 1.2%, in January 4.4%, the State Statistics Service has reported.
The growth of consumer prices in Ukraine in March 2018 was 1.1% compared to 0.9% in February and 1.5% in January, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine reported.
The revenues of the national budget of Ukraine for the three months of 2018 amounted to UAH 193.567 billion, which is UAH 6.185 billion or 3.1% less than the target, the State Treasury Service of Ukraine reported on its website.
The growth of real GDP of Ukraine in the first quarter of 2018 in annual terms (quarter-over-quarter) was 2.3%, according to the assessments of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Industrial production in Ukraine in March 2018 grew by 1% compared to March 2017, while in February this figure was 1.9%, in January 3.6%, the State Statistics Service has said.
The volume of sold industrial products (goods, services) in January and February 2018 stood at UAH 402.975 billion, which is 16.3% more than in January and February 2017, in particular the volume sold abroad was worth UAH 108.704 billion (a decrease of 26.48%), the State Statistics Service has reported.
Ukraine’s retail trade turnover grew by 7.6% in comparable prices in January-March 2018 (Q1) year-over-year, the State Statistics Service said.
Consumer confidence index in Ukraine is growing for the fifth consecutive quarter: in Q4 2017 it reached 61 points, which is 3 points more than in Q3 2017 and 9 points more than in Q4 2016, according to the Nielsen global consumer confidence report.

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Q1 STATISTICS ON UKRAINIAN PRODUCTION OF MILK, MEAT, EGG

Production of milk in Ukraine in January-March 2018 (excluding the temporarily occupied territory of Crimea and Sevastopol, part of the ATO zone) decreased by 1% compared to the same period in 2017, to 1.946 million tonnes. The State Statistics Service said egg production in the first quarter of 2018 grew by 2.3%, year-over-year, to 5.511 billion units.
Production of meat (live weight) in the first three months of 2018 fell by 0.3%, to 790,000 tonnes.
As reported, with reference to statistics, milk production in Ukraine in 2017 decreased by 0.5% compared to 2016, to 10.329 million tonnes, meat (in live weight) by 0.4%, to 3.259 million tonnes. Production of eggs in 2017 rose by 3.2%, to 15.578 billion units.

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MACRO MONTHLY SUMMARY – MAIN STATISTICS OF UKRAINE IN FEBRUARY 2018

The State Statistics Service reported an increase of 2.5% in Ukraine’s real gross domestic product in 2017, whereas earlier the agency estimated its growth at 2.2%.
The European Commission has adopted a proposal for a new macro-financial assistance (MFA) program for Ukraine worth up to EUR 1 billion to support economic stabilization and structural reforms.
Real wages in Ukraine in January 2018 increased by 12.3% compared to January 2017, while compared to December 2017 it fell by 13.4%..
The deficit of Ukraine’s foreign trade in goods in January 2018 grew by almost 3.3 times compared to January 2017 and amounted to $284.1 million (in January 2017 some $86.7 million).
Prices in the industry of Ukraine in February 2018 increased by 1.2%, while in January their growth was 4.4%, in December 2017 some 1.7%. The growth of consumer prices in Ukraine in February 2018 was 0.9% compared to 1.5% in January.
The revenues of the national budget of Ukraine in February 2018 amounted to UAH 50.7 billion, which is UAH 13.967 billion, or 21.6% less than the planned figures, while revenues for the first two months of 2018 reached UAH 105.887 billion, which is UAH 12.386 billion, or 10.5%, less than the target.
Money stock in Ukraine in February 2018 decreased by 0.5%, to UAH 1.17 trillion, the relevant preliminary data of monetary statistics have been posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has decided to toughen the monetary policy and increased the refinancing rate to 17% from March 2 from 16%.
The deficit of Ukraine’s balance of payment in January 2018 was $449 million, which is 2.2 times more than in January 2017 ($202 million), the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has published the preliminary data on its website
Ukraine’s gross foreign debt as of early 2018 was $116.578 billion, which is 2.59% more than at the beginning of 2017, according to the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Industrial production in Ukraine in February 2018 grew by 1.9% compared to February 2017, while in January this figure was 3.6%.
Retail trade turnover in Ukraine, excluding the temporarily occupied territory of Crimea and Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist operation zone, in January and February 2018 in comparable prices increased by 7.5% compared to January 2017.

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