In the first half of 2025, the Unified Register of Debtors recorded 375,810 cases of non-payment of traffic fines. Although the figure has slightly decreased compared to last year, it remains significantly higher than the pre-war level. The capital ranks first in terms of the number of proceedings, and there are more and more women among the debtors. In 2025, they already account for 21% of all cases, up from 8% on the eve of the full-scale.
375,810 debts for non-payment of traffic fines – this is the number of cases recorded in the Unified Register of Debtors in the first half of 2025. This is less than last year, but still a third more than in 2023. Compared to the period before the outbreak of full-scale war, the number of debts and violations has increased most significantly, by as much as 2.5 times.
Since the start of the full-scale war, not only has the number of unpaid fines increased, but the gender distribution of drivers has also changed, both quantitatively and percentage-wise. The proportion of women who owe a traffic fine on time is growing year after year. If in the first half of 2021, women accounted for only 8% of proceedings, this year it is already 21%.
Men aged 25-45 are the most likely to violate and fail to pay fines in Ukraine, accounting for 41% of all proceedings.
Among the regions, Kyiv is the leader in traffic violations – 12% or 43,654 proceedings. It is followed by Dnipropetrovs’k region – 36,879 or 10% and Odesa region – 29,502 or 8%.
In total, the Unified Register of Debtors contains 1.8 million unpaid debts due to traffic violations. The vast majority – 1.7 million – are men.
It is worth noting that the URB is a non-static register, in which some debts are closed, while new ones may appear in their place. Therefore, these figures reflect the situation as of early July 2025.
In order to avoid being included in the Register of Debtors and the risk of card blocking, check and pay traffic fines in Opendatabot in a timely manner – or subscribe to free monitoring and get the information as soon as it appears in the registers. If the fine is not paid within 15 days, its amount increases by 2 times.
The total forecast for wheat production in Ukraine for the 2025-2026 marketing year (July-June) is about 21 million tons, of which 10.3 million tons will be food wheat, while the harvest of grade 1-2 grain, which is needed to produce bread-making flour, is forecast at 1.7 million tons, according to Rodion Rybchinsky, chairman of the Ukrainian Millers’ Union.
“We are already seeing growing competition between processors and exporters for high-quality wheat, while farmers, who have the opportunity to store grain for several years, are in no hurry to sell it. This creates risks for price stability and the availability of flour and bakery products for consumers,“ the association’s press service quoted him as saying at the ”Khleb.ua” conference on its Facebook page.
Rybchynsky drew attention to the situation with rye. Domestic production of this crop in Ukraine does not fully cover domestic demand. In 2025/26 MY, flour millers will have to import about 9,000 tons, while in the previous season this figure was 1,600 tons. The expert emphasized that such an increase in imports indicates the formation of a persistent shortage of raw materials.
“The current production structure and behavior of farmers may lead to further increases in flour prices. While the shortage of first- and second-class raw materials already determines the industry’s prospects, the issue of food grain availability poses risks to the country’s food security,” stressed the head of the Ukrainian Millers Association.
German newspaper Die Welt, citing EU diplomats, reports that Chinese authorities have confirmed their readiness to participate in a peacekeeping contingent for Ukraine.
However, it is emphasized that the government in Beijing will be ready to do so “if the peacekeepers are deployed on the basis of a United Nations mandate.”
“In Brussels, Beijing’s plan has met with a mixed reaction. On the one hand, it is said that the inclusion of countries from the Global South, such as China, could make the deployment of foreign troops for peace monitoring more acceptable,” Die Welt writes.
“However, on the other hand,” the publication continues, “there is also a danger that China will primarily want to spy on Ukraine and take a clearly pro-Russian position instead of a neutral one in the event of a conflict,” said a senior EU diplomat familiar with the ongoing discussions.
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has announced the deployment (mobilization) of up to 4–4.5 million Bolivarian National Police officers in response to “threats from the US” and the build-up of American military presence in the Caribbean. This was reported by international media outlets, including El País, CBS News, and Al Jazeera.
According to the publications, Maduro’s statement came after the US decided to double the reward for information leading to his arrest and/or conviction to $50 million. The US State Department and the Associated Press/PBS agencies reported on the increase in the reward.
