Experts Club Information and Analytical Center has analyzed the inflation rate and its trends in Romania in recent years. Inflation in Romania in 2025 continues to show a moderate decline, while remaining above the National Bank’s target level. According to the National Institute of Statistics, in March 2025, annual inflation amounted to 4.86%, down from 5.02% in February.
Main components of inflation in March 2025.
Food products: price increase by 5.10%
Non-food products: increase by 3.84%
Services: up 6.99%
The greatest pressure on the overall price level is exerted by services, especially health care, education and utilities.
Historical inflation dynamics
To understand current trends, let’s look at the inflation rate in Romania in recent years.
2021: 5.05%
2022: 13.80%
2023: 10.40%
2024: 5.60%
These data show a significant increase in inflation in 2022, driven by global economic turmoil, and a gradual decline thereafter.
According to the European Commission’s forecasts, inflation in Romania is expected to continue to decline, reaching 3.4% by the end of 2025. However, risks related to fiscal policy and possible changes in tax legislation remain.
Romania’s central bank is taking a cautious approach, aiming to reduce inflation without damaging economic growth. With upcoming elections and increased public spending, the scope for further interest rate cuts is limited.
