In January-June 2024, Ukraine imported 22,617 thousand tons of coffee, which is 6.1% less than in the same period a year earlier, when foreign purchases amounted to 24,094 thousand tons.
According to statistics released by the State Customs Service (SCS), spending on coffee purchases in the first half of the year rose by 36.9% to $173.403 million, compared to $126.684 million in the same period a year earlier.
The main suppliers of coffee to Ukraine were Poland, which accounted for 16.58% of imports, worth $28.749 million, Brazil – 12.75% and $22.104 million, and Germany – 12.49% and $21.653 million.
A year earlier, the top three coffee suppliers to Ukraine were Poland (16.83% worth $21.326 million), Italy (15.87% worth $20.1 million), and Brazil (12.31% worth $15.598 million).
Tea imports in January-June 2025 decreased by 22.87% to 5,452 thousand tons compared to 7,069 thousand tons in the same period last year. In monetary terms, imports in the first half of 2025 decreased by 16.26% and amounted to $20.957 million compared to $25.027 million last year.
At the same time, the three key suppliers of tea to Ukraine in January-June remained unchanged: Sri Lanka (30.13% worth $6.313 million), Kenya (17.77% worth $3.724 million) and China (14.63% worth $3.067 million). Last year, these countries accounted for 28.95%, 23.07%, and 11.33% of tea exports to Ukraine, bringing them $7.247 million, $5.774 million, and $2.835 million, respectively.
Tea and coffee production in Ukraine involves 570 business entities, in 2024 they earned UAH 10 billion, which is 19% more than in 2023, when their revenue amounted to UAH 8.6 billion, according to a study by YouControl.
It is noted that as of July 2025, there are 570 business entities in Ukraine that are not in a state of termination, registered and conducting financial activities under CEA 10.83 “Production of tea and coffee”. In particular, 264 operate in the form of companies, and 306 are individual entrepreneurs. Most of them are concentrated in Kyiv – 153 entities, in Dnipropetrovska (54) and Kyiv (48), Lviv (40) and Odesa (36) regions.
The analysts noted that among the analyzed companies there are also legal entities with foreign capital, in particular from China, India, Turkey, as well as Cyprus, Moldova and other European countries.
According to the study, the ten largest tea and coffee companies in Ukraine earned a total of UAH 7.9 billion, which is 79% of the total revenue of companies that submitted financial statements for 2024.
According to YouControl, the leaders of the coffee market are Monomakh JSC with UAH 2.3 billion in revenue, Fes Ukr LLC (MacCoffee and HILLWAY brands) with UAH 2 billion, Galka Ltd and Coffee from Lviv LLC (Galka and Coffee from Lviv brands) with UAH 1.63 billion, and Vienna Coffee LLC (Vienna Coffee brand) with UAH 526 million, TC Trade LLC (brands Greenfield, TESS, Princess Nuri, etc.) – UAH 408 million, Food Pack LLC (brand Gemini) – UAH 373.6 million, Trypillian Sun LLC (brands Trypillian Sun, Sherlock Secrets, Tea Moments, Tea Family) – UAH 323 million, Ukrainian Coffee Company LLC (brands GALEAD’OR, XO, 1CUP, 1CUPsule. Inspiro Gusto, 1CUPsule. EGO, RIO NEGRO, LEONARDO) – UAH 280 million, SUB LLC Ukrainian Tea Factory Ahmad Tee (Ahmad Tea brand) – UAH 187.3 million, LLC Lisova Skazka (Lisova Skazka, Tea Collection, EcoTea brands) – UAH 165 million.
“Unfortunately, the market leaders are not without ties with the aggressor,” the resource noted and added that this thesis applies to half of the rating participants.
Experts predict coffee prices to rise by up to 40% in 2025. The main reasons cited are drought in Brazil and abnormal rains in Vietnam, the largest coffee-producing countries, according to the FAO and the International Coffee Organization.
In 2024, the price of Arabica rose by 69%, reaching record levels and exceeding $4.30 per pound on the ICE exchange in early 2025. Drought in Brazil led to a 10-11% drop in harvest, causing a shortage, while in Vietnam, the harvest fell by 10-20% due to droughts and heavy rains. The International Coffee Organization warns that market stabilization should not be expected until 2026-2028.
