The rise in global oil prices, coupled with the depreciation of the hryvnia against the euro and the dollar, could lead to higher fuel prices in the retail market as early as January, said Sergey Kuyun, director of the consulting company A-95.
“The exchange rate has added one hryvnia, and global prices have added one and a half. The market is holding steady for now, but I think that if nothing changes, there will be some correction, or more precisely, a price increase as early as January,” he said during a briefing at the Media Center of Ukraine in Kyiv on Thursday.
According to the expert, the price of gasoline on the wholesale market has already risen by 2 hryvnia per liter, and the price of diesel fuel, in particular its Arctic brand, which has seen a sharp increase in demand with the onset of frost, is showing similar growth dynamics.
As reported, the increase in excise taxes on fuel from January 1, 2026, did not lead to an increase in prices at gas stations at the beginning of the year, as the decrease in the purchase cost of fuel in December due to the decline in world oil prices offset the tax increase.
In Ukraine, the third stage of the planned increase in excise taxes on motor fuel took place on January 1, 2026, in particular, on gasoline – by UAH 1.75/liter, on diesel fuel – by UAH 2.25/liter, and on autogas – by UAH 1.5/liter.
Prior to this, on September 1, 2024, and January 1, 2025, there was a two-stage increase in excise taxes on fuel, as a result of which the tax on autogas increased by 6.4 UAH/liter, on gasoline by 3 UAH/liter, and on diesel fuel by 4 UAH/liter.