El País and other sources also note that Venezuela’s mobilization was a response to the deployment of US destroyers and other forces near the country’s coast, which has increased tensions in the region. Washington had previously accused Maduro of involvement in international drug trafficking and related crimes; the decision to increase the reward was announced this month.
American and international analytical publications note the growing military and political rhetoric on both sides and warn of the risks of further escalation. At the same time, there is no independent confirmation of the start of a “war” between the US and Venezuela; we are talking about mobilization steps and increased readiness against the backdrop of political confrontation.
In January-June 2025, Nadina Insurance Company (Kyiv) collected gross insurance premiums totaling UAH 18.938 million, which is 41.8% less than in the same period last year, according to data from Standard-Rating on the update of the company’s credit rating/financial stability (reliability) rating at the level of CAA+ on the national scale.
It should be noted that premiums from individuals amounted to UAH 362,000, while premiums from reinsurers were absent.
Insurance payments sent to reinsurers in the first half of 2025 decreased by 96.49% to UAH 379,000 compared to the same period in 2024, and the reinsurers’ share in insurance premiums decreased by 31.21 percentage points to 2%.
The insurer’s net premiums for the first half of 2025 decreased by 14.62% to UAH 18.559 million compared to the first half of 2024, and net earned premiums decreased by 9.48% to UAH 18.981 million.
The volume of insurance payments and indemnities made by IC “Nadyina” in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 increased by 1.28% to UAH 6.394 million, and the level of payments rose by 14.36 p.p. to 33.76%.
The company’s operating profit increased to UAH 10.346 million, and net profit to UAH 10.577 million.
As of July 1, 2025, the insurer’s assets increased by 6.20% to UAH 86.949 million, equity increased by 16.20% to UAH 73.555 million, liabilities decreased by 27.90% to UAH 13.394 million, cash and cash equivalents increased by 7.56% to UAH 61.414 million.
As of the reporting date, the company also formed a portfolio of current financial investments in the amount of UAH 10.600 million, which consisted of government bonds.
According to the company’s website, it was registered in the Unified State Register of Legal Entities and Individual Entrepreneurs in 2006. Its authorized capital is UAH 15 million.
Its main shareholder is Agroholding 2012 LLC, which owns 90.5% of the insurer’s shares.
Belgrade’s office real estate market in H1 2025 showed multidirectional trends: office leasing continued to grow in price amid strong demand from the IT sector and outsourcing companies, while the buy/sell market remains relatively subdued.
Rental prices and demand
According to Serbian consulting agencies, the average rental rate in modern Class A business centers in Belgrade reached EUR 16.5-18.5 per sqm per month in Q2 2025, which is 7-9% higher than in the same period in 2024. For Class B properties, rents ranged between 11-13.5 euros per square meter.
Experts note that the key demand drivers remain international IT companies, customer service centers and service units of pharmaceutical corporations. “In Belgrade, more and more global companies are looking for offices with flexible layouts and energy-efficient solutions.
The rental segment is overheated and this is pushing the rates up,” Colliers Serbia consultant Ivana Markovic told Politika newspaper.
Buying and selling: cautious deals
The office real estate purchase market in the first half of 2025 was cautious.
The average purchase price in newly built business centers is 2,350-2,600 euros per square meter, while a year earlier the figure was closer to 2,200 euros.
At the same time, the volume of transactions decreased: according to CBRE Serbia, sales fell by about 15% compared to the first half of 2024. Buyers, mainly institutional investors, are showing interest in properties in the center and New Belgrade, but are postponing contracts due to the instability of the global economy and the rising cost of financing.
Vacancy and new projects
The office vacancy rate in Belgrade has fallen to 7.2% by July 2025 (vs. 9.1% a year earlier). New supply is limited, with only about 37,000 sqm of new office space commissioned in the first half of the year, which is below forecasts.
Projects under construction in New Belgrade and the Savamaja neighborhood are scheduled for completion in 2026, which may reduce tenant pressure in the future.
Forecasts
Analysts expect rental rates to continue to rise by 3-5% in the second half of 2025 due to a lack of supply. However, the buy/sell market is likely to remain stagnant: rising interest rates and high construction costs will deter investors from active transactions.
“Office rents in Belgrade will become more expensive until at least 2026, until new large complexes come out. The sales market will revive not earlier than the end of 2025, if the risks are reduced and more favorable credit conditions are available,” says the manager of JLL Serbia Milos Stankovic.
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