Retail coffee prices are expected to rise by 10-20%, leading to higher prices in cafes and retail packaging. This will increase inflationary pressure, as rising coffee prices complement rising food prices. Experts note that producers will have to invest in drought-resistant varieties and new irrigation systems. There is also an increase in costs in the supply chain, including higher prices for fertilizers, logistics, and credit resources.
According to the FAO, global coffee production in 2023 amounted to about 11 million tons, of which Brazil accounted for 31%, Vietnam for 18%, and Indonesia for about 7%. Global coffee consumption is growing by about 2% annually and is estimated at 177 million bags per year.
According to open data, the leaders in per capita coffee consumption are Finland (about 12-13 kg per year), Norway (about 10 kg), Iceland (9.8 kg), Denmark (8.7 kg), the Netherlands (8.4 kg), Sweden (8.2 kg), Switzerland (7.9 kg), Belgium (6.8 kg), Luxembourg (6.5 kg), and Canada (6.5 kg).
Rising coffee prices in 2025 could pose a serious challenge for both producers and consumers, and will increase interest in sustainable production and expansion of supply in order to stabilize the market in the face of a changing climate.
Global coffee bean production in the 2025/2026 agricultural season will increase by 2.5% to reach a record 178.68 million bags (60 kg each), according to a report by the US Department of Agriculture.
At the same time, the arabica harvest will decrease by 1.7% to 97.02 million bags, while robusta will increase by 7.9% to 81.66 million bags.
Due to the increase in production, global carryover stocks will increase by 4.9% to 22.82 million bags by the end of the season.
“During the current week, coffee prices fell, in particular for Arabica fell to a 5.5-month low amid reports of improved weather conditions in the Brazilian coffee-growing states of São Paulo and Minas Gerais,” the report said.
As reported, at the end of last year and the beginning of this year, the world market saw a high growth in coffee prices. Thus, in February, coffee prices doubled in annual terms. In particular, this was due to the fact that traders were worried about the prospect of insufficient supplies from Brazil, which is the largest producer of Arabica coffee.
Ukraine’s largest coffee chain Aroma Kava has officially expanded its presence on the international market and opened a new coffee shop in Warsaw, Forbes Ukraine reports.
“The chain will be developing in Poland based on a franchise model. The first franchise partners are Ukrainians who have been living in Poland for a long time,” Aroma Kava co-investor Gennady Gaydabura told the publication.
Aroma Kava offers several formats of cafes. The most compact ones occupy only 6-9 square meters, while large cafes are located in premises up to 150 square meters.
The first Aroma Kava in Poland started its work at 136 Marshalkowska Street in the premises that used to house a Subway restaurant. A Carrefour supermarket and a Millennium Bank branch are located next door to the coffee shop. The Warsaw location represents one of the largest formats of the chain. According to Aroma Kava representatives, the cost of opening a coffee shop in Poland is 30-40% higher than the investment in a Ukrainian one.
The coffee shop in Warsaw is not the first attempt by Aroma Kava to enter the international market. In 2020, the chain opened a franchise in the center of Minsk, but it stopped working with the outbreak of a full-scale war. The company made its second attempt to expand abroad in January 2023. A franchise coffee shop was opened in the student district of the Bulgarian capital Sofia. According to the chain’s website, Aroma Kava was registered in 2013 and has more than 350 coffee shops in 45 cities of Ukraine. The chain’s baristas prepare over 1 million cups of coffee per month.
Global coffee exports in the 2023/24 marketing season (October-September) increased by 11.7% to 137.27 million bags (60 kg each), according to a report by the International Coffee Organization (ICO).
In particular, shipments of green (unroasted) coffee increased by 11.8% to 123.75 million bags.
Among the macro-regions, South America retains its position as the largest exporter of coffee, which in 2023/24 season increased shipments by 30.7% to 66.13 million bags. In particular, Brazil recorded a record figure of coffee shipments of 49.03 million bags.
Sales of coffee from Asia and Oceania decreased by 6.7% (to 40.62 mln bags) in the season that ended, while Africa increased its supplies by 17.3% (to 16.02 mln bags).
