Business news from Ukraine

Germany’s central bank expects country’s economy to grow

Germany’s central bank expects the country’s economy to grow in April-June for the second consecutive quarter after falling at the end of 2023.

According to preliminary calculations of the statutory office of the Federal Republic of Germany, in January-March GDP increased by 0.2% compared to the previous three months. It fell 0.5% in October-December 2023.

“The economy is likely to expand slightly again in the second quarter,” the Bundesbank said in a statement on Wednesday.

Activity in the services sector was likely to have continued to strengthen on the back of rising household income and consumer spending.

“Growth in household disposable income is likely to take the upper hand from consumer uncertainty,” Central Bank analysts suggested.

However, they noted that the construction sector remains very weak.

The German labor market is expected to remain resilient and wages look set to continue to rise rapidly. This could be a risk to cooling inflation, which the Bundesbank estimates will accelerate slightly again in May.

The final data on Germany’s first-quarter GDP dynamics will be released on May 24, while preliminary information for the second quarter will be presented on July 30.
Earlier Experts Club analytical center and Maxim Urakin released a video analysis of how the GDP of the world’s countries has changed over the past years, more detailed video analysis is available here – https://youtu.be/w5fF_GYyrIc?si=BsZmIUERHSBJrO_3.

Subscribe to Experts Club YouTube channel here – https://www.youtube.com/@ExpertsClub

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CENTRAL BANK BOOSTS CURRENCY PURCHASES BY 36.2% LAST WEEK

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) bought $269.6 million on the interbank foreign exchange market from September 16 to September 20, which is 36.2% more than the previous week.
Some $80 million was purchased at the best purchase price (using a matching tool), $189.6 million was purchased at a flat rate (using the matching tool), the NBU said on its website. The central bank did not sell currency last week.
Since the beginning of 2019, the NBU has bought $3.81 billion and sold $248.23 million on the interbank market. In particular, the National Bank bought $582.1 million in the three weeks of September, purchases from August 5 to August 30 totaled $316 million, they amounted to $760.9 million in July and $322.3 million in June.

